Preseason Rankings
Western Illinois
Summit League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#288
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.0#32
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#257
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#315
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 6.2% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 37.0% 67.3% 30.8%
.500 or above in Conference 44.4% 66.0% 40.0%
Conference Champion 2.4% 5.9% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 1.5% 6.5%
First Four0.8% 1.1% 0.8%
First Round2.3% 5.6% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois St. (Away) - 17.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 410 - 711 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 180   @ Illinois St. L 72-82 17%    
  Nov 11, 2022 91   @ DePaul L 70-87 6%    
  Nov 14, 2022 92   @ Central Florida L 67-84 7%    
  Nov 21, 2022 303   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 78-80 42%    
  Nov 26, 2022 223   Youngstown St. L 77-79 43%    
  Nov 30, 2022 339   Southern Indiana W 79-71 74%    
  Dec 03, 2022 303   UT Rio Grande Valley W 81-77 62%    
  Dec 10, 2022 330   @ Eastern Illinois W 74-73 51%    
  Dec 19, 2022 216   North Dakota St. L 73-76 41%    
  Dec 21, 2022 322   North Dakota W 80-75 67%    
  Dec 29, 2022 134   @ South Dakota St. L 76-89 15%    
  Dec 31, 2022 135   @ South Dakota L 70-83 15%    
  Jan 05, 2023 307   Nebraska Omaha W 83-79 63%    
  Jan 07, 2023 346   Denver W 79-71 75%    
  Jan 12, 2023 122   @ Oral Roberts L 77-91 13%    
  Jan 14, 2023 289   @ UMKC L 73-76 41%    
  Jan 21, 2023 357   St. Thomas W 81-66 88%    
  Jan 26, 2023 135   South Dakota L 73-80 29%    
  Jan 28, 2023 134   South Dakota St. L 79-86 30%    
  Feb 02, 2023 346   @ Denver W 76-74 58%    
  Feb 04, 2023 307   @ Nebraska Omaha L 80-82 44%    
  Feb 09, 2023 289   UMKC W 76-73 60%    
  Feb 11, 2023 122   Oral Roberts L 80-88 26%    
  Feb 18, 2023 357   @ St. Thomas W 78-69 75%    
  Feb 23, 2023 322   @ North Dakota L 77-78 47%    
  Feb 25, 2023 216   @ North Dakota St. L 70-79 25%    
Projected Record 11 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.6 0.6 0.1 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.2 1.9 0.4 0.0 8.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.9 4.4 2.0 0.3 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.1 5.8 4.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 15.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.6 6.2 3.7 0.9 0.0 16.8 6th
7th 0.3 2.2 5.1 5.1 2.3 0.3 0.0 15.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.9 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 12.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 2.5 3.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1 10th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.0 3.9 6.1 8.9 10.3 11.5 11.9 11.3 9.9 8.1 6.1 4.0 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 88.5% 0.5    0.4 0.2
15-3 56.2% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1
14-4 23.5% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 4.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 45.5% 45.5% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 40.8% 40.8% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 30.9% 30.9% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.5% 22.3% 22.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
14-4 2.6% 14.4% 14.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.3
13-5 4.0% 10.0% 10.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 3.6
12-6 6.1% 6.0% 6.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 5.8
11-7 8.1% 4.0% 4.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 7.8
10-8 9.9% 2.6% 2.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.6
9-9 11.3% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 11.1
8-10 11.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.8
7-11 11.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.5
6-12 10.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.3
5-13 8.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.9
4-14 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.0
3-15 3.9% 3.9
2-16 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.0
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.3 97.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%