Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#172
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#148
Pace58.3#359
Improvement+1.9#41

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#229
First Shot-1.5#234
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#188
Layup/Dunks-2.3#279
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#169
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#97
Freethrows-1.2#285
Improvement+1.7#37

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#136
First Shot+2.6#94
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#319
Layups/Dunks+2.8#66
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#100
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#271
Freethrows+0.7#129
Improvement+0.2#160
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round3.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 46 - 9
Quad 414 - 320 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 72   Kent St. L 57-79 31%     0 - 1 -17.1 -5.9 -13.2
  Nov 16, 2022 52   Cincinnati W 64-51 25%     1 - 1 +19.6 +1.3 +19.7
  Nov 21, 2022 190   Florida Gulf Coast L 61-82 52%     1 - 2 -22.0 -11.0 -11.5
  Nov 22, 2022 242   Texas Arlington L 56-60 64%     1 - 3 -8.1 -10.0 +1.3
  Nov 23, 2022 88   Toledo L 69-82 27%     1 - 4 -6.8 -5.3 -2.0
  Nov 27, 2022 295   Tennessee Tech W 85-77 2OT 82%     2 - 4 -2.1 -0.4 -2.3
  Dec 01, 2022 133   Youngstown St. W 77-73 2OT 52%     3 - 4 1 - 0 +3.0 -10.9 +13.4
  Dec 03, 2022 240   Robert Morris W 60-56 74%     4 - 4 2 - 0 -3.0 -6.4 +3.9
  Dec 07, 2022 62   @ Washington St. L 47-68 13%     4 - 5 -9.4 -10.3 -3.5
  Dec 14, 2022 176   Eastern Kentucky W 64-61 62%     5 - 5 -0.6 -1.3 +1.1
  Dec 21, 2022 33   @ Florida Atlantic L 52-67 9%     5 - 6 -0.4 -9.4 +7.7
  Dec 29, 2022 194   Wright St. W 78-64 64%     6 - 6 3 - 0 +9.8 +7.9 +2.8
  Dec 31, 2022 360   @ IUPUI W 55-42 86%     7 - 6 4 - 0 +1.1 -13.7 +17.4
  Jan 06, 2023 273   Oakland L 63-64 80%     7 - 7 4 - 1 -10.0 -9.9 -0.2
  Jan 08, 2023 202   Detroit Mercy W 78-76 OT 66%     8 - 7 5 - 1 -2.5 -1.9 -0.6
  Jan 12, 2023 232   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75-80 51%     8 - 8 5 - 2 -5.5 -4.2 -0.9
  Jan 14, 2023 361   @ Green Bay W 74-53 90%     9 - 8 6 - 2 +6.6 +8.3 +2.2
  Jan 19, 2023 189   Cleveland St. W 57-56 64%     10 - 8 7 - 2 -2.9 -12.4 +9.6
  Jan 21, 2023 236   Purdue Fort Wayne W 74-54 73%     11 - 8 8 - 2 +13.3 +10.5 +5.9
  Jan 26, 2023 361   Green Bay W 68-50 96%     12 - 8 9 - 2 -2.3 +0.0 +1.4
  Jan 28, 2023 232   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-75 72%     12 - 9 9 - 3 -7.5 -6.9 -0.5
  Feb 02, 2023 240   @ Robert Morris W 65-52 53%     13 - 9 10 - 3 +12.0 +1.7 +11.9
  Feb 04, 2023 133   @ Youngstown St. L 56-74 30%     13 - 10 10 - 4 -13.0 -7.3 -9.3
  Feb 10, 2023 194   @ Wright St. L 65-83 42%     13 - 11 10 - 5 -16.2 -0.9 -16.9
  Feb 12, 2023 360   IUPUI W 86-47 94%     14 - 11 11 - 5 +21.1 +13.7 +12.2
  Feb 17, 2023 236   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 63-50 52%     15 - 11 12 - 5 +12.2 -0.5 +14.5
  Feb 19, 2023 189   @ Cleveland St. L 63-64 41%     15 - 12 12 - 6 +1.0 +0.8 +0.1
  Feb 23, 2023 202   @ Detroit Mercy W 67-64 43%     16 - 12 13 - 6 +4.4 +1.5 +3.4
  Feb 25, 2023 273   @ Oakland W 78-69 61%     17 - 12 14 - 6 +5.9 +7.3 -0.7
  Mar 02, 2023 273   Oakland W 81-74 80%     18 - 12 -2.0 +9.6 -10.9
  Mar 06, 2023 133   Youngstown St. W 75-63 41%     19 - 12 +14.0 +8.0 +7.4
  Mar 07, 2023 189   Cleveland St. W 63-61 52%     20 - 12 +1.1 -0.9 +2.3
  Mar 16, 2023 2   Houston L 50-69 5%    
Projected Record 20 - 13 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.6 92.2
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.6 92.2