IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.7	#343
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.6	#295
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-8.7	#356

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.0	#266

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.1%	12.9%	2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.3	15.7

.500 or above	9.8%	48.4%	9.7%
.500 or above in Conference	38.9%	73.9%	38.8%
Conference Champion	3.2%	19.2%	3.2%
Last Place in Conference	11.9%	4.5%	11.9%

First Four	1.3%	4.2%	1.3%
First Round	1.3%	11.1%	1.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 10
Quad 4	8 - 10	8 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2023	8	@ Creighton	L	51-82	0.2%
Nov 09, 2023	67	@ Nebraska	L	54-77	2%
Nov 14, 2023	36	@ Florida	L	54-80	1%
Nov 20, 2023	35	Oregon	L	55-75	4%
Nov 29, 2023	322	@ Presbyterian	L	59-65	31%
Dec 06, 2023	322	@ Presbyterian	L	59-65	31%
Dec 16, 2023	42	Iowa	L	61-83	3%
Dec 17, 2023	40	@ Iowa St.	L	47-73	1%
Dec 21, 2023	81	@ Central Florida	L	52-73	4%
Dec 30, 2023	89	@ South Carolina	L	53-73	4%
Jan 06, 2024	349	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	66-68	43%
Jan 13, 2024	321	Southern	W	68-67	51%
Jan 15, 2024	253	Grambling St.	L	60-64	38%
Jan 20, 2024	346	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	L	66-69	41%
Jan 22, 2024	361	@ Mississippi Valley	W	65-62	61%
Jan 27, 2024	281	Alcorn St.	L	65-67	43%
Jan 29, 2024	245	Jackson St.	L	64-68	37%
Feb 03, 2024	338	@ Alabama A&M	L	63-67	38%
Feb 05, 2024	353	@ Alabama St.	L	63-65	44%
Feb 10, 2024	222	Texas Southern	L	64-70	32%
Feb 12, 2024	326	Prairie View	W	64-63	53%
Feb 17, 2024	245	@ Jackson St.	L	61-71	20%
Feb 19, 2024	281	@ Alcorn St.	L	62-70	26%
Feb 24, 2024	353	Alabama St.	W	66-62	64%
Feb 26, 2024	338	Alabama A&M	W	66-64	58%
Mar 02, 2024	253	@ Grambling St.	L	57-67	21%
Mar 04, 2024	321	@ Southern	L	64-70	32%
Mar 09, 2024	349	Bethune-Cookman	W	69-65	62%
Projected Record						8 - 20	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.0	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0		3.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.1	1.8	1.1	0.4	0.0	0.0			4.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.8	2.4	1.3	0.2	0.0					6.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.2	3.1	1.3	0.2	0.0						7.1	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.3	4.0	1.6	0.1	0.0							8.3	5th
6th								0.3	2.5	4.3	1.9	0.2	0.0								9.3	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	2.1	4.8	2.6	0.3	0.0									10.1	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	2.2	5.1	3.1	0.4	0.0										11.1	8th
9th				0.0	0.4	2.2	4.9	3.2	0.6	0.0											11.4	9th
10th			0.0	0.5	2.4	4.5	2.9	0.7	0.0	0.0											11.1	10th
11th		0.1	1.0	2.7	3.8	2.3	0.6	0.0													10.6	11th
12th	0.4	1.3	2.2	1.9	1.1	0.3	0.0														7.2	12th

Total	0.4	1.5	3.2	5.2	7.7	9.5	10.8	11.5	11.3	10.1	8.8	6.9	5.0	3.8	2.3	1.2	0.5	0.2	0.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	99.7%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	92.7%	0.5		0.4	0.1
15-3	66.1%	0.8		0.5	0.3	0.0
14-4	42.0%	1.0		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	15.1%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.2%	3.2		1.7	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		50.0%	50.0%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-1	0.2%		42.0%	42.0%		14.4														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
16-2	0.5%		37.7%	37.7%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3
15-3	1.2%		18.3%	18.3%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.1	1.0
14-4	2.3%		16.3%	16.3%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	1.9
13-5	3.8%		9.3%	9.3%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	3.4
12-6	5.0%		4.9%	4.9%		16.0																0.0	0.2	4.8
11-7	6.9%		3.6%	3.6%		16.0																0.0	0.2	6.7
10-8	8.8%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.2	8.6
9-9	10.1%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	10.0
8-10	11.3%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
7-11	11.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
6-12	10.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.8
5-13	9.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.5
4-14	7.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.7
3-15	5.2%																							5.2
2-16	3.2%																							3.2
1-17	1.5%																							1.5
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		2.1%	2.1%	0.0%	15.7														0.0	0.1	0.4	1.6	97.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.4%