Preseason Rankings
Santa Clara
West Coast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#127
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace76.2#24
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#107
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#160
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.9% 1.2% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 9.7% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.8% 6.3% 0.9%
Average Seed 10.3 10.1 12.3
.500 or above 50.9% 60.2% 25.6%
.500 or above in Conference 42.8% 49.1% 25.6%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.8% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 7.9% 18.3%
First Four2.0% 2.5% 0.8%
First Round6.7% 8.4% 2.0%
Second Round2.4% 3.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Washington (Home) - 73.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 5
Quad 22 - 42 - 9
Quad 35 - 47 - 13
Quad 47 - 215 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 185   Eastern Washington W 84-78 73%    
  Nov 10, 2022 251   Georgia Southern W 78-68 82%    
  Nov 14, 2022 76   @ Utah St. L 71-79 24%    
  Nov 18, 2022 91   DePaul L 77-80 39%    
  Nov 26, 2022 101   Iona L 78-80 43%    
  Nov 30, 2022 62   Wyoming L 72-78 30%    
  Dec 03, 2022 275   Sacramento St. W 79-67 84%    
  Dec 07, 2022 111   New Mexico St. W 75-73 57%    
  Dec 10, 2022 210   San Jose St. W 78-70 73%    
  Dec 13, 2022 278   Portland St. W 85-73 84%    
  Dec 15, 2022 143   UC Irvine W 74-69 65%    
  Dec 18, 2022 128   California W 72-69 60%    
  Dec 22, 2022 77   Boise St. L 71-73 44%    
  Dec 29, 2022 83   San Francisco L 78-79 46%    
  Dec 31, 2022 44   St. Mary's L 67-72 35%    
  Jan 05, 2023 194   @ Pepperdine W 81-80 53%    
  Jan 07, 2023 1   Gonzaga L 79-94 11%    
  Jan 14, 2023 228   @ Pacific W 78-75 59%    
  Jan 19, 2023 55   BYU L 76-80 39%    
  Jan 21, 2023 44   @ St. Mary's L 64-75 19%    
  Jan 28, 2023 228   Pacific W 81-72 76%    
  Feb 02, 2023 1   @ Gonzaga L 76-97 5%    
  Feb 04, 2023 83   @ San Francisco L 75-82 29%    
  Feb 09, 2023 176   San Diego W 76-70 69%    
  Feb 11, 2023 155   Loyola Marymount W 79-74 66%    
  Feb 16, 2023 55   @ BYU L 73-83 22%    
  Feb 18, 2023 154   @ Portland L 79-80 48%    
  Feb 23, 2023 194   Pepperdine W 84-77 70%    
  Feb 25, 2023 176   @ San Diego W 74-73 51%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.3 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.1 2.9 0.9 0.1 10.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.4 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.2 6.3 2.6 0.3 0.0 14.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.8 6.3 2.3 0.2 14.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.6 5.9 1.8 0.2 13.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 4.2 4.8 1.5 0.1 11.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 3.5 3.4 1.0 0.1 9.3 9th
10th 0.5 1.6 2.1 1.5 0.4 0.0 6.2 10th
Total 0.5 1.7 3.5 6.0 8.9 11.1 12.8 12.9 12.2 10.5 8.2 5.6 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 61.4% 0.4    0.3 0.2 0.0
13-3 26.5% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1
12-4 6.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 100.0% 59.0% 41.0% 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-1 0.2% 92.7% 28.6% 64.1% 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.8%
14-2 0.7% 85.4% 19.6% 65.8% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 81.9%
13-3 1.8% 67.6% 13.4% 54.2% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 62.5%
12-4 3.4% 45.8% 10.9% 34.9% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.9 39.1%
11-5 5.6% 25.9% 7.9% 17.9% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.1 19.5%
10-6 8.2% 12.3% 5.2% 7.1% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.2 7.5%
9-7 10.5% 5.8% 3.7% 2.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.9 2.1%
8-8 12.2% 3.5% 2.9% 0.6% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.8 0.6%
7-9 12.9% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.6 0.0%
6-10 12.8% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.6
5-11 11.1% 0.9% 0.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.0
4-12 8.9% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 8.8
3-13 6.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.0
2-14 3.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.5
1-15 1.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.7
0-16 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 7.8% 3.1% 4.7% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 92.2 4.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 2.0 51.2 24.4 24.4
Lose Out 0.0%