TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#250
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#275
Pace72.2#91
Improvement+0.2#43

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#210
First Shot-3.6#294
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#51
Layup/Dunks-1.7#239
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#158
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#224
Freethrows-0.6#212
Improvement+0.4#10

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#271
First Shot-3.0#271
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#195
Layups/Dunks-0.1#192
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#318
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#248
Freethrows+0.8#145
Improvement-0.2#256
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.2% 51.5% 29.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.2 15.8
.500 or above 69.2% 91.4% 69.0%
.500 or above in Conference 88.6% 94.6% 88.6%
Conference Champion 28.4% 43.1% 28.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
First Four16.2% 14.3% 16.2%
First Round20.6% 44.4% 20.4%
Second Round0.4% 1.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona (Away) - 0.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 21 - 5
Quad 414 - 715 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 28   @ Mississippi St. L 44-63 4%     0 - 1 -3.1 -15.1 +11.6
  Nov 11, 2022 307   Texas San Antonio W 75-55 74%     1 - 1 +8.7 -2.8 +11.6
  Nov 17, 2022 311   UT Rio Grande Valley W 97-75 76%     2 - 1 +10.3 +10.8 -1.8
  Nov 22, 2022 264   Cal St. Bakersfield L 63-73 53%     2 - 2 -15.3 -6.4 -9.1
  Nov 23, 2022 288   Alcorn St. W 98-67 59%     3 - 2 +24.3 +19.5 +3.9
  Nov 25, 2022 189   @ UTEP L 67-72 27%     3 - 3 -3.0 -6.2 +3.5
  Nov 30, 2022 311   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 82-89 55%     3 - 4 -12.7 -0.9 -11.4
  Dec 13, 2022 6   @ Arizona L 73-99 1%    
  Dec 20, 2022 41   @ Oklahoma St. L 63-81 5%    
  Dec 31, 2022 282   @ Northwestern St. L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 04, 2023 327   Incarnate Word W 75-65 81%    
  Jan 07, 2023 327   @ Incarnate Word W 72-68 63%    
  Jan 12, 2023 273   SE Louisiana W 80-76 65%    
  Jan 14, 2023 337   New Orleans W 84-73 83%    
  Jan 19, 2023 330   @ Lamar W 74-70 63%    
  Jan 21, 2023 340   @ Houston Christian W 74-69 67%    
  Jan 26, 2023 249   Nicholls St. W 80-77 61%    
  Jan 28, 2023 354   McNeese St. W 81-68 88%    
  Feb 02, 2023 337   @ New Orleans W 81-76 66%    
  Feb 04, 2023 273   @ SE Louisiana L 77-79 44%    
  Feb 09, 2023 340   Houston Christian W 77-66 83%    
  Feb 11, 2023 330   Lamar W 77-67 81%    
  Feb 16, 2023 249   @ Nicholls St. L 77-80 40%    
  Feb 18, 2023 354   @ McNeese St. W 78-71 73%    
  Feb 23, 2023 261   Texas A&M - Commerce W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 25, 2023 282   Northwestern St. W 74-69 66%    
  Mar 01, 2023 261   @ Texas A&M - Commerce L 68-70 42%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.8 7.9 7.3 4.6 1.8 0.4 28.4 1st
2nd 0.2 2.1 6.5 6.9 4.1 0.9 0.1 20.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.3 5.9 5.7 2.0 0.2 0.0 16.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 5.1 4.3 1.1 0.1 12.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.4 0.7 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 2.6 2.2 0.4 6.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 3.1 5.3 8.4 11.4 13.1 14.7 13.8 12.2 8.1 4.7 1.8 0.4 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 1.8    1.8 0.0
16-2 98.3% 4.6    4.3 0.3
15-3 89.3% 7.3    5.8 1.4 0.1
14-4 64.9% 7.9    4.4 3.1 0.4 0.0
13-5 35.0% 4.8    1.7 2.3 0.8 0.1
12-6 9.6% 1.4    0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 28.4% 28.4 18.5 7.7 1.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 74.5% 74.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.8% 75.3% 75.3% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.4
16-2 4.7% 63.5% 63.5% 15.3 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.2 1.7
15-3 8.1% 53.7% 53.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.0 3.8
14-4 12.2% 46.6% 46.6% 15.8 0.0 0.9 4.7 6.5
13-5 13.8% 35.0% 35.0% 15.9 0.0 0.4 4.4 9.0
12-6 14.7% 27.1% 27.1% 16.0 0.1 3.9 10.7
11-7 13.1% 21.7% 21.7% 16.0 0.0 2.8 10.2
10-8 11.4% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.0 1.6 9.8
9-9 8.4% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.7 7.7
8-10 5.3% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.3 5.0
7-11 3.1% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.1 3.0
6-12 1.7% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.1 1.6
5-13 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.8
4-14 0.4% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 29.2% 29.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.9 5.1 23.0 70.8 0.0%