Preseason Rankings
Harvard
Ivy League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#167
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.0#190
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#228
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#132
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.6% 22.5% 11.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.5 13.1 14.3
.500 or above 60.0% 76.5% 44.6%
.500 or above in Conference 69.7% 80.0% 60.0%
Conference Champion 20.5% 27.8% 13.6%
Last Place in Conference 6.7% 3.5% 9.8%
First Four1.9% 1.6% 2.1%
First Round15.7% 21.7% 10.1%
Second Round2.0% 3.3% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana (Neutral) - 48.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 54 - 8
Quad 410 - 314 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 158   Louisiana L 64-65 48%    
  Nov 16, 2022 199   @ Northeastern L 64-66 44%    
  Nov 20, 2022 244   Siena W 70-63 72%    
  Nov 25, 2022 54   Loyola Chicago L 62-69 29%    
  Nov 27, 2022 202   @ Fordham L 65-67 45%    
  Nov 30, 2022 317   @ Holy Cross W 73-67 70%    
  Dec 02, 2022 124   Massachusetts L 75-76 49%    
  Dec 18, 2022 332   Howard W 83-69 87%    
  Dec 20, 2022 143   @ UC Irvine L 63-67 36%    
  Dec 22, 2022 6   @ Kansas L 62-83 4%    
  Dec 28, 2022 337   @ Maine W 69-60 76%    
  Dec 31, 2022 165   @ Princeton L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 06, 2023 240   @ Brown W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 07, 2023 146   @ Yale L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 14, 2023 315   Columbia W 79-67 84%    
  Jan 16, 2023 257   Dartmouth W 69-61 74%    
  Jan 21, 2023 217   Cornell W 79-74 65%    
  Jan 28, 2023 150   @ Penn L 71-75 38%    
  Feb 03, 2023 146   Yale W 71-69 55%    
  Feb 04, 2023 240   Brown W 72-66 69%    
  Feb 11, 2023 150   Penn W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 17, 2023 315   @ Columbia W 76-70 69%    
  Feb 18, 2023 217   @ Cornell L 76-77 47%    
  Feb 25, 2023 165   Princeton W 73-70 59%    
  Mar 04, 2023 257   @ Dartmouth W 66-64 56%    
Projected Record 14 - 11 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 3.1 5.8 6.0 3.6 1.2 20.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 5.4 6.6 3.4 0.6 17.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 6.3 5.8 1.6 0.1 15.7 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 6.2 4.7 0.8 0.0 13.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 5.4 3.6 0.4 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.3 2.5 0.3 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.8 1.4 0.1 7.1 7th
8th 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.8 8th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.6 5.7 8.1 10.1 11.9 12.9 12.8 11.3 9.3 6.6 3.6 1.2 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 1.2    1.2
13-1 100.0% 3.6    3.5 0.2
12-2 90.5% 6.0    4.7 1.2 0.0
11-3 62.2% 5.8    3.2 2.3 0.3 0.0
10-4 27.3% 3.1    0.9 1.4 0.7 0.1
9-5 6.0% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 20.5% 20.5 13.5 5.4 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.2% 76.0% 66.3% 9.7% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 28.7%
13-1 3.6% 55.3% 51.7% 3.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.6 7.4%
12-2 6.6% 40.3% 39.2% 1.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.9 1.8%
11-3 9.3% 31.7% 31.4% 0.3% 13.3 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 6.4 0.4%
10-4 11.3% 23.8% 23.8% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.2 8.6
9-5 12.8% 16.0% 16.0% 0.0% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.3 10.8 0.0%
8-6 12.9% 11.6% 11.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 11.4
7-7 11.9% 8.1% 8.1% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 11.0
6-8 10.1% 4.7% 4.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.6
5-9 8.1% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 7.8
4-10 5.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 5.6
3-11 3.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.6
2-12 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.9
1-13 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 16.6% 16.3% 0.3% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.7 3.6 3.4 2.9 2.5 83.4 0.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 3.9 6.6 6.6 27.6 26.3 19.7 13.2
Lose Out 0.0%