Preseason Rankings
Boston University
Patriot League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#233
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.7#310
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#198
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#252
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.1% 16.1% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.0 14.8
.500 or above 64.3% 79.1% 47.1%
.500 or above in Conference 70.3% 80.1% 58.9%
Conference Champion 14.2% 19.2% 8.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 2.1% 7.7%
First Four1.5% 1.4% 1.7%
First Round11.3% 15.3% 6.5%
Second Round0.8% 1.3% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Home) - 54.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 414 - 716 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 199   Northeastern W 66-65 54%    
  Nov 11, 2022 31   @ Connecticut L 59-77 5%    
  Nov 17, 2022 327   Hartford W 74-64 82%    
  Nov 20, 2022 329   @ New Hampshire W 66-61 66%    
  Nov 26, 2022 281   Southeast Missouri St. W 78-74 63%    
  Nov 27, 2022 306   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 70-68 58%    
  Nov 28, 2022 232   UC Davis L 67-68 50%    
  Dec 02, 2022 280   @ Merrimack W 62-61 52%    
  Dec 07, 2022 40   @ Notre Dame L 61-78 8%    
  Dec 10, 2022 296   @ Marist W 68-66 56%    
  Dec 13, 2022 257   Dartmouth W 68-63 65%    
  Dec 21, 2022 238   @ Umass Lowell L 68-71 41%    
  Dec 30, 2022 246   Navy W 66-62 61%    
  Jan 02, 2023 274   @ Bucknell W 73-72 50%    
  Jan 05, 2023 271   Lafayette W 71-65 68%    
  Jan 08, 2023 312   @ American W 68-65 60%    
  Jan 11, 2023 113   @ Colgate L 65-75 22%    
  Jan 14, 2023 266   Army W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 18, 2023 246   @ Navy L 63-65 43%    
  Jan 21, 2023 297   Loyola Maryland W 69-61 74%    
  Jan 23, 2023 113   Colgate L 68-72 38%    
  Jan 29, 2023 282   @ Lehigh W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 01, 2023 317   Holy Cross W 75-66 76%    
  Feb 04, 2023 297   @ Loyola Maryland W 66-64 56%    
  Feb 08, 2023 312   American W 71-62 76%    
  Feb 11, 2023 271   @ Lafayette L 67-68 49%    
  Feb 15, 2023 317   @ Holy Cross W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 18, 2023 274   Bucknell W 76-70 68%    
  Feb 22, 2023 266   @ Army L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 25, 2023 282   Lehigh W 75-68 71%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.8 3.7 3.3 1.9 0.6 14.2 1st
2nd 0.2 1.3 3.8 5.4 4.4 2.1 0.4 17.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.0 5.0 2.6 0.5 0.0 15.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.9 3.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.5 3.0 0.6 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.2 1.7 0.3 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.1 4.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.7 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.4 3.7 5.6 6.8 8.6 9.4 10.4 10.8 10.4 9.5 7.7 5.8 3.7 1.9 0.6 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
17-1 100.0% 1.9    1.7 0.1
16-2 88.7% 3.3    2.7 0.6 0.0
15-3 64.1% 3.7    2.4 1.2 0.1
14-4 36.7% 2.8    1.2 1.3 0.3 0.0
13-5 15.4% 1.5    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.2% 14.2 9.2 3.9 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.6% 65.2% 61.6% 3.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 9.3%
17-1 1.9% 55.0% 54.5% 0.5% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.2%
16-2 3.7% 40.0% 39.7% 0.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.2 0.6%
15-3 5.8% 32.4% 32.4% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 3.9
14-4 7.7% 23.8% 23.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 5.9
13-5 9.5% 18.8% 18.8% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 7.7
12-6 10.4% 12.3% 12.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 9.1
11-7 10.8% 8.1% 8.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 9.9
10-8 10.4% 5.7% 5.7% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 9.9
9-9 9.4% 4.4% 4.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.0
8-10 8.6% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 8.4
7-11 6.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 6.7
6-12 5.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.5
5-13 3.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.7
4-14 2.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-15 1.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 12.1% 12.0% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 2.9 2.8 2.8 88.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 6.2 7.7 23.1 23.1 7.7 15.4 7.7 7.7 7.7
Lose Out 0.0%