Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida Atlantic
Conference USA
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.6#33
Expected Predictive Rating+15.0#14
Pace70.4#121
Improvement+0.7#122

Offense
Total Offense+6.2#34
First Shot+4.1#65
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#42
Layup/Dunks+3.0#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#301
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#38
Freethrows-1.0#262
Improvement-0.2#210

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#45
First Shot+5.0#45
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#129
Layups/Dunks+6.5#9
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#362
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#68
Freethrows+0.9#113
Improvement+0.9#82
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 7.4% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 62.3% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round56.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen22.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight8.1% n/a n/a
Final Four2.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.9% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 01 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 12 - 1
Quad 24 - 26 - 3
Quad 311 - 017 - 3
Quad 412 - 029 - 3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 106   @ Mississippi L 67-80 66%     0 - 1 -5.7 +3.3 -9.9
  Nov 14, 2022 54   @ Florida W 76-74 47%     1 - 1 +14.3 +5.9 +8.2
  Nov 17, 2022 208   Bryant W 85-74 93%     2 - 1 +6.1 -5.4 +9.7
  Nov 19, 2022 202   Detroit Mercy W 76-55 93%     3 - 1 +16.5 -0.3 +17.8
  Nov 26, 2022 341   @ Albany W 73-56 96%     4 - 1 +8.6 -0.1 +9.9
  Nov 30, 2022 110   South Alabama W 84-59 84%     5 - 1 +26.1 +13.8 +12.7
  Dec 04, 2022 310   @ Eastern Michigan W 101-73 93%     6 - 1 +22.7 +19.2 +2.3
  Dec 07, 2022 190   Florida Gulf Coast W 85-53 92%     7 - 1 +28.1 +22.2 +10.5
  Dec 17, 2022 219   Florida International W 79-53 93%     8 - 1 1 - 0 +20.6 -1.7 +20.5
  Dec 21, 2022 172   Northern Kentucky W 67-52 91%     9 - 1 +11.7 -0.3 +13.3
  Dec 29, 2022 65   @ North Texas W 50-46 50%     10 - 1 2 - 0 +15.5 -5.6 +21.9
  Jan 05, 2023 64   UAB W 88-86 72%     11 - 1 3 - 0 +7.6 +13.8 -6.2
  Jan 07, 2023 118   Charlotte W 71-67 86%     12 - 1 4 - 0 +4.0 +11.7 -6.9
  Jan 11, 2023 219   @ Florida International W 77-73 OT 85%     13 - 1 5 - 0 +4.5 +1.8 +2.6
  Jan 14, 2023 65   North Texas W 66-62 72%     14 - 1 6 - 0 +9.5 +14.9 -4.3
  Jan 16, 2023 170   @ Western Kentucky W 76-62 80%     15 - 1 7 - 0 +16.7 +4.1 +12.6
  Jan 19, 2023 293   @ Texas San Antonio W 83-64 92%     16 - 1 8 - 0 +15.1 +6.5 +8.5
  Jan 21, 2023 188   @ UTEP W 67-59 82%     17 - 1 9 - 0 +10.0 -4.5 +14.1
  Jan 26, 2023 122   Middle Tennessee W 85-67 86%     18 - 1 10 - 0 +17.8 +15.0 +3.3
  Jan 28, 2023 170   Western Kentucky W 70-63 91%     19 - 1 11 - 0 +3.7 -5.9 +9.5
  Feb 02, 2023 64   @ UAB L 77-86 50%     19 - 2 11 - 1 +2.6 +5.0 -1.9
  Feb 04, 2023 118   @ Charlotte W 67-52 71%     20 - 2 12 - 1 +21.0 +12.0 +12.4
  Feb 09, 2023 216   Rice W 90-81 93%     21 - 2 13 - 1 +3.9 +4.7 -1.5
  Feb 11, 2023 163   Louisiana Tech W 90-85 OT 91%     22 - 2 14 - 1 +2.1 +7.7 -6.0
  Feb 16, 2023 122   @ Middle Tennessee L 70-74 71%     22 - 3 14 - 2 +1.7 -0.5 +2.3
  Feb 23, 2023 293   Texas San Antonio W 106-66 97%     23 - 3 15 - 2 +30.1 +17.8 +8.9
  Feb 25, 2023 188   UTEP W 75-49 92%     24 - 3 16 - 2 +22.1 +10.6 +13.8
  Mar 02, 2023 216   @ Rice W 103-74 84%     25 - 3 17 - 2 +29.8 +23.9 +4.9
  Mar 04, 2023 163   @ Louisiana Tech W 76-72 79%     26 - 3 18 - 2 +7.1 +6.8 +0.4
  Mar 09, 2023 170   Western Kentucky W 75-51 86%     27 - 3 +23.7 -1.9 +24.4
  Mar 10, 2023 122   Middle Tennessee W 68-65 80%     28 - 3 +5.8 +5.4 +0.8
  Mar 11, 2023 64   UAB W 78-56 61%     29 - 3 +30.6 +6.3 +23.7
  Mar 17, 2023 22   Memphis L 76-77 44%    
Projected Record 29 - 4 18 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.2 0.0 0.8 6.6 20.8 34.2 22.5 9.9 4.3 0.9 0.1
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6.2 0.0 0.8 6.6 20.8 34.2 22.5 9.9 4.3 0.9 0.1