Preseason Rankings
Akron
Mid-American
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.6#119
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace58.6#357
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#138
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#121
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.1% 1.7% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.2% 23.6% 10.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.9% 4.3% 0.4%
Average Seed 11.9 11.5 13.3
.500 or above 78.7% 87.6% 61.3%
.500 or above in Conference 80.0% 86.1% 68.1%
Conference Champion 20.8% 25.7% 11.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.7% 3.3%
First Four1.7% 1.9% 1.2%
First Round18.3% 22.6% 10.1%
Second Round4.5% 6.1% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen1.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Home) - 66.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 35 - 46 - 8
Quad 411 - 217 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 134   South Dakota St. W 73-69 66%    
  Nov 11, 2022 64   Mississippi St. L 61-66 32%    
  Nov 15, 2022 287   Morgan St. W 76-62 90%    
  Nov 21, 2022 107   Western Kentucky L 67-68 47%    
  Nov 30, 2022 159   @ Marshall W 72-71 51%    
  Dec 11, 2022 308   Jackson St. W 67-52 90%    
  Dec 14, 2022 171   Wright St. W 72-65 71%    
  Dec 19, 2022 337   Maine W 70-52 93%    
  Dec 22, 2022 117   @ Bradley L 63-66 41%    
  Jan 03, 2023 294   Northern Illinois W 72-57 88%    
  Jan 07, 2023 200   @ Ball St. W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 10, 2023 234   @ Bowling Green W 75-71 62%    
  Jan 14, 2023 226   Eastern Michigan W 73-64 77%    
  Jan 17, 2023 263   @ Central Michigan W 70-64 69%    
  Jan 21, 2023 262   @ Western Michigan W 66-60 69%    
  Jan 24, 2023 269   Miami (OH) W 73-61 84%    
  Jan 28, 2023 144   Ohio W 68-63 66%    
  Jan 31, 2023 133   @ Buffalo L 69-71 45%    
  Feb 04, 2023 120   Kent St. W 66-63 60%    
  Feb 07, 2023 108   Toledo W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 11, 2023 144   @ Ohio L 65-66 47%    
  Feb 14, 2023 226   @ Eastern Michigan W 70-67 61%    
  Feb 18, 2023 133   Buffalo W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 21, 2023 108   @ Toledo L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 25, 2023 262   Western Michigan W 69-57 83%    
  Feb 28, 2023 200   Ball St. W 73-65 73%    
  Mar 03, 2023 120   @ Kent St. L 63-66 41%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.6 5.5 5.4 3.5 1.3 20.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.9 5.4 2.5 0.5 0.0 15.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.3 4.1 1.2 0.1 13.5 3rd
4th 0.3 2.3 5.1 3.2 0.7 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.3 2.6 0.4 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 2.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.3 3.6 5.0 6.7 8.3 9.6 10.8 11.4 10.9 10.2 8.1 5.9 3.5 1.3 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.3    1.3
17-1 99.9% 3.5    3.3 0.2
16-2 91.8% 5.4    4.4 1.0 0.0
15-3 68.2% 5.5    3.4 1.9 0.3
14-4 35.4% 3.6    1.4 1.6 0.6 0.0 0.0
13-5 11.8% 1.3    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1
12-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.8% 20.8 14.0 5.3 1.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.3% 88.0% 61.6% 26.4% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 68.7%
17-1 3.5% 74.7% 52.2% 22.5% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 47.0%
16-2 5.9% 53.1% 40.9% 12.2% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.8 20.6%
15-3 8.1% 37.8% 33.0% 4.9% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.0 7.2%
14-4 10.2% 26.3% 24.8% 1.4% 12.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 7.5 1.9%
13-5 10.9% 18.4% 18.3% 0.1% 13.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 8.9 0.2%
12-6 11.4% 14.3% 14.3% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 9.8 0.0%
11-7 10.8% 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 9.7 0.0%
10-8 9.6% 7.9% 7.9% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 8.8
9-9 8.3% 6.3% 6.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 7.8
8-10 6.7% 4.0% 4.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.4
7-11 5.0% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 4.8
6-12 3.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 3.5
5-13 2.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.3
4-14 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
3-15 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 19.2% 16.8% 2.4% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.0 3.0 4.8 3.8 2.2 1.3 0.9 80.8 2.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 99.3% 3.6 12.4 12.9 16.2 30.1 17.8 6.9 1.5 0.7 0.7