Preseason Rankings
Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#185
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.0#61
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#135
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#244
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.9% 25.9% 13.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.3 14.4
.500 or above 67.9% 88.2% 60.4%
.500 or above in Conference 80.8% 91.6% 76.8%
Conference Champion 20.8% 32.6% 16.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.4% 2.2%
First Four1.9% 1.5% 2.1%
First Round16.0% 25.2% 12.7%
Second Round1.6% 3.3% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Away) - 26.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 54 - 9
Quad 413 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 127   @ Santa Clara L 78-84 27%    
  Nov 11, 2022 146   Yale L 75-77 43%    
  Nov 13, 2022 157   @ Hawaii L 70-74 36%    
  Nov 14, 2022 363   Mississippi Valley W 91-67 98%    
  Nov 21, 2022 71   Washington St. L 69-78 23%    
  Nov 25, 2022 258   Stony Brook W 80-75 65%    
  Nov 27, 2022 224   @ Florida International L 75-76 47%    
  Dec 03, 2022 216   North Dakota St. W 77-72 64%    
  Dec 07, 2022 128   @ California L 67-73 30%    
  Dec 10, 2022 134   @ South Dakota St. L 79-85 32%    
  Dec 13, 2022 17   @ Texas Tech L 63-81 7%    
  Dec 17, 2022 232   UC Davis W 76-70 67%    
  Dec 29, 2022 170   @ Montana L 71-74 39%    
  Dec 31, 2022 140   @ Montana St. L 74-79 34%    
  Jan 05, 2023 278   Portland St. W 83-74 76%    
  Jan 07, 2023 275   Sacramento St. W 77-68 76%    
  Jan 14, 2023 342   Idaho W 86-71 89%    
  Jan 16, 2023 170   Montana W 74-71 58%    
  Jan 19, 2023 213   @ Northern Colorado L 80-82 45%    
  Jan 21, 2023 320   @ Northern Arizona W 76-70 69%    
  Jan 26, 2023 324   Idaho St. W 78-65 84%    
  Jan 28, 2023 208   Weber St. W 81-77 63%    
  Feb 02, 2023 275   @ Sacramento St. W 74-71 58%    
  Feb 04, 2023 278   @ Portland St. W 80-77 59%    
  Feb 11, 2023 342   @ Idaho W 83-74 77%    
  Feb 16, 2023 320   Northern Arizona W 79-67 83%    
  Feb 18, 2023 213   Northern Colorado W 83-79 64%    
  Feb 23, 2023 208   @ Weber St. L 78-80 44%    
  Feb 25, 2023 324   @ Idaho St. W 75-68 70%    
  Feb 27, 2023 140   Montana St. W 77-76 53%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.7 5.8 5.2 3.3 1.2 20.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.3 5.9 5.4 2.5 0.5 18.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.9 5.9 3.6 0.9 0.1 15.7 3rd
4th 0.2 1.4 4.3 4.9 2.2 0.3 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.9 3.9 1.2 0.1 10.9 5th
6th 0.3 1.6 3.2 2.6 0.6 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.4 4.8 6.5 8.4 9.9 10.9 11.8 11.2 10.1 8.4 5.7 3.3 1.2 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.2    1.2
17-1 100.0% 3.3    3.2 0.1
16-2 90.9% 5.2    4.3 0.9 0.0
15-3 69.1% 5.8    3.6 2.0 0.2
14-4 37.1% 3.7    1.6 1.7 0.5 0.0
13-5 12.3% 1.4    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.8% 20.8 14.2 5.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.2% 70.8% 66.6% 4.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 12.6%
17-1 3.3% 57.4% 55.8% 1.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 3.7%
16-2 5.7% 44.1% 43.3% 0.7% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.2 1.3%
15-3 8.4% 32.8% 32.7% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.1 5.6 0.1%
14-4 10.1% 25.8% 25.8% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.2 7.5
13-5 11.2% 18.8% 18.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.5 9.1
12-6 11.8% 15.0% 15.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 10.0
11-7 10.9% 9.7% 9.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 9.8
10-8 9.9% 6.7% 6.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.2
9-9 8.4% 4.6% 4.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 8.0
8-10 6.5% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 6.3
7-11 4.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 4.8
6-12 3.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 3.3
5-13 2.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.1
4-14 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.9% 16.8% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.0 3.3 4.0 3.5 3.2 83.1 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 91.8% 4.8 8.2 8.2 24.6 26.2 24.6