Preseason Rankings
UTEP
Conference USA
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#148
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.8#220
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#225
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#109
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 1.4% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 3.1% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 22.2% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.3% 9.4% 1.0%
Average Seed 12.3 10.1 12.7
.500 or above 53.8% 88.9% 52.3%
.500 or above in Conference 48.4% 78.9% 47.2%
Conference Champion 5.2% 16.8% 4.7%
Last Place in Conference 9.6% 1.8% 9.9%
First Four1.2% 3.0% 1.2%
First Round6.6% 20.8% 6.0%
Second Round1.6% 8.7% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 3.2% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas (Away) - 3.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 42 - 7
Quad 34 - 56 - 12
Quad 48 - 214 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 9   @ Texas L 54-73 4%    
  Nov 12, 2022 111   New Mexico St. W 67-66 51%    
  Nov 22, 2022 350   Alcorn St. W 78-59 95%    
  Nov 23, 2022 284   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-59 83%    
  Nov 25, 2022 344   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 78-61 92%    
  Nov 30, 2022 111   @ New Mexico St. L 64-70 32%    
  Dec 10, 2022 91   @ DePaul L 67-75 26%    
  Dec 17, 2022 121   Louisiana Tech W 69-68 52%    
  Dec 21, 2022 270   N.C. A&T W 73-63 79%    
  Dec 29, 2022 60   @ UAB L 66-77 19%    
  Dec 31, 2022 206   Rice W 74-68 68%    
  Jan 07, 2023 121   @ Louisiana Tech L 66-71 34%    
  Jan 11, 2023 249   Texas San Antonio W 74-66 74%    
  Jan 14, 2023 206   @ Rice L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 16, 2023 164   @ Charlotte L 67-69 44%    
  Jan 19, 2023 224   Florida International W 72-65 70%    
  Jan 21, 2023 125   Florida Atlantic W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 28, 2023 79   @ North Texas L 54-63 23%    
  Feb 02, 2023 137   @ Middle Tennessee L 66-70 38%    
  Feb 04, 2023 107   @ Western Kentucky L 68-74 31%    
  Feb 09, 2023 164   Charlotte W 70-66 62%    
  Feb 11, 2023 249   @ Texas San Antonio W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 16, 2023 60   UAB L 69-74 35%    
  Feb 18, 2023 79   North Texas L 57-60 40%    
  Feb 23, 2023 224   @ Florida International W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 25, 2023 125   @ Florida Atlantic L 67-72 35%    
  Mar 02, 2023 107   Western Kentucky L 70-71 49%    
  Mar 04, 2023 137   Middle Tennessee W 69-67 57%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 5.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.3 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.1 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.2 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 9.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.8 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 10.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 4.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.9 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.1 3.7 1.2 0.1 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.1 4.1 3.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.6 2.2 0.7 0.1 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.4 2.7 1.4 0.4 0.0 8.5 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.1 11th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.8 2.9 4.4 6.2 7.5 8.6 9.5 9.6 9.2 9.1 8.0 6.9 5.5 4.1 2.8 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 93.2% 0.9    0.8 0.1
17-3 76.2% 1.2    0.9 0.3 0.0
16-4 47.3% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 21.4% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 7.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.2% 5.2 3.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 88.7% 57.0% 31.7% 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 73.8%
19-1 0.3% 87.7% 48.3% 39.5% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 76.2%
18-2 0.9% 63.5% 29.8% 33.7% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 48.0%
17-3 1.6% 47.9% 27.8% 20.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 27.8%
16-4 2.8% 29.4% 21.0% 8.4% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 10.7%
15-5 4.1% 18.0% 14.9% 3.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.4 3.6%
14-6 5.5% 14.3% 13.5% 0.8% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.8 1.0%
13-7 6.9% 8.5% 8.4% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.3 0.2%
12-8 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.3
11-9 9.1% 5.7% 5.7% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 8.5
10-10 9.2% 4.5% 4.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.8
9-11 9.6% 3.4% 3.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 9.3
8-12 9.5% 2.4% 2.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.2
7-13 8.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.5
6-14 7.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 7.4
5-15 6.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.1
4-16 4.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.4
3-17 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-18 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.8
1-19 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 7.1% 5.9% 1.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.9 92.9 1.3%