IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
St. Francis Brooklyn
Northeast
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.2	#314
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.1	#208
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.1	#267

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.2	#335

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.5%	20.9%	8.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.0	15.6

.500 or above	40.5%	77.9%	38.8%
.500 or above in Conference	57.7%	82.2%	56.6%
Conference Champion	10.6%	25.6%	9.9%
Last Place in Conference	7.0%	1.6%	7.2%

First Four	4.1%	5.3%	4.0%
First Round	6.1%	18.3%	5.5%
Second Round	0.1%	0.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 4.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 4	12 - 9	12 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2022	90	@ Minnesota	L	61-80	4%
Nov 13, 2022	357	@ St. Thomas	W	74-67	73%
Nov 19, 2022	145	St. Peter's	L	63-71	25%
Nov 23, 2022	32	@ Miami (FL)	L	62-86	2%
Nov 25, 2022	142	@ South Florida	L	59-73	12%
Dec 02, 2022	358	Delaware St.	W	82-69	86%
Dec 06, 2022	327	Hartford	W	74-70	64%
Dec 10, 2022	238	@ Umass Lowell	L	67-76	23%
Dec 13, 2022	152	Longwood	L	68-75	28%
Dec 17, 2022	327	@ Hartford	L	71-73	45%
Dec 31, 2022	349	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	71-69	56%
Jan 05, 2023	319	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	79-75	61%
Jan 07, 2023	280	@ Merrimack	L	61-66	33%
Jan 10, 2023	327	Hartford	W	74-70	63%
Jan 14, 2023	283	Sacred Heart	W	75-74	53%
Jan 16, 2023	304	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	76-80	38%
Jan 20, 2023	291	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	71-75	36%
Jan 22, 2023	280	Merrimack	W	64-63	51%
Jan 26, 2023	252	@ Wagner	L	66-74	26%
Jan 28, 2023	304	LIU Brooklyn	W	79-77	57%
Feb 02, 2023	349	Central Connecticut St.	W	74-66	73%
Feb 04, 2023	359	Stonehill	W	76-63	86%
Feb 09, 2023	252	Wagner	L	69-71	43%
Feb 11, 2023	359	@ Stonehill	W	73-66	72%
Feb 16, 2023	291	St. Francis (PA)	W	74-72	55%
Feb 23, 2023	283	@ Sacred Heart	L	72-77	34%
Feb 25, 2023	319	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	76-78	42%
Projected Record						12 - 15	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	1.0	2.4	3.1	2.5	1.2	0.3		10.6	1st
2nd									0.0	0.3	2.1	4.1	3.6	1.4	0.2				11.7	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.5	3.1	5.3	3.3	0.7	0.0					13.0	3rd
4th							0.0	0.7	3.7	5.8	2.6	0.3							13.1	4th
5th						0.1	0.9	4.4	5.8	2.2	0.1	0.0							13.5	5th
6th					0.1	1.4	4.7	5.1	1.7	0.1									13.3	6th
7th			0.0	0.4	2.0	4.3	3.8	1.2	0.1										11.7	7th
8th		0.1	0.9	2.4	3.2	2.1	0.5	0.0											9.3	8th
9th	0.2	0.8	1.3	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0												4.0	9th

Total	0.2	0.9	2.2	3.9	5.8	8.0	9.8	11.3	11.8	11.5	10.3	8.7	6.7	4.5	2.7	1.2	0.3			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
15-1	100.0%	1.2		1.1	0.0
14-2	92.8%	2.5		2.1	0.4	0.0
13-3	68.7%	3.1		1.9	1.1	0.1
12-4	35.4%	2.4		0.8	1.1	0.4	0.0
11-5	11.1%	1.0		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
10-6	1.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	10.6%	10.6		6.5	3.1	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.3%		70.0%	70.0%		13.9								0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1
15-1	1.2%		57.4%	57.4%		14.7												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.5
14-2	2.7%		43.6%	43.6%		15.1													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	1.5
13-3	4.5%		31.7%	31.7%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	3.1
12-4	6.7%		21.3%	21.3%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.3	1.1	5.2
11-5	8.7%		13.8%	13.8%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.1	7.5
10-6	10.3%		9.6%	9.6%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.9	9.3
9-7	11.5%		5.5%	5.5%		16.0																0.0	0.6	10.9
8-8	11.8%		3.2%	3.2%		16.0																0.0	0.4	11.4
7-9	11.3%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.2	11.1
6-10	9.8%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	9.7
5-11	8.0%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	7.9
4-12	5.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.8
3-13	3.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.9
2-14	2.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.2
1-15	0.9%																							0.9
0-16	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		8.5%	8.5%	0.0%	15.6								0.0				0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.7	6.0	91.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%