Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico
Mountain West
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.1#57
Expected Predictive Rating+8.4#64
Pace77.1#19
Improvement-2.7#352

Offense
Total Offense+7.3#21
First Shot+7.2#15
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#176
Layup/Dunks+5.4#18
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#328
Freethrows+3.5#7
Improvement+0.1#167

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#112
First Shot+3.1#79
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#315
Layups/Dunks+2.0#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#305
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#121
Freethrows+1.2#83
Improvement-2.8#361
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four11.5% n/a n/a
First Round5.7% n/a n/a
Second Round2.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 03 - 5
Quad 23 - 26 - 7
Quad 310 - 316 - 10
Quad 45 - 121 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 115   Southern Utah W 89-81 79%     1 - 0 +8.5 +5.4 +2.3
  Nov 11, 2022 110   South Alabama W 80-74 78%     2 - 0 +7.1 +5.2 +1.7
  Nov 15, 2022 169   @ SMU W 84-63 73%     3 - 0 +23.7 +6.6 +15.4
  Nov 25, 2022 233   Jacksonville St. W 79-61 92%     4 - 0 +11.5 +2.8 +8.6
  Nov 26, 2022 222   North Dakota St. W 76-55 91%     5 - 0 +15.1 -2.4 +17.0
  Nov 27, 2022 227   Northern Colorado W 98-74 91%     6 - 0 +17.9 +14.0 +2.6
  Nov 30, 2022 15   @ St. Mary's W 69-65 22%     7 - 0 +21.1 +8.1 +13.1
  Dec 10, 2022 293   Texas San Antonio W 94-76 95%     8 - 0 +8.1 +10.1 -2.9
  Dec 12, 2022 94   San Francisco W 67-64 65%     9 - 0 +8.1 -1.1 +9.4
  Dec 18, 2022 76   Iona W 82-74 67%     10 - 0 +12.7 +5.0 +7.1
  Dec 20, 2022 286   Prairie View W 94-63 95%     11 - 0 +21.5 +6.8 +10.0
  Dec 28, 2022 105   Colorado St. W 88-69 77%     12 - 0 1 - 0 +20.4 +14.2 +6.4
  Dec 31, 2022 150   @ Wyoming W 76-75 68%     13 - 0 2 - 0 +5.2 +3.3 +1.8
  Jan 03, 2023 132   @ Fresno St. L 67-71 65%     13 - 1 2 - 1 +1.0 -0.7 +1.8
  Jan 07, 2023 91   UNLV L 77-84 73%     13 - 2 2 - 2 -4.3 +0.2 -4.0
  Jan 09, 2023 68   Oral Roberts W 82-75 64%     14 - 2 +12.4 +4.8 +7.2
  Jan 14, 2023 20   @ San Diego St. W 76-67 25%     15 - 2 3 - 2 +25.1 +9.9 +14.8
  Jan 17, 2023 96   San Jose St. W 77-57 76%     16 - 2 4 - 2 +21.9 +10.2 +13.3
  Jan 20, 2023 38   Boise St. W 81-79 OT 54%     17 - 2 5 - 2 +10.1 +4.5 +5.4
  Jan 23, 2023 56   @ Nevada L 94-97 2OT 39%     17 - 3 5 - 3 +9.1 +10.4 -0.8
  Jan 27, 2023 152   Air Force W 81-73 85%     18 - 3 6 - 3 +6.1 +10.1 -3.8
  Feb 01, 2023 28   @ Utah St. L 73-84 27%     18 - 4 6 - 4 +4.3 +7.5 -3.5
  Feb 07, 2023 56   Nevada L 76-77 61%     18 - 5 6 - 5 +5.1 +10.6 -5.5
  Feb 10, 2023 152   @ Air Force L 77-89 69%     18 - 6 6 - 6 -8.0 +8.6 -17.0
  Feb 14, 2023 150   Wyoming L 56-70 85%     18 - 7 6 - 7 -15.8 -12.3 -5.2
  Feb 17, 2023 96   @ San Jose St. W 96-68 55%     19 - 7 7 - 7 +35.8 +30.1 +6.9
  Feb 22, 2023 38   @ Boise St. L 77-82 32%     19 - 8 7 - 8 +9.1 +4.5 +5.1
  Feb 25, 2023 20   San Diego St. L 71-73 46%     19 - 9 7 - 9 +8.2 +6.1 +2.0
  Feb 28, 2023 132   Fresno St. W 94-80 83%     20 - 9 8 - 9 +13.1 +21.2 -8.4
  Mar 03, 2023 105   @ Colorado St. L 84-92 57%     20 - 10 8 - 10 -0.6 +13.0 -13.7
  Mar 08, 2023 150   Wyoming W 87-76 77%     21 - 10 +12.2 +9.0 +2.6
  Mar 09, 2023 28   Utah St. L 76-91 38%     21 - 11 -2.6 -0.4 -0.8
Projected Record 21 - 11 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 11.7% 11.7% 11.4 0.0 7.1 4.6 0.0 88.3 11.7%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.7% 0.0% 11.7% 11.4 0.0 7.1 4.6 0.0 88.3 11.7%