Preseason Rankings
Kent St.
Mid-American
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.5#120
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.5#256
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#131
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#125
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 1.1% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.2% 23.6% 11.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.9% 3.2% 0.5%
Average Seed 12.3 11.8 13.3
.500 or above 78.3% 89.2% 64.7%
.500 or above in Conference 81.2% 88.4% 72.2%
Conference Champion 22.4% 29.3% 13.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.6% 2.6%
First Four1.5% 1.6% 1.3%
First Round17.5% 22.9% 10.8%
Second Round4.1% 6.1% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Away) - 55.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 35 - 46 - 9
Quad 411 - 217 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 195   @ Northern Kentucky W 67-65 55%    
  Nov 14, 2022 154   Portland W 76-70 69%    
  Nov 16, 2022 360   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-54 99%    
  Nov 19, 2022 362   Chicago St. W 82-54 99%    
  Nov 23, 2022 151   @ College of Charleston L 78-79 48%    
  Nov 26, 2022 5   @ Houston L 56-74 7%    
  Dec 01, 2022 134   South Dakota St. W 78-74 64%    
  Dec 05, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 68-89 4%    
  Dec 10, 2022 215   @ Cleveland St. W 71-69 58%    
  Dec 21, 2022 111   New Mexico St. L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 03, 2023 262   Western Michigan W 73-61 83%    
  Jan 07, 2023 269   @ Miami (OH) W 75-69 69%    
  Jan 10, 2023 108   Toledo W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 14, 2023 144   @ Ohio L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 17, 2023 226   @ Eastern Michigan W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 21, 2023 200   Ball St. W 78-70 73%    
  Jan 24, 2023 294   @ Northern Illinois W 72-64 75%    
  Jan 28, 2023 133   Buffalo W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 31, 2023 263   Central Michigan W 77-65 83%    
  Feb 04, 2023 119   @ Akron L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 07, 2023 234   Bowling Green W 83-73 78%    
  Feb 11, 2023 133   @ Buffalo L 74-76 45%    
  Feb 14, 2023 262   @ Western Michigan W 70-64 68%    
  Feb 18, 2023 226   Eastern Michigan W 77-68 77%    
  Feb 21, 2023 200   @ Ball St. W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 25, 2023 234   @ Bowling Green W 80-76 61%    
  Feb 28, 2023 144   Ohio W 72-67 65%    
  Mar 03, 2023 119   Akron W 66-63 59%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.6 6.1 5.9 3.9 1.5 22.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.1 5.5 2.9 0.7 0.0 16.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.2 4.3 1.3 0.1 13.6 3rd
4th 0.3 2.4 4.7 3.1 0.7 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.9 2.5 0.4 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 2.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.3 4.8 6.2 7.9 9.2 10.1 11.1 11.3 10.5 9.1 6.5 4.0 1.5 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.5    1.5
17-1 99.0% 3.9    3.7 0.3
16-2 90.0% 5.9    4.5 1.3 0.0
15-3 66.5% 6.1    3.7 2.1 0.3 0.0
14-4 34.3% 3.6    1.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
13-5 11.1% 1.3    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 22.4% 22.4 15.1 5.7 1.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.5% 79.3% 57.1% 22.2% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 51.7%
17-1 4.0% 63.6% 49.0% 14.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.4 28.6%
16-2 6.5% 45.9% 39.2% 6.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.5 11.0%
15-3 9.1% 32.3% 30.1% 2.2% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.2 3.1%
14-4 10.5% 24.0% 23.4% 0.5% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.9 0.7%
13-5 11.3% 17.6% 17.6% 13.2 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 9.3
12-6 11.1% 13.3% 13.3% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 9.7
11-7 10.1% 9.4% 9.4% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 9.2
10-8 9.2% 7.5% 7.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 8.5
9-9 7.9% 5.1% 5.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 7.5
8-10 6.2% 4.5% 4.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 5.9
7-11 4.8% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.6
6-12 3.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.3
5-13 2.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.2
4-14 1.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.3
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.2% 16.6% 1.6% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 2.6 4.5 3.9 2.4 1.3 1.0 81.8 1.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 3.0 18.8 18.8 25.0 25.0 6.3 6.3