Preseason Rankings
Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.9#338
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.3#124
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#353
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#280
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 5.9% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 12.4% 30.1% 9.2%
.500 or above in Conference 52.7% 69.6% 49.7%
Conference Champion 5.1% 9.8% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 2.7% 8.1%
First Four1.5% 2.8% 1.3%
First Round1.8% 4.3% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Alabama (Away) - 15.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 410 - 1010 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 223   @ North Alabama L 67-78 15%    
  Nov 18, 2023 184   @ Lipscomb L 67-80 11%    
  Nov 21, 2023 23   @ Auburn L 57-84 1%    
  Nov 24, 2023 239   @ East Tennessee St. L 63-73 19%    
  Nov 25, 2023 187   @ Cleveland St. L 62-75 12%    
  Nov 29, 2023 262   Tennessee St. L 74-76 41%    
  Dec 02, 2023 87   @ Vanderbilt L 60-80 4%    
  Dec 09, 2023 98   @ Georgia Tech L 60-79 5%    
  Dec 11, 2023 165   @ Samford L 65-79 11%    
  Dec 13, 2023 77   UAB L 67-82 10%    
  Dec 16, 2023 197   Chattanooga L 69-76 29%    
  Dec 21, 2023 177   @ South Alabama L 60-74 12%    
  Dec 30, 2023 73   @ Georgia L 60-81 4%    
  Jan 06, 2024 346   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 08, 2024 361   @ Mississippi Valley W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 13, 2024 281   Alcorn St. L 69-70 45%    
  Jan 15, 2024 245   Jackson St. L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 22, 2024 353   Alabama St. W 69-67 57%    
  Jan 27, 2024 222   @ Texas Southern L 66-77 18%    
  Jan 29, 2024 326   @ Prairie View L 66-70 36%    
  Feb 03, 2024 343   Florida A&M W 67-63 62%    
  Feb 05, 2024 349   Bethune-Cookman W 74-69 65%    
  Feb 10, 2024 321   @ Southern L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 12, 2024 253   @ Grambling St. L 62-71 23%    
  Feb 17, 2024 361   Mississippi Valley W 73-63 79%    
  Feb 19, 2024 346   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 24, 2024 349   @ Bethune-Cookman L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 26, 2024 343   @ Florida A&M L 64-66 42%    
  Mar 02, 2024 353   Alabama St. W 71-66 66%    
  Mar 07, 2024 253   Grambling St. L 65-68 41%    
  Mar 09, 2024 321   Southern W 72-71 54%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.4 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.6 2.2 0.5 0.0 8.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.5 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.3 2.7 4.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.7 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.7 3.0 0.6 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.8 3.0 0.6 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.2 2.6 0.6 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.4 1.7 0.5 0.0 6.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.2 12th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.0 4.7 6.8 8.9 10.5 11.1 11.6 10.7 9.6 7.6 5.6 3.8 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 97.6% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 89.4% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
15-3 69.6% 1.6    0.9 0.5 0.1
14-4 34.6% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 11.4% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 40.2% 40.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.3% 41.3% 41.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
16-2 1.1% 27.4% 27.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8
15-3 2.2% 18.5% 18.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.8
14-4 3.8% 12.0% 12.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.3
13-5 5.6% 7.3% 7.3% 15.9 0.0 0.4 5.2
12-6 7.6% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4 7.3
11-7 9.6% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.4
10-8 10.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.6
9-9 11.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.5
8-10 11.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.1
7-11 10.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.4
6-12 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.9
5-13 6.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.8
4-14 4.7% 4.7
3-15 3.0% 3.0
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%