Preseason Rankings
Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#101
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.7#68
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#106
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#113
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 1.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 2.2% 2.9% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 35.2% 39.5% 22.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.8% 5.1% 0.8%
Average Seed 11.8 11.5 13.2
.500 or above 85.0% 90.8% 67.8%
.500 or above in Conference 93.0% 95.5% 85.8%
Conference Champion 45.2% 50.7% 28.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.3% 1.5%
First Four2.0% 2.0% 2.1%
First Round34.3% 38.6% 21.6%
Second Round9.0% 10.9% 3.4%
Sweet Sixteen2.7% 3.4% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Home) - 74.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 36 - 48 - 7
Quad 412 - 220 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 150   Penn W 80-73 75%    
  Nov 11, 2022 141   @ Hofstra W 78-77 51%    
  Nov 18, 2022 104   Vermont W 72-71 51%    
  Nov 26, 2022 127   Santa Clara W 80-78 57%    
  Dec 02, 2022 239   Niagara W 74-63 83%    
  Dec 04, 2022 290   Canisius W 82-66 90%    
  Dec 06, 2022 45   Saint Louis L 74-77 41%    
  Dec 11, 2022 103   St. Bonaventure W 72-71 51%    
  Dec 13, 2022 165   Princeton W 78-73 65%    
  Dec 18, 2022 110   @ New Mexico L 80-82 43%    
  Dec 22, 2022 95   SMU L 74-75 47%    
  Jan 01, 2023 145   St. Peter's W 72-65 70%    
  Jan 06, 2023 296   @ Marist W 76-66 78%    
  Jan 08, 2023 221   @ Quinnipiac W 79-75 63%    
  Jan 13, 2023 222   Fairfield W 74-64 79%    
  Jan 15, 2023 218   Rider W 78-68 79%    
  Jan 20, 2023 227   @ Manhattan W 78-73 65%    
  Jan 27, 2023 244   @ Siena W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 29, 2023 221   Quinnipiac W 82-72 79%    
  Feb 03, 2023 267   Mount St. Mary's W 74-60 86%    
  Feb 05, 2023 222   @ Fairfield W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 10, 2023 290   @ Canisius W 79-69 78%    
  Feb 12, 2023 239   @ Niagara W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 17, 2023 227   Manhattan W 81-70 81%    
  Feb 19, 2023 145   @ St. Peter's W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 24, 2023 267   @ Mount St. Mary's W 71-63 72%    
  Feb 26, 2023 244   Siena W 76-65 81%    
  Mar 02, 2023 296   Marist W 79-63 89%    
  Mar 04, 2023 218   @ Rider W 75-71 63%    
Projected Record 20 - 9 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.6 7.3 10.3 10.6 8.2 4.0 45.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.5 5.9 4.6 2.1 0.4 19.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.1 3.7 1.7 0.4 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.8 2.1 0.6 0.0 7.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.1 2.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.6 3.8 5.2 6.5 8.5 10.0 11.2 12.2 12.4 11.0 8.2 4.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 4.0    4.0
19-1 100.0% 8.2    8.0 0.2
18-2 96.1% 10.6    9.6 1.0 0.0
17-3 83.3% 10.3    8.1 2.1 0.1
16-4 59.7% 7.3    4.4 2.5 0.4 0.0
15-5 31.9% 3.6    1.5 1.5 0.5 0.0
14-6 11.4% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 45.2% 45.2 35.9 7.8 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 4.0% 90.2% 74.1% 16.1% 7.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 62.3%
19-1 8.2% 74.9% 63.8% 11.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.1 2.1 30.8%
18-2 11.0% 59.0% 52.9% 6.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.8 2.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.5 13.1%
17-3 12.4% 47.8% 45.6% 2.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.5 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.5 4.0%
16-4 12.2% 36.4% 35.8% 0.6% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 7.8 1.0%
15-5 11.2% 27.5% 27.4% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 8.1 0.2%
14-6 10.0% 21.4% 21.4% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 7.9 0.0%
13-7 8.5% 17.7% 17.7% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 7.0
12-8 6.5% 13.0% 13.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 5.7
11-9 5.2% 10.1% 10.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 4.7
10-10 3.8% 7.3% 7.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.6
9-11 2.6% 5.5% 5.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.4
8-12 1.7% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.6
7-13 1.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 1.1
6-14 0.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7
5-15 0.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4
4-16 0.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 35.2% 32.6% 2.6% 11.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.9 5.5 9.5 7.1 3.8 1.9 1.3 64.8 3.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 3.3 12.6 19.1 25.8 19.9 13.4 6.1 3.1