IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Idaho
Big Sky
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.7	#342
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.3	#45
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.4	#333

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.3	#339

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.7%	1.2%	0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.5	15.8

.500 or above	9.2%	17.5%	3.7%
.500 or above in Conference	10.9%	18.0%	6.2%
Conference Champion	0.4%	0.8%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	41.4%	30.1%	48.9%

First Four	0.4%	0.6%	0.3%
First Round	0.5%	0.9%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Denver (Away) - 39.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 7	1 - 9
Quad 4	7 - 12	8 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	346	@ Denver	L	72-75	40%
Nov 13, 2022	307	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	76-83	27%
Nov 16, 2022	284	Cal St. Bakersfield	L	68-71	41%
Nov 19, 2022	253	Utah Tech	L	62-67	33%
Nov 23, 2022	273	@ Cal Poly	L	64-74	20%
Nov 25, 2022	228	@ Pacific	L	68-81	14%
Dec 02, 2022	294	Northern Illinois	L	72-74	44%
Dec 06, 2022	322	North Dakota	W	76-75	50%
Dec 11, 2022	207	UC Riverside	L	67-75	25%
Dec 19, 2022	311	@ Cal St. Northridge	L	69-76	29%
Dec 21, 2022	188	@ Long Beach St.	L	72-87	11%
Dec 29, 2022	140	@ Montana St.	L	67-84	8%
Dec 31, 2022	170	@ Montana	L	63-79	10%
Jan 05, 2023	275	Sacramento St.	L	69-73	39%
Jan 07, 2023	278	Portland St.	L	76-79	39%
Jan 14, 2023	185	@ Eastern Washington	L	71-86	11%
Jan 16, 2023	140	Montana St.	L	70-81	18%
Jan 19, 2023	320	@ Northern Arizona	L	69-75	32%
Jan 21, 2023	213	@ Northern Colorado	L	73-87	14%
Jan 26, 2023	208	Weber St.	L	74-82	26%
Jan 28, 2023	324	Idaho St.	W	70-69	52%
Feb 02, 2023	278	@ Portland St.	L	73-82	23%
Feb 04, 2023	275	@ Sacramento St.	L	66-76	23%
Feb 11, 2023	185	Eastern Washington	L	74-83	23%
Feb 16, 2023	213	Northern Colorado	L	76-84	27%
Feb 18, 2023	320	Northern Arizona	W	72-71	50%
Feb 23, 2023	324	@ Idaho St.	L	67-73	34%
Feb 25, 2023	208	@ Weber St.	L	71-85	14%
Feb 27, 2023	170	Montana	L	66-76	22%
Projected Record						8 - 21	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Sky Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0				1.0	2nd
3rd										0.1	0.4	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0						1.8	3rd
4th								0.0	0.1	0.7	1.3	0.8	0.1	0.0							3.0	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	1.4	2.0	1.0	0.2	0.0								5.0	5th
6th						0.0	0.7	2.2	3.0	1.3	0.2	0.0									7.4	6th
7th					0.2	1.6	3.9	3.8	1.4	0.2	0.0										11.1	7th
8th			0.0	0.8	3.4	6.2	4.2	1.3	0.1	0.0											16.0	8th
9th		0.4	3.1	7.1	7.3	4.1	1.1	0.1	0.0												23.1	9th
10th	4.4	8.6	9.5	6.0	2.2	0.5	0.0														31.1	10th

Total	4.4	9.0	12.6	13.9	13.1	12.4	9.9	7.7	6.1	4.2	2.9	1.8	1.1	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	93.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-3	74.3%	0.1		0.1	0.0
14-4	51.7%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	16.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.4%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%																				0.0			0.0
16-2	0.0%		50.7%	50.7%		13.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
15-3	0.1%		19.8%	19.8%		14.6														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
14-4	0.3%		12.4%	12.4%		14.8														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
13-5	0.5%		9.3%	9.3%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4
12-6	1.1%		6.6%	6.6%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0
11-7	1.8%		4.5%	4.5%		15.7																0.0	0.1	1.7
10-8	2.9%		4.0%	4.0%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	2.7
9-9	4.2%		2.2%	2.2%		15.9																0.0	0.1	4.1
8-10	6.1%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	6.0
7-11	7.7%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	7.7
6-12	9.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	9.9
5-13	12.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	12.4
4-14	13.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.1
3-15	13.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.9
2-16	12.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.6
1-17	9.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.0
0-18	4.4%																							4.4

Total	100%		0.7%	0.7%	0.0%	15.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	99.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.3%