South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#92
Expected Predictive Rating+8.5#74
Pace82.7#4
Improvement+1.7#50

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#148
First Shot-1.5#222
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#61
Layup/Dunks-0.3#176
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#155
Freethrows-2.4#312
Improvement+2.1#21

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#55
First Shot+4.0#65
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#121
Layups/Dunks+5.6#27
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#247
Freethrows-2.3#300
Improvement-0.4#242
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.8% 1.9% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.8% 15.6% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 14.3% 15.0% 5.7%
Average Seed 9.0 9.0 9.8
.500 or above 49.4% 51.4% 26.3%
.500 or above in Conference 22.8% 23.5% 14.6%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.7% 13.1% 20.8%
First Four2.8% 2.9% 2.1%
First Round13.4% 14.1% 4.9%
Second Round5.8% 6.1% 2.1%
Sweet Sixteen1.6% 1.7% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Home) - 92.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 10
Quad 23 - 36 - 13
Quad 35 - 210 - 15
Quad 45 - 116 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 337   South Carolina Upstate W 78-60 96%     1 - 0 +3.4 -13.8 +14.7
  Nov 12, 2021 146   Princeton L 62-66 66%     1 - 1 -2.4 -9.8 +7.3
  Nov 14, 2021 123   Western Kentucky W 75-64 61%     2 - 1 +13.8 -2.7 +15.6
  Nov 18, 2021 52   UAB W 66-63 50%     3 - 1 +8.8 -6.6 +15.2
  Nov 23, 2021 122   Wofford W 85-74 72%     4 - 1 +10.9 +8.5 +2.1
  Nov 28, 2021 273   Rider W 80-65 92%    
  Dec 01, 2021 223   @ Coastal Carolina W 80-74 70%    
  Dec 05, 2021 139   Georgetown W 79-72 74%    
  Dec 12, 2021 24   Florida St. L 71-79 24%    
  Dec 18, 2021 45   @ Clemson L 66-73 26%    
  Dec 22, 2021 219   Army W 79-68 85%    
  Dec 29, 2021 354   South Carolina St. W 93-67 99%    
  Jan 04, 2022 20   Auburn L 76-81 32%    
  Jan 08, 2022 80   @ Vanderbilt L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 11, 2022 23   @ Tennessee L 69-80 16%    
  Jan 15, 2022 15   Florida L 71-77 29%    
  Jan 18, 2022 25   @ Arkansas L 75-86 17%    
  Jan 22, 2022 154   Georgia W 81-73 76%    
  Jan 26, 2022 80   Vanderbilt W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 29, 2022 81   @ Texas A&M L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 01, 2022 37   @ Mississippi St. L 67-75 24%    
  Feb 05, 2022 23   Tennessee L 72-77 32%    
  Feb 08, 2022 12   Kentucky L 73-80 27%    
  Feb 12, 2022 154   @ Georgia W 78-76 58%    
  Feb 15, 2022 74   @ Mississippi L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 19, 2022 10   LSU L 74-81 26%    
  Feb 23, 2022 37   Mississippi St. L 70-72 44%    
  Feb 26, 2022 18   @ Alabama L 76-88 15%    
  Mar 01, 2022 127   Missouri W 76-70 71%    
  Mar 05, 2022 20   @ Auburn L 73-84 17%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 1.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.7 0.1 2.4 4th
5th 0.4 1.7 1.2 0.2 3.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.8 2.3 0.5 0.0 4.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 3.7 1.7 0.1 7.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.4 2.4 0.2 8.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.6 4.0 0.7 0.0 10.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 4.8 5.7 1.2 0.0 12.9 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 4.7 6.1 2.0 0.1 14.0 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 4.8 5.6 2.3 0.2 14.0 12th
13th 0.1 1.2 3.7 4.3 1.8 0.1 11.3 13th
14th 0.3 1.4 2.5 2.4 0.9 0.1 7.6 14th
Total 0.3 1.6 3.8 7.1 11.1 13.4 14.6 14.2 11.3 9.1 6.2 3.7 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 64.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 30.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.1
13-5 11.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.4% 100.0% 10.0% 90.0% 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.1% 100.0% 8.9% 91.1% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 2.1% 95.6% 3.9% 91.7% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 95.5%
11-7 3.7% 82.7% 1.9% 80.8% 8.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.6 82.4%
10-8 6.2% 56.4% 1.4% 55.0% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 2.7 55.8%
9-9 9.1% 32.9% 0.4% 32.4% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.1 32.6%
8-10 11.3% 11.3% 0.4% 11.0% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 10.0 11.0%
7-11 14.2% 1.9% 0.5% 1.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.9 1.4%
6-12 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 14.6 0.1%
5-13 13.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 13.4 0.1%
4-14 11.1% 11.1
3-15 7.1% 7.1
2-16 3.8% 3.8
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 14.8% 0.6% 14.2% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.2 2.6 2.5 3.1 1.2 0.1 85.2 14.3%