Preseason Rankings
Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#199
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.9#323
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#252
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#140
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.4% 12.2% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.3 14.6
.500 or above 52.4% 70.3% 37.2%
.500 or above in Conference 64.5% 76.4% 54.4%
Conference Champion 9.0% 13.8% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 1.4% 5.3%
First Four1.3% 1.2% 1.4%
First Round7.9% 11.7% 4.6%
Second Round0.9% 1.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Away) - 46.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 54 - 10
Quad 410 - 414 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 233   @ Boston University L 65-66 46%    
  Nov 12, 2022 50   @ Providence L 57-71 10%    
  Nov 16, 2022 167   Harvard W 66-64 56%    
  Nov 19, 2022 52   @ Syracuse L 62-76 11%    
  Nov 24, 2022 227   Manhattan W 69-67 56%    
  Dec 02, 2022 97   @ Georgia Tech L 61-71 20%    
  Dec 04, 2022 169   Georgia St. W 67-65 56%    
  Dec 10, 2022 317   Holy Cross W 73-62 82%    
  Dec 18, 2022 247   @ Illinois-Chicago L 68-69 48%    
  Dec 21, 2022 81   @ Davidson L 60-71 18%    
  Dec 29, 2022 270   N.C. A&T W 70-62 73%    
  Dec 31, 2022 258   Stony Brook W 72-65 71%    
  Jan 05, 2023 295   @ William & Mary W 70-66 62%    
  Jan 07, 2023 328   @ Hampton W 72-66 69%    
  Jan 14, 2023 201   Drexel W 67-64 59%    
  Jan 16, 2023 153   Delaware W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 19, 2023 258   @ Stony Brook W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 21, 2023 151   College of Charleston W 75-74 53%    
  Jan 26, 2023 118   @ Towson L 60-68 27%    
  Jan 28, 2023 153   @ Delaware L 64-69 34%    
  Feb 04, 2023 302   Elon W 69-59 79%    
  Feb 08, 2023 141   Hofstra W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 11, 2023 179   @ UNC Wilmington L 64-68 39%    
  Feb 13, 2023 151   @ College of Charleston L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 16, 2023 260   Monmouth W 68-61 71%    
  Feb 18, 2023 295   William & Mary W 73-63 78%    
  Feb 23, 2023 201   @ Drexel L 64-67 41%    
  Feb 25, 2023 141   @ Hofstra L 67-73 32%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.7 2.2 1.2 0.3 9.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.3 3.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 9.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.9 3.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.0 3rd
4th 0.2 1.5 4.2 3.4 0.9 0.1 10.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.1 3.7 0.9 0.1 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.9 3.9 1.0 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.2 3.9 1.2 0.1 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.5 1.5 0.1 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 6.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.3 0.7 0.1 3.5 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.8 13th
Total 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.0 3.1 4.9 6.4 8.2 9.5 10.6 10.9 10.7 9.6 8.1 6.4 4.3 2.5 1.2 0.3 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 99.1% 1.2    1.1 0.1
16-2 86.1% 2.2    1.7 0.4 0.0
15-3 62.7% 2.7    1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0
14-4 29.4% 1.9    0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1
13-5 8.4% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.0% 9.0 5.3 2.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 72.0% 55.9% 16.1% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 36.6%
17-1 1.2% 51.0% 43.1% 7.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 13.8%
16-2 2.5% 34.5% 32.0% 2.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6 3.7%
15-3 4.3% 26.4% 25.2% 1.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.1 1.6%
14-4 6.4% 18.7% 18.5% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 5.2 0.2%
13-5 8.1% 14.0% 14.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 6.9
12-6 9.6% 10.5% 10.5% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 8.6
11-7 10.7% 7.7% 7.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 9.8
10-8 10.9% 5.1% 5.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 10.4
9-9 10.6% 3.4% 3.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 10.2
8-10 9.5% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.3
7-11 8.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 8.0
6-12 6.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 6.3
5-13 4.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.8
4-14 3.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-15 2.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.0
2-16 0.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.9
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.4% 8.2% 0.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.4 1.7 91.6 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 83.3% 5.2 33.3 16.7 16.7 16.7
Lose Out 0.0%