Richmond
Atlantic 10
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#76
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#139
Pace69.9#163
Improvement+0.1#176

Offense
Total Offense+6.2#32
First Shot+7.1#19
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#229
Layup/Dunks+3.9#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#240
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#25
Freethrows-2.2#301
Improvement+0.1#171

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#155
First Shot+0.6#153
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#182
Layups/Dunks+0.9#154
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#230
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#199
Freethrows+0.9#141
Improvement+0.0#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 0.9% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.8% 19.2% 11.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.3% 7.5% 2.8%
Average Seed 10.9 10.7 11.4
.500 or above 81.3% 89.0% 72.3%
.500 or above in Conference 83.4% 86.8% 79.3%
Conference Champion 12.7% 14.4% 10.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.4% 0.6%
First Four2.3% 3.2% 1.3%
First Round14.6% 17.7% 11.1%
Second Round5.2% 6.8% 3.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.4% 1.8% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Away) - 54.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 5
Quad 23 - 54 - 10
Quad 38 - 312 - 13
Quad 48 - 119 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 336   NC Central W 70-60 96%     1 - 0 -4.5 -7.9 +3.5
  Nov 12, 2021 47   Utah St. L 74-85 39%     1 - 1 -1.3 +10.7 -12.8
  Nov 16, 2021 145   Georgia St. W 94-78 77%     2 - 1 +14.9 +13.0 +0.9
  Nov 20, 2021 54   @ Drake L 70-73 32%     2 - 2 +8.6 +3.2 +5.4
  Nov 22, 2021 137   Hofstra W 81-68 76%     3 - 2 +12.3 +10.7 +2.6
  Nov 25, 2021 53   Maryland L 80-86 42%     3 - 3 +2.7 +5.8 -2.6
  Nov 27, 2021 37   Mississippi St. L 71-82 OT 34%     3 - 4 -0.1 +2.5 -2.4
  Dec 01, 2021 122   @ Wofford W 73-72 54%    
  Dec 05, 2021 114   @ Northern Iowa W 77-76 51%    
  Dec 11, 2021 118   Toledo W 80-74 72%    
  Dec 17, 2021 65   North Carolina St. L 74-75 47%    
  Dec 19, 2021 233   Old Dominion W 74-61 89%    
  Dec 22, 2021 298   Bucknell W 88-71 94%    
  Dec 30, 2021 218   Saint Joseph's W 85-73 87%    
  Jan 02, 2022 60   @ Saint Louis L 73-77 36%    
  Jan 05, 2022 119   Massachusetts W 86-79 72%    
  Jan 08, 2022 246   @ Fordham W 74-66 77%    
  Jan 11, 2022 117   George Mason W 77-71 72%    
  Jan 14, 2022 83   Davidson W 74-71 63%    
  Jan 22, 2022 234   @ La Salle W 76-69 74%    
  Jan 25, 2022 72   @ Rhode Island L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 29, 2022 79   Virginia Commonwealth W 67-64 61%    
  Feb 01, 2022 193   @ Duquesne W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 04, 2022 38   St. Bonaventure L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 09, 2022 117   @ George Mason W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 12, 2022 234   La Salle W 79-66 88%    
  Feb 18, 2022 79   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 22, 2022 264   @ George Washington W 77-68 80%    
  Feb 25, 2022 60   Saint Louis W 76-74 57%    
  Mar 01, 2022 120   Dayton W 74-67 71%    
  Mar 04, 2022 38   @ St. Bonaventure L 67-74 27%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.3 3.4 4.5 2.5 0.9 0.2 12.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 5.0 4.6 1.6 0.1 13.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 5.4 5.0 1.1 0.1 13.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.8 1.3 0.1 12.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.6 1.6 0.1 11.3 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 5.3 2.1 0.1 10.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.5 2.7 0.2 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.1 2.8 0.4 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.0 0.5 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.5 2.7 4.6 7.2 10.7 13.1 14.5 13.7 12.5 9.1 6.1 2.6 0.9 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
16-2 95.8% 2.5    2.1 0.4 0.0
15-3 73.3% 4.5    2.7 1.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 36.7% 3.4    1.1 1.4 0.7 0.1
13-5 10.0% 1.3    0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.7% 12.7 7.2 3.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.9% 87.8% 36.7% 51.1% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 80.7%
16-2 2.6% 68.7% 33.6% 35.1% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 52.9%
15-3 6.1% 52.6% 29.3% 23.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.0 2.9 32.9%
14-4 9.1% 33.4% 22.1% 11.3% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 6.1 14.5%
13-5 12.5% 20.8% 15.9% 4.9% 11.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 9.9 5.8%
12-6 13.7% 13.5% 12.2% 1.2% 12.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 11.8 1.4%
11-7 14.5% 7.6% 7.4% 0.3% 12.4 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 13.4 0.3%
10-8 13.1% 5.3% 5.3% 0.1% 12.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 12.4 0.1%
9-9 10.7% 2.5% 2.5% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 10.5
8-10 7.2% 2.6% 2.6% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
7-11 4.6% 1.3% 1.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
6-12 2.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.7
5-13 1.5% 1.5
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 15.8% 11.1% 4.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.3 2.0 3.9 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 84.2 5.3%