Preseason Rankings
Texas A&M
Southeastern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.6#39
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.0#213
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#55
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#30
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
#1 Seed 2.7% 2.8% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 6.4% 6.5% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 15.3% 15.8% 1.1%
Top 6 Seed 25.3% 26.0% 3.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 49.8% 50.9% 14.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 46.5% 47.6% 12.3%
Average Seed 6.4 6.4 8.6
.500 or above 74.6% 75.9% 33.2%
.500 or above in Conference 54.3% 55.3% 21.8%
Conference Champion 5.5% 5.6% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 5.8% 20.4%
First Four4.2% 4.2% 2.3%
First Round47.8% 48.9% 13.0%
Second Round31.6% 32.3% 7.1%
Sweet Sixteen15.2% 15.6% 2.1%
Elite Eight6.8% 7.0% 0.7%
Final Four3.2% 3.2% 0.2%
Championship Game1.4% 1.4% 0.1%
National Champion0.6% 0.6% 0.1%

Next Game: Louisiana Monroe (Home) - 97.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 8
Quad 24 - 38 - 10
Quad 35 - 112 - 11
Quad 45 - 018 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 259   Louisiana Monroe W 81-61 97%    
  Nov 11, 2022 147   Abilene Christian W 79-66 88%    
  Nov 17, 2022 114   Murray St. W 72-64 76%    
  Nov 25, 2022 91   @ DePaul W 73-71 58%    
  Nov 30, 2022 95   SMU W 75-66 76%    
  Dec 03, 2022 77   Boise St. W 68-64 62%    
  Dec 11, 2022 204   Oregon St. W 79-63 91%    
  Dec 17, 2022 35   @ Memphis L 70-73 39%    
  Dec 20, 2022 181   Wofford W 74-59 89%    
  Dec 27, 2022 338   Northwestern St. W 88-62 98%    
  Dec 30, 2022 285   Prairie View W 83-61 96%    
  Jan 04, 2023 30   @ Florida L 66-70 38%    
  Jan 07, 2023 47   LSU W 73-69 62%    
  Jan 11, 2023 70   Missouri W 72-66 70%    
  Jan 14, 2023 87   @ South Carolina W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 18, 2023 30   Florida W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 21, 2023 3   @ Kentucky L 67-77 21%    
  Jan 25, 2023 21   @ Auburn L 70-76 33%    
  Jan 28, 2023 72   Vanderbilt W 72-66 69%    
  Jan 31, 2023 11   @ Arkansas L 68-76 26%    
  Feb 04, 2023 106   Georgia W 79-69 78%    
  Feb 07, 2023 21   Auburn W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 11, 2023 47   @ LSU L 70-72 44%    
  Feb 15, 2023 11   Arkansas L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 18, 2023 70   @ Missouri W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 21, 2023 10   Tennessee L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 25, 2023 64   @ Mississippi St. L 67-68 49%    
  Feb 28, 2023 58   @ Mississippi L 67-68 47%    
  Mar 04, 2023 22   Alabama W 77-76 53%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.5 0.6 0.2 5.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.1 3.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.2 3.5 1.1 0.1 8.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.9 1.4 0.1 8.6 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 4.3 1.8 0.2 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 4.1 2.3 0.2 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.6 2.8 0.5 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.1 3.1 0.8 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.8 1.0 0.1 7.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.9 0.8 0.1 5.3 13th
14th 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.5 14th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.4 5.0 6.5 8.2 9.5 10.2 10.6 10.1 9.3 7.9 6.4 4.5 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.2 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 96.0% 0.6    0.5 0.1
16-2 87.4% 1.5    1.0 0.4 0.0
15-3 54.9% 1.6    0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 24.4% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 6.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.5% 5.5 3.0 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 100.0% 23.9% 76.1% 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.6% 100.0% 29.5% 70.5% 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.7% 100.0% 23.9% 76.1% 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 3.0% 100.0% 18.1% 81.9% 2.4 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 4.5% 100.0% 15.2% 84.8% 3.3 0.4 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 6.4% 99.3% 11.6% 87.8% 4.5 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
12-6 7.9% 97.1% 9.0% 88.1% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.6 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 96.8%
11-7 9.3% 90.7% 6.8% 83.9% 7.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.9 90.0%
10-8 10.1% 76.2% 5.7% 70.5% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.1 2.4 74.8%
9-9 10.6% 53.5% 4.9% 48.6% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9 51.1%
8-10 10.2% 25.7% 3.8% 21.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.6 22.7%
7-11 9.5% 9.0% 3.0% 6.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7 6.2%
6-12 8.2% 3.0% 2.3% 0.8% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.9 0.8%
5-13 6.5% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.4 0.0%
4-14 5.0% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.9
3-15 3.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.3
2-16 1.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.9
1-17 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.8
0-18 0.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2
Total 100% 49.8% 6.1% 43.6% 6.4 2.7 3.7 4.3 4.7 5.0 5.0 5.4 5.0 4.6 4.1 3.5 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 50.2 46.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 1.1 89.6 10.4