Preseason Rankings
Pepperdine
West Coast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#194
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.5#40
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#174
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#214
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.5% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.3 12.0 14.0
.500 or above 30.0% 40.0% 12.5%
.500 or above in Conference 24.7% 31.2% 13.3%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 23.5% 17.3% 34.2%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
First Round1.6% 2.1% 0.7%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rice (Home) - 63.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 33 - 55 - 14
Quad 47 - 211 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 206   Rice W 80-76 64%    
  Nov 11, 2022 191   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 72-75 38%    
  Nov 13, 2022 354   Alabama St. W 84-66 95%    
  Nov 19, 2022 143   UC Irvine W 71-70 52%    
  Nov 23, 2022 8   @ UCLA L 63-84 4%    
  Nov 26, 2022 116   @ Grand Canyon L 68-76 26%    
  Nov 30, 2022 273   Cal Poly W 74-66 75%    
  Dec 03, 2022 320   Northern Arizona W 79-67 83%    
  Dec 06, 2022 126   Nevada L 80-81 46%    
  Dec 10, 2022 129   UC Santa Barbara L 73-74 47%    
  Dec 22, 2022 157   @ Hawaii L 69-74 35%    
  Dec 31, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 72-97 2%    
  Jan 05, 2023 127   Santa Clara L 80-81 47%    
  Jan 07, 2023 228   Pacific W 78-73 65%    
  Jan 12, 2023 176   @ San Diego L 70-74 38%    
  Jan 14, 2023 55   @ BYU L 70-84 14%    
  Jan 19, 2023 44   St. Mary's L 64-73 25%    
  Jan 21, 2023 154   @ Portland L 76-81 35%    
  Jan 26, 2023 176   San Diego W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 28, 2023 155   @ Loyola Marymount L 72-77 35%    
  Feb 02, 2023 228   @ Pacific L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 04, 2023 154   Portland W 79-78 54%    
  Feb 09, 2023 55   BYU L 73-81 27%    
  Feb 11, 2023 83   @ San Francisco L 72-83 19%    
  Feb 18, 2023 1   Gonzaga L 75-94 7%    
  Feb 23, 2023 127   @ Santa Clara L 77-84 30%    
  Feb 25, 2023 155   Loyola Marymount W 75-74 54%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.5 5.3 1.8 0.1 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 5.2 5.9 1.8 0.1 13.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 5.7 6.2 1.6 0.1 0.0 15.1 8th
9th 0.2 2.7 6.2 5.5 1.4 0.1 16.1 9th
10th 1.8 4.4 5.4 3.2 0.7 0.0 15.5 10th
Total 1.8 4.6 8.1 10.9 12.8 13.4 12.7 11.0 8.8 6.7 4.4 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 68.6% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-3 22.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 7.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 83.7% 17.4% 66.3% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.3%
14-2 0.2% 65.2% 15.1% 50.1% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 59.0%
13-3 0.6% 37.0% 10.5% 26.4% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 29.5%
12-4 1.4% 20.9% 6.9% 14.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 15.1%
11-5 2.6% 8.8% 4.9% 3.9% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 4.1%
10-6 4.4% 4.9% 3.9% 1.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2 1.1%
9-7 6.7% 3.1% 2.7% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5 0.4%
8-8 8.8% 1.9% 1.9% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6
7-9 11.0% 1.2% 1.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.9
6-10 12.7% 0.7% 0.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.6
5-11 13.4% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.3
4-12 12.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.8
3-13 10.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.8
2-14 8.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.1
1-15 4.6% 4.6
0-16 1.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.8
Total 100% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 98.1 0.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%