Preseason Rankings
Rice
Conference USA
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#206
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.2#134
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#145
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#270
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 6.0% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.1 12.4 14.2
.500 or above 38.8% 59.8% 26.8%
.500 or above in Conference 30.2% 44.1% 22.3%
Conference Champion 2.3% 4.3% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 19.3% 10.4% 24.4%
First Four0.8% 1.0% 0.7%
First Round3.2% 5.5% 1.9%
Second Round0.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pepperdine (Away) - 36.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 33 - 64 - 13
Quad 48 - 312 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 194   @ Pepperdine L 76-80 36%    
  Nov 15, 2022 137   @ Middle Tennessee L 70-77 28%    
  Nov 18, 2022 251   Georgia Southern W 74-69 68%    
  Nov 19, 2022 262   Western Michigan W 74-67 72%    
  Nov 21, 2022 298   Houston Christian W 68-59 79%    
  Nov 30, 2022 285   Prairie View W 81-72 77%    
  Dec 04, 2022 168   @ Texas St. L 66-71 35%    
  Dec 12, 2022 9   @ Texas L 58-80 4%    
  Dec 17, 2022 338   Northwestern St. W 86-73 86%    
  Dec 29, 2022 107   @ Western Kentucky L 72-81 23%    
  Dec 31, 2022 148   @ UTEP L 68-74 32%    
  Jan 05, 2023 121   Louisiana Tech L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 11, 2023 137   Middle Tennessee L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 14, 2023 148   UTEP W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 16, 2023 249   @ Texas San Antonio L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 19, 2023 79   @ North Texas L 57-69 17%    
  Jan 26, 2023 164   Charlotte W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 28, 2023 60   UAB L 73-81 27%    
  Feb 02, 2023 121   @ Louisiana Tech L 70-78 26%    
  Feb 04, 2023 79   North Texas L 60-66 32%    
  Feb 09, 2023 125   @ Florida Atlantic L 70-78 27%    
  Feb 11, 2023 224   @ Florida International L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 16, 2023 249   Texas San Antonio W 77-72 66%    
  Feb 18, 2023 107   Western Kentucky L 75-78 40%    
  Feb 23, 2023 60   @ UAB L 70-84 14%    
  Feb 25, 2023 164   @ Charlotte L 70-75 36%    
  Mar 02, 2023 125   Florida Atlantic L 73-75 45%    
  Mar 04, 2023 224   Florida International W 75-71 63%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 5.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.9 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 2.8 2.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.3 3.6 3.3 1.1 0.1 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.2 3.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.7 4.6 3.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.8 4.7 2.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 13.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.6 4.6 3.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 14.2 10th
11th 0.8 2.2 3.7 3.5 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 13.3 11th
Total 0.8 2.3 4.5 6.2 8.1 9.1 9.8 10.0 9.9 9.0 7.7 6.4 5.4 3.8 2.8 2.0 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 92.4% 0.3    0.2 0.0
17-3 79.3% 0.5    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 52.2% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1
15-5 24.8% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 9.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 90.9% 54.5% 36.4% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.0%
19-1 0.1% 75.9% 29.3% 46.6% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 65.9%
18-2 0.3% 67.5% 38.1% 29.4% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 47.5%
17-3 0.6% 38.1% 23.3% 14.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 19.3%
16-4 1.2% 27.7% 20.4% 7.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 9.2%
15-5 2.0% 16.2% 14.0% 2.2% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6 2.6%
14-6 2.8% 12.0% 11.3% 0.7% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.8%
13-7 3.8% 8.3% 8.2% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.5 0.1%
12-8 5.4% 6.3% 6.3% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.1
11-9 6.4% 5.3% 5.3% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.0
10-10 7.7% 3.8% 3.8% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 7.4
9-11 9.0% 2.8% 2.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.7
8-12 9.9% 1.7% 1.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.7
7-13 10.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.9
6-14 9.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 9.7
5-15 9.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.1
4-16 8.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.1
3-17 6.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.2
2-18 4.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.5
1-19 2.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.3
0-20 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 3.6% 3.2% 0.4% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.7 96.4 0.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%