Preseason Rankings
Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#116
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.8#182
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#88
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#164
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 1.0% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 10.0% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.4% 4.3% 1.1%
Average Seed 11.1 10.4 12.1
.500 or above 59.8% 75.2% 48.3%
.500 or above in Conference 55.2% 64.5% 48.3%
Conference Champion 3.4% 4.8% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.5% 4.5% 9.7%
First Four1.3% 1.8% 0.9%
First Round6.4% 9.1% 4.4%
Second Round2.0% 3.3% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 1.1% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Home) - 42.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 32 - 7
Quad 35 - 47 - 11
Quad 47 - 114 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2023 68   Yale L 69-71 43%    
  Nov 14, 2023 245   Jackson St. W 77-66 83%    
  Nov 19, 2023 115   Stephen F. Austin L 74-75 49%    
  Nov 25, 2023 155   UTEP W 72-67 68%    
  Nov 29, 2023 336   Central Arkansas W 88-71 93%    
  Dec 02, 2023 79   @ Nevada L 67-74 29%    
  Dec 09, 2023 91   @ UNLV L 72-77 32%    
  Dec 16, 2023 150   UC Santa Barbara W 71-69 57%    
  Dec 18, 2023 265   Detroit Mercy W 81-69 85%    
  Dec 22, 2023 71   Colorado St. L 72-73 45%    
  Dec 29, 2023 214   Tarleton St. W 74-65 77%    
  Jan 04, 2024 144   Santa Clara W 79-74 65%    
  Jan 06, 2024 26   St. Mary's L 62-68 29%    
  Jan 13, 2024 188   Pacific W 79-72 72%    
  Jan 18, 2024 92   @ San Francisco L 71-76 34%    
  Jan 20, 2024 191   @ Pepperdine W 79-78 54%    
  Jan 25, 2024 174   Portland W 80-74 70%    
  Jan 27, 2024 26   @ St. Mary's L 59-71 15%    
  Jan 30, 2024 10   @ Gonzaga L 71-86 11%    
  Feb 07, 2024 227   @ San Diego W 77-73 61%    
  Feb 10, 2024 191   Pepperdine W 82-75 72%    
  Feb 15, 2024 10   Gonzaga L 74-83 23%    
  Feb 17, 2024 92   San Francisco W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 22, 2024 144   @ Santa Clara L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 24, 2024 188   @ Pacific W 76-75 53%    
  Feb 29, 2024 227   San Diego W 80-70 78%    
  Mar 02, 2024 174   @ Portland W 78-77 51%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 3.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 3.3 1.7 0.3 9.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 4.2 6.4 4.8 1.4 0.1 18.2 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 6.5 6.6 2.8 0.5 0.0 18.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.8 6.6 5.4 1.4 0.1 0.0 16.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.4 5.7 3.8 0.8 0.0 12.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.0 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 4.0 9th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.8 5.9 8.4 11.2 12.9 13.8 12.4 10.6 8.3 5.5 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 79.7% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.0
13-3 36.6% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-4 12.8% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-5 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 99.5% 31.5% 67.9% 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
15-1 0.3% 88.0% 30.8% 57.2% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 82.6%
14-2 1.3% 64.9% 21.9% 43.1% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 55.1%
13-3 2.9% 40.9% 18.6% 22.3% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.7 27.4%
12-4 5.5% 21.4% 11.4% 10.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.3 11.3%
11-5 8.3% 11.9% 9.1% 2.8% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 7.3 3.1%
10-6 10.6% 6.9% 6.3% 0.6% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.8 0.6%
9-7 12.4% 4.7% 4.5% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.8 0.2%
8-8 13.8% 3.3% 3.3% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.3
7-9 12.9% 2.0% 2.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 12.7
6-10 11.2% 1.7% 1.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.0
5-11 8.4% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.3
4-12 5.9% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 5.9
3-13 3.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.8
2-14 1.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.7
1-15 0.7% 0.7
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 7.0% 4.6% 2.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.4 93.0 2.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 2.5 73.3 3.3 23.3