Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.0#79
Expected Predictive Rating+7.6#78
Pace75.5#33
Improvement-2.2#280

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#94
First Shot+0.5#167
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#26
Layup/Dunks-1.9#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#80
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#183
Freethrows+0.6#135
Improvement+2.0#76

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#76
First Shot+3.0#80
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#116
Layups/Dunks+0.7#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#52
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#113
Freethrows-1.2#269
Improvement-4.2#347
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 8
Quad 29 - 510 - 13
Quad 33 - 213 - 15
Quad 44 - 117 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 264   Kennesaw St. W 94-67 91%     1 - 0 +19.0 -1.0 +15.3
  Nov 13, 2023 271   Central Michigan W 94-67 92%     2 - 0 +18.7 +17.2 +0.5
  Nov 17, 2023 22   @ Florida L 68-89 20%     2 - 1 -5.0 -3.8 +0.0
  Nov 20, 2023 73   UNLV W 83-75 48%     3 - 1 +15.5 +13.6 +1.9
  Nov 21, 2023 29   Colorado W 77-71 OT 29%     4 - 1 +18.8 -1.9 +19.8
  Nov 29, 2023 84   Georgia L 66-68 61%     4 - 2 +2.1 -1.9 +4.0
  Dec 02, 2023 8   @ North Carolina L 70-78 11%     4 - 3 0 - 1 +12.2 +4.3 +8.3
  Dec 09, 2023 89   South Florida L 72-88 52%     4 - 4 -9.6 -5.5 -2.2
  Dec 16, 2023 71   SMU L 57-68 58%     4 - 5 -6.0 -9.1 +2.4
  Dec 19, 2023 240   North Florida W 91-75 89%     5 - 5 +9.4 +10.6 -1.5
  Dec 22, 2023 184   Winthrop W 67-61 84%     6 - 5 +2.4 -13.5 +15.5
  Dec 30, 2023 168   Lipscomb L 75-78 82%     6 - 6 -5.8 -1.8 -4.0
  Jan 03, 2024 115   Georgia Tech W 82-71 73%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +11.7 +6.4 +5.0
  Jan 06, 2024 61   Virginia Tech W 77-74 52%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +9.4 +3.1 +6.3
  Jan 09, 2024 32   Wake Forest W 87-82 39%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +14.8 +7.8 +6.4
  Jan 13, 2024 110   @ Notre Dame W 67-58 52%     10 - 6 4 - 1 +15.5 +5.4 +10.7
  Jan 17, 2024 94   @ Miami (FL) W 84-75 43%     11 - 6 5 - 1 +17.7 +9.2 +7.9
  Jan 20, 2024 36   Clemson L 67-78 42%     11 - 7 5 - 2 -1.9 -4.4 +2.8
  Jan 23, 2024 85   @ Syracuse W 85-69 41%     12 - 7 6 - 2 +25.3 +10.8 +13.4
  Jan 27, 2024 8   North Carolina L 68-75 22%     12 - 8 6 - 3 +8.0 +3.0 +5.0
  Feb 03, 2024 179   @ Louisville L 92-101 70%     12 - 9 6 - 4 -7.3 +2.6 -8.3
  Feb 06, 2024 74   @ Boston College W 63-62 39%     13 - 9 7 - 4 +10.9 -3.9 +14.8
  Feb 10, 2024 66   Virginia L 76-80 55%     13 - 10 7 - 5 +1.8 +19.9 -18.6
  Feb 13, 2024 61   @ Virginia Tech L 75-83 33%     13 - 11 7 - 6 +3.6 +9.4 -6.2
  Feb 17, 2024 9   Duke L 67-76 24%     13 - 12 7 - 7 +5.5 +1.9 +3.2
  Feb 20, 2024 74   Boston College W 84-76 59%     14 - 12 8 - 7 +12.7 +11.1 +1.5
  Feb 24, 2024 36   @ Clemson L 63-74 24%     14 - 13 8 - 8 +3.3 -3.6 +6.8
  Feb 27, 2024 56   North Carolina St. W 90-83 50%     15 - 13 9 - 8 +14.0 +16.4 -2.6
  Mar 02, 2024 115   @ Georgia Tech L 76-85 54%     15 - 14 9 - 9 -3.1 -1.7 -0.6
  Mar 05, 2024 33   @ Pittsburgh L 73-88 24%     15 - 15 9 - 10 -0.6 +7.7 -8.5
  Mar 09, 2024 94   Miami (FL) W 83-75 63%     16 - 15 10 - 10 +11.5 +7.0 +4.1
  Mar 13, 2024 61   Virginia Tech W 86-76 42%     17 - 15 +19.0 +14.1 +4.8
  Mar 14, 2024 8   North Carolina L 67-92 16%     17 - 16 -7.4 +1.3 -7.8
Projected Record 17 - 16 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%