IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Ball St.
Mid-American
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.9	#234
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.9	#178
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.6	#199

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.3	#274

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.4%	4.7%	2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.4	14.1	14.9

.500 or above	55.3%	69.0%	42.0%
.500 or above in Conference	54.7%	63.2%	46.4%
Conference Champion	4.9%	7.0%	3.0%
Last Place in Conference	6.8%	4.1%	9.3%

First Four	0.4%	0.5%	0.4%
First Round	3.2%	4.5%	1.9%
Second Round	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Home) - 49.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 5	3 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 6	14 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2023	180	Old Dominion	L	67-68	49%
Nov 18, 2023	329	@ Evansville	W	74-71	61%
Nov 21, 2023	273	South Carolina Upstate	W	75-70	68%
Nov 24, 2023	346	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	80-69	84%
Nov 28, 2023	275	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	78-79	48%
Dec 02, 2023	215	Bellarmine	W	68-66	56%
Dec 06, 2023	265	@ Detroit Mercy	L	74-75	45%
Dec 10, 2023	259	SIU Edwardsville	W	76-72	65%
Dec 16, 2023	122	Indiana St.	L	73-80	29%
Dec 21, 2023	113	@ Minnesota	L	64-75	19%
Jan 02, 2024	107	@ Kent St.	L	66-77	17%
Jan 06, 2024	323	Central Michigan	W	75-67	76%
Jan 09, 2024	114	Akron	L	68-72	35%
Jan 13, 2024	132	@ Toledo	L	74-83	22%
Jan 16, 2024	315	@ Eastern Michigan	W	76-74	56%
Jan 20, 2024	260	Miami (OH)	W	75-71	65%
Jan 23, 2024	216	@ Buffalo	L	76-80	36%
Jan 27, 2024	240	Northern Illinois	W	76-73	60%
Jan 30, 2024	235	Bowling Green	W	78-75	60%
Feb 03, 2024	319	@ Western Michigan	W	72-70	57%
Feb 06, 2024	127	Ohio	L	73-76	39%
Feb 17, 2024	260	@ Miami (OH)	L	72-74	45%
Feb 20, 2024	240	@ Northern Illinois	L	73-76	41%
Feb 24, 2024	315	Eastern Michigan	W	79-71	73%
Feb 27, 2024	323	@ Central Michigan	W	72-70	58%
Mar 02, 2024	319	Western Michigan	W	75-67	75%
Mar 05, 2024	107	Kent St.	L	69-74	35%
Mar 08, 2024	235	@ Bowling Green	L	75-78	40%
Projected Record						14 - 14	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.7	1.3	1.5	1.0	0.4	0.1		4.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.6	2.8	2.2	0.8	0.1	0.0			7.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.3	3.8	2.2	0.6	0.0					9.3	3rd
4th										0.4	2.8	4.6	2.5	0.4	0.0						10.6	4th
5th								0.0	0.4	2.8	4.9	2.4	0.4	0.0							11.0	5th
6th								0.3	2.7	4.8	2.7	0.4	0.0								10.8	6th
7th							0.1	2.1	4.7	2.8	0.3	0.0									10.1	7th
8th						0.1	1.7	4.5	2.9	0.4	0.0										9.6	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	1.3	3.8	2.7	0.4	0.0											8.4	9th
10th				0.1	1.2	3.2	2.4	0.5	0.0												7.4	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	1.1	2.5	1.9	0.4	0.0													6.0	11th
12th	0.1	0.5	1.2	1.2	0.7	0.2	0.0														3.9	12th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.4	2.4	4.5	6.6	8.4	10.1	11.2	11.2	11.1	10.0	8.3	6.1	4.1	2.3	1.1	0.4	0.1			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	98.8%	0.4		0.3	0.0
16-2	89.2%	1.0		0.8	0.2	0.0
15-3	62.9%	1.5		0.8	0.6	0.1
14-4	31.1%	1.3		0.4	0.6	0.3	0.0
13-5	11.0%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0			0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.9%	4.9		2.6	1.7	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		49.3%	42.3%	7.0%	9.5					0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		12.2%
17-1	0.4%		31.7%	29.9%	1.8%	11.8							0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3		2.6%
16-2	1.1%		17.3%	17.3%		12.9												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.9
15-3	2.3%		16.9%	16.9%		13.2												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	1.9
14-4	4.1%		13.3%	13.3%		14.0												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	3.5
13-5	6.1%		9.1%	9.1%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	5.5
12-6	8.3%		5.2%	5.2%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	7.9
11-7	10.0%		4.4%	4.4%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	9.6
10-8	11.1%		2.3%	2.3%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	10.9
9-9	11.2%		1.8%	1.8%		15.8																0.0	0.2	11.0
8-10	11.2%		1.0%	1.0%		15.9																0.0	0.1	11.1
7-11	10.1%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	10.0
6-12	8.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	8.4
5-13	6.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	6.6
4-14	4.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
3-15	2.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	2.4
2-16	1.4%																							1.4
1-17	0.5%																							0.5
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		3.4%	3.4%	0.0%	14.4					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.9	0.8	96.6		0.0%