Preseason Rankings
Wofford
Southern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#181
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.5#329
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#175
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#192
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.3% 12.4% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.3 12.9 14.3
.500 or above 52.9% 67.9% 35.0%
.500 or above in Conference 59.1% 69.6% 46.7%
Conference Champion 10.1% 14.1% 5.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 4.1% 11.3%
First Four1.4% 1.3% 1.4%
First Round8.7% 11.8% 5.0%
Second Round1.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Away) - 54.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 33 - 54 - 11
Quad 49 - 314 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 255   @ High Point W 68-67 54%    
  Nov 14, 2022 74   @ Drake L 62-74 15%    
  Nov 18, 2022 237   Gardner-Webb W 69-63 70%    
  Nov 20, 2022 270   N.C. A&T W 72-64 76%    
  Nov 27, 2022 47   @ LSU L 62-76 12%    
  Dec 01, 2022 310   Presbyterian W 71-59 83%    
  Dec 03, 2022 72   @ Vanderbilt L 62-74 17%    
  Dec 06, 2022 184   Coastal Carolina W 69-66 60%    
  Dec 10, 2022 251   @ Georgia Southern W 66-65 52%    
  Dec 20, 2022 39   @ Texas A&M L 59-74 11%    
  Dec 29, 2022 189   East Tennessee St. W 69-66 60%    
  Dec 31, 2022 139   UNC Greensboro W 63-62 53%    
  Jan 04, 2023 198   @ Mercer L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 07, 2023 265   The Citadel W 77-69 75%    
  Jan 11, 2023 172   @ Samford L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 14, 2023 272   VMI W 76-68 75%    
  Jan 18, 2023 268   @ Western Carolina W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 21, 2023 96   Furman L 67-70 40%    
  Jan 25, 2023 130   @ Chattanooga L 63-69 31%    
  Jan 28, 2023 172   Samford W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 01, 2023 189   @ East Tennessee St. L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 04, 2023 96   @ Furman L 64-73 24%    
  Feb 08, 2023 268   Western Carolina W 75-67 74%    
  Feb 12, 2023 139   @ UNC Greensboro L 60-65 35%    
  Feb 15, 2023 198   Mercer W 69-65 62%    
  Feb 18, 2023 265   @ The Citadel W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 22, 2023 272   @ VMI W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 25, 2023 130   Chattanooga L 65-66 50%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.3 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.3 10.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.8 3.8 2.8 1.0 0.2 11.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.0 4.2 2.0 0.3 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.6 3.9 1.3 0.1 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.0 3.4 0.9 0.0 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.7 2.9 0.6 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.7 4.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 2.6 3.3 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.4 2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 7.1 9th
10th 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.6 10th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.6 4.3 5.9 7.5 8.7 9.7 10.5 10.3 9.8 8.6 7.2 5.5 3.8 2.2 1.0 0.3 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.0    1.0 0.1
16-2 92.8% 2.0    1.7 0.3 0.0
15-3 74.1% 2.8    1.9 0.9 0.1
14-4 42.7% 2.3    1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 17.5% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1
12-6 3.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.1% 10.1 6.3 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 79.1% 48.7% 30.4% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 59.3%
17-1 1.0% 59.5% 45.6% 13.9% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 25.6%
16-2 2.2% 43.6% 36.9% 6.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 10.7%
15-3 3.8% 31.9% 29.4% 2.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.6 3.5%
14-4 5.5% 21.1% 20.3% 0.8% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 4.3 1.0%
13-5 7.2% 16.4% 16.2% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.0 0.2%
12-6 8.6% 13.4% 13.4% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 7.5
11-7 9.8% 9.0% 9.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 8.9
10-8 10.3% 7.3% 7.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 9.5
9-9 10.5% 4.3% 4.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 10.0
8-10 9.7% 3.2% 3.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.4
7-11 8.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.5
6-12 7.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.3
5-13 5.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.8
4-14 4.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-15 2.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.6
2-16 1.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.4
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
Total 100% 9.3% 8.8% 0.5% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 1.9 1.6 1.3 1.5 90.7 0.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 2.4 40.0 20.0 40.0
Lose Out 0.0%