Preseason Rankings
Pepperdine
West Coast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#191
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace78.6#12
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#144
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#233
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.8% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.7 12.1 13.6
.500 or above 31.2% 48.3% 21.9%
.500 or above in Conference 28.1% 37.6% 23.0%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.4% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 20.5% 14.4% 23.9%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
First Round1.5% 2.5% 1.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Davis (Away) - 35.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 41 - 9
Quad 34 - 55 - 14
Quad 48 - 312 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 173   @ UC Davis L 79-83 35%    
  Nov 12, 2023 293   Lafayette W 75-66 80%    
  Nov 13, 2023 359   LIU Brooklyn W 93-76 94%    
  Nov 17, 2023 91   UNLV L 79-82 38%    
  Nov 21, 2023 97   UC Irvine L 75-81 30%    
  Nov 22, 2023 122   Indiana St. L 81-85 37%    
  Nov 24, 2023 55   New Mexico L 81-91 19%    
  Nov 28, 2023 290   Idaho St. W 79-70 78%    
  Dec 03, 2023 33   @ Colorado L 71-87 8%    
  Dec 06, 2023 161   Cal St. Fullerton W 74-73 55%    
  Dec 09, 2023 241   UC San Diego W 80-74 70%    
  Dec 17, 2023 124   @ Louisville L 74-81 29%    
  Dec 21, 2023 302   William & Mary W 80-70 80%    
  Jan 04, 2024 10   @ Gonzaga L 75-94 5%    
  Jan 06, 2024 144   Santa Clara W 82-81 51%    
  Jan 11, 2024 188   Pacific W 83-80 59%    
  Jan 13, 2024 227   @ San Diego L 81-82 48%    
  Jan 18, 2024 10   Gonzaga L 78-91 13%    
  Jan 20, 2024 116   Loyola Marymount L 78-79 46%    
  Jan 25, 2024 144   @ Santa Clara L 79-85 32%    
  Jan 27, 2024 227   San Diego W 84-79 67%    
  Feb 03, 2024 174   Portland W 84-82 57%    
  Feb 08, 2024 92   San Francisco L 78-81 39%    
  Feb 10, 2024 116   @ Loyola Marymount L 75-82 28%    
  Feb 15, 2024 26   @ St. Mary's L 61-78 9%    
  Feb 17, 2024 174   Portland W 84-82 57%    
  Feb 21, 2024 188   @ Pacific L 80-83 40%    
  Feb 24, 2024 92   @ San Francisco L 75-84 22%    
  Feb 29, 2024 26   St. Mary's L 64-75 20%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.5 2.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 4.8 3.9 1.4 0.1 12.1 4th
5th 0.3 3.0 6.3 4.2 0.9 0.0 14.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.7 7.1 4.0 0.6 0.0 15.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.6 7.1 3.3 0.3 0.0 16.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.2 5.9 2.4 0.3 15.5 8th
9th 0.9 2.9 4.7 3.7 1.1 0.1 13.5 9th
Total 0.9 3.0 6.3 9.8 12.0 13.6 13.8 12.5 10.4 7.5 5.0 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 79.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-3 44.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 13.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-1 0.1% 67.7% 14.6% 53.2% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 62.2%
14-2 0.2% 43.3% 22.6% 20.6% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 26.7%
13-3 0.6% 20.0% 10.1% 10.0% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 11.1%
12-4 1.5% 15.4% 9.5% 5.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 6.5%
11-5 2.9% 6.8% 5.8% 1.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 1.1%
10-6 5.0% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.8 0.0%
9-7 7.5% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3 0.0%
8-8 10.4% 1.8% 1.8% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.2
7-9 12.5% 1.2% 1.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.3
6-10 13.8% 0.8% 0.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.7
5-11 13.6% 0.6% 0.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 13.5
4-12 12.0% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 11.9
3-13 9.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.8
2-14 6.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.3
1-15 3.0% 3.0
0-16 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 1.7% 1.4% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 98.3 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%