Preseason Rankings
Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.1#45
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.7#139
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#42
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#52
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.6% 1.8% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 4.2% 4.5% 0.6%
Top 4 Seed 11.4% 12.3% 2.9%
Top 6 Seed 20.6% 21.9% 7.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 48.1% 50.2% 27.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 43.9% 46.1% 23.7%
Average Seed 7.0 6.9 8.2
.500 or above 76.0% 78.6% 50.8%
.500 or above in Conference 67.5% 69.3% 50.2%
Conference Champion 6.7% 7.2% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 2.2% 5.3%
First Four5.3% 5.4% 4.8%
First Round45.3% 47.5% 24.7%
Second Round27.5% 29.0% 12.9%
Sweet Sixteen12.2% 12.9% 5.1%
Elite Eight5.4% 5.8% 1.8%
Final Four2.1% 2.3% 0.8%
Championship Game0.9% 1.0% 0.3%
National Champion0.4% 0.4% 0.2%

Next Game: Winthrop (Home) - 90.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 7
Quad 25 - 38 - 10
Quad 36 - 214 - 12
Quad 44 - 018 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 189   Winthrop W 81-67 91%    
  Nov 10, 2023 77   UAB W 78-75 62%    
  Nov 19, 2023 54   Boise St. W 72-68 64%    
  Nov 24, 2023 281   Alcorn St. W 82-62 96%    
  Nov 28, 2023 12   @ Alabama L 74-82 24%    
  Dec 03, 2023 69   @ Pittsburgh L 72-73 48%    
  Dec 06, 2023 89   South Carolina W 72-65 74%    
  Dec 09, 2023 24   TCU L 73-76 41%    
  Dec 16, 2023 27   @ Memphis L 75-80 33%    
  Dec 22, 2023 224   Queens W 84-68 92%    
  Dec 29, 2023 182   Radford W 76-62 88%    
  Jan 03, 2024 30   @ Miami (FL) L 73-78 34%    
  Jan 06, 2024 16   North Carolina L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 10, 2024 57   @ Virginia Tech L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 13, 2024 103   Boston College W 75-66 77%    
  Jan 16, 2024 98   Georgia Tech W 75-67 76%    
  Jan 20, 2024 85   @ Florida St. W 75-74 53%    
  Jan 27, 2024 3   @ Duke L 65-75 19%    
  Jan 30, 2024 124   Louisville W 77-66 81%    
  Feb 03, 2024 34   Virginia W 65-63 55%    
  Feb 06, 2024 16   @ North Carolina L 71-78 29%    
  Feb 10, 2024 75   @ Syracuse W 74-73 50%    
  Feb 14, 2024 30   Miami (FL) W 76-75 53%    
  Feb 17, 2024 61   North Carolina St. W 77-73 64%    
  Feb 21, 2024 98   @ Georgia Tech W 72-70 58%    
  Feb 24, 2024 85   Florida St. W 78-71 72%    
  Feb 27, 2024 69   Pittsburgh W 75-70 67%    
  Mar 02, 2024 133   @ Notre Dame W 73-68 66%    
  Mar 05, 2024 75   Syracuse W 76-70 69%    
  Mar 09, 2024 64   @ Wake Forest L 76-77 46%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 6.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.0 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.4 3.9 2.4 0.7 0.1 10.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 9.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 4.2 2.6 0.5 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 3.5 2.9 0.6 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.2 0.8 0.1 7.6 8th
9th 0.4 2.1 3.2 1.1 0.1 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.8 1.3 0.1 5.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.3 1.5 0.2 5.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 15th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.8 4.4 5.8 7.3 9.1 10.0 10.9 10.9 9.9 8.8 6.7 4.8 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 97.7% 0.6    0.5 0.1
18-2 84.2% 1.3    1.1 0.3 0.0
17-3 61.5% 1.9    1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
16-4 32.2% 1.6    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
15-5 13.0% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.7% 6.7 3.7 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 100.0% 28.6% 71.4% 1.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.6% 100.0% 28.9% 71.1% 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.6% 100.0% 27.0% 73.0% 2.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 3.1% 99.9% 19.9% 80.0% 3.0 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
16-4 4.8% 99.5% 17.1% 82.4% 4.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
15-5 6.7% 97.9% 12.8% 85.1% 5.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.6%
14-6 8.8% 93.4% 10.6% 82.8% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.6 92.6%
13-7 9.9% 82.4% 9.8% 72.7% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 1.7 80.5%
12-8 10.9% 64.4% 7.1% 57.3% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.6 1.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.9 61.7%
11-9 10.9% 42.4% 6.3% 36.1% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3 38.5%
10-10 10.0% 21.5% 4.7% 16.8% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8 17.6%
9-11 9.1% 6.1% 2.6% 3.5% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.5 3.6%
8-12 7.3% 3.4% 2.5% 0.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.0 1.0%
7-13 5.8% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.7 0.0%
6-14 4.4% 1.3% 1.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 4.3
5-15 2.8% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 2.8
4-16 1.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-17 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 48.1% 7.4% 40.6% 7.0 1.6 2.6 3.4 3.8 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.3 5.7 5.7 4.4 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 51.9 43.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.3 69.5 30.5