IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-20.3	#360
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.0	#149
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-12.9	#360

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.5	#351

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	n/a	16.0

.500 or above	1.0%	12.2%	1.0%
.500 or above in Conference	13.3%	63.4%	13.2%
Conference Champion	0.3%	12.2%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	26.1%	0.0%	26.1%

First Four	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%
First Round	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: TCU (Away) - 0.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 6
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 9
Quad 4	5 - 12	5 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	19	@ TCU	L	48-86	0.0%
Nov 11, 2022	33	@ Oklahoma	L	49-84	0.1%
Nov 13, 2022	64	@ Mississippi St.	L	51-83	0.3%
Nov 16, 2022	120	@ Kent St.	L	54-81	1%
Nov 18, 2022	215	@ Cleveland St.	L	59-80	3%
Nov 20, 2022	98	@ Nebraska	L	60-89	1%
Nov 30, 2022	231	@ Air Force	L	53-73	5%
Dec 10, 2022	9	@ Texas	L	44-84	0.0%
Dec 14, 2022	90	@ Minnesota	L	52-82	1%
Jan 02, 2023	341	@ Alabama A&M	L	59-70	19%
Jan 02, 2023	354	@ Alabama St.	L	65-72	29%
Jan 07, 2023	241	Texas Southern	L	61-75	13%
Jan 09, 2023	285	Prairie View	L	67-77	21%
Jan 14, 2023	351	@ Florida A&M	L	60-68	26%
Jan 16, 2023	353	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	63-70	29%
Jan 21, 2023	279	Southern	L	64-75	19%
Jan 23, 2023	318	Grambling St.	L	65-73	27%
Jan 28, 2023	363	Mississippi Valley	W	76-69	71%
Feb 04, 2023	350	@ Alcorn St.	L	64-73	25%
Feb 06, 2023	308	@ Jackson St.	L	55-70	13%
Feb 11, 2023	354	Alabama St.	L	68-69	47%
Feb 13, 2023	341	Alabama A&M	L	62-67	35%
Feb 18, 2023	285	@ Prairie View	L	64-80	10%
Feb 20, 2023	241	@ Texas Southern	L	58-78	6%
Feb 25, 2023	363	@ Mississippi Valley	W	73-72	53%
Mar 02, 2023	308	Jackson St.	L	58-67	26%
Mar 04, 2023	350	Alcorn St.	L	67-70	41%
Projected Record						5 - 22	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0					1.5	3rd
4th										0.1	0.7	1.0	0.5	0.1							2.3	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	1.0	1.6	0.7	0.1								3.5	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	1.4	2.2	1.0	0.1	0.0								5.0	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	2.1	3.0	1.4	0.2										7.1	7th
8th					0.0	0.5	2.9	4.1	2.0	0.3	0.0										9.8	8th
9th				0.0	1.2	4.2	5.3	2.4	0.3	0.0											13.5	9th
10th			0.3	2.4	6.1	6.1	2.6	0.3	0.0												17.8	10th
11th		0.9	4.8	7.7	5.7	1.9	0.2	0.0													21.1	11th
12th	2.7	5.7	5.6	2.7	0.7	0.1	0.0														17.5	12th

Total	2.7	6.6	10.6	12.8	13.7	12.8	11.4	9.2	6.9	4.9	3.5	2.2	1.4	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0				Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	82.6%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-3	59.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
14-4	27.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	9.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0		0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%																							0.0
16-2	0.0%		17.4%	17.4%		15.7																0.0	0.0	0.0
15-3	0.2%		19.9%	19.9%		15.8																0.0	0.0	0.1
14-4	0.4%		7.9%	7.9%		16.0																	0.0	0.3
13-5	0.7%		5.9%	5.9%		16.0																	0.0	0.7
12-6	1.4%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																	0.0	1.3
11-7	2.2%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
10-8	3.5%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
9-9	4.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	4.9
8-10	6.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	6.9
7-11	9.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.2
6-12	11.4%																							11.4
5-13	12.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
4-14	13.7%																							13.7
3-15	12.8%																							12.8
2-16	10.6%																							10.6
1-17	6.6%																							6.6
0-18	2.7%																							2.7

Total	100%		0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	16.0																0.0	0.2	99.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	2.7%