IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	+6.1	#85
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.2	#100
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.4	#57

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.7	#117

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.5%	0.6%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	2.1%	2.4%	0.2%
Top 6 Seed	4.8%	5.4%	1.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	19.5%	21.6%	7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	17.0%	18.9%	5.9%
Average Seed	8.4	8.4	9.4

.500 or above	56.5%	61.0%	30.3%
.500 or above in Conference	37.0%	39.8%	20.9%
Conference Champion	1.7%	2.0%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	11.2%	9.8%	19.4%

First Four	3.8%	4.2%	1.9%
First Round	17.5%	19.5%	6.3%
Second Round	8.8%	10.0%	2.4%
Sweet Sixteen	3.0%	3.4%	0.8%
Elite Eight	1.1%	1.3%	0.1%
Final Four	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Kennesaw St. (Home) - 85.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 4	1 - 4
Quad 1b	1 - 3	2 - 7
Quad 2	4 - 5	5 - 12
Quad 3	5 - 3	11 - 14
Quad 4	5 - 1	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2023	204	Kennesaw St.	W	80-69	85%
Nov 13, 2023	323	Central Michigan	W	82-64	95%
Nov 17, 2023	36	@ Florida	L	71-79	23%
Nov 20, 2023	91	UNLV	W	77-76	52%
Nov 29, 2023	73	Georgia	W	75-73	56%
Dec 02, 2023	16	@ North Carolina	L	71-82	17%
Dec 09, 2023	145	South Florida	W	77-72	65%
Dec 16, 2023	101	SMU	W	78-73	66%
Dec 19, 2023	280	North Florida	W	85-70	91%
Dec 22, 2023	189	Winthrop	W	81-71	80%
Dec 30, 2023	184	Lipscomb	W	82-72	80%
Jan 03, 2024	98	Georgia Tech	W	75-71	65%
Jan 06, 2024	57	Virginia Tech	L	74-75	50%
Jan 09, 2024	64	Wake Forest	W	79-78	53%
Jan 13, 2024	133	@ Notre Dame	W	72-71	53%
Jan 17, 2024	30	@ Miami (FL)	L	73-82	22%
Jan 20, 2024	45	Clemson	L	74-75	47%
Jan 23, 2024	75	@ Syracuse	L	73-77	37%
Jan 27, 2024	16	North Carolina	L	74-79	35%
Feb 03, 2024	124	@ Louisville	W	74-73	51%
Feb 06, 2024	103	@ Boston College	L	72-73	47%
Feb 10, 2024	34	Virginia	L	64-66	42%
Feb 13, 2024	57	@ Virginia Tech	L	71-77	31%
Feb 17, 2024	3	Duke	L	68-76	25%
Feb 20, 2024	103	Boston College	W	75-70	65%
Feb 24, 2024	45	@ Clemson	L	71-78	28%
Feb 27, 2024	61	North Carolina St.	W	78-77	51%
Mar 02, 2024	98	@ Georgia Tech	L	72-74	44%
Mar 05, 2024	69	@ Pittsburgh	L	72-77	35%
Mar 09, 2024	30	Miami (FL)	L	76-79	40%
Projected Record						15 - 15	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0		1.7	1st
2nd													0.0	0.2	0.9	1.1	0.7	0.2	0.0				3.2	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.4	1.3	1.6	0.8	0.1	0.0					4.2	3rd
4th											0.0	0.3	1.8	1.8	0.9	0.1	0.0						5.0	4th
5th										0.0	0.2	1.8	2.5	1.2	0.2	0.0							5.9	5th
6th										0.1	1.4	3.0	1.6	0.2	0.0								6.4	6th
7th								0.0	0.1	1.3	3.4	2.1	0.4	0.0									7.2	7th
8th								0.0	0.8	3.2	2.8	0.6	0.1										7.5	8th
9th							0.0	0.5	2.9	3.7	1.1	0.1											8.4	9th
10th						0.0	0.4	2.5	4.1	1.6	0.1	0.0											8.7	10th
11th					0.0	0.3	2.2	4.0	2.2	0.2	0.0												8.9	11th
12th				0.0	0.3	1.9	3.9	2.6	0.4	0.0													9.1	12th
13th			0.0	0.4	1.7	3.5	2.4	0.6	0.0														8.6	13th
14th		0.1	0.6	2.0	2.9	2.0	0.6	0.1	0.0														8.3	14th
15th	0.3	1.1	1.9	1.9	1.2	0.4	0.0																6.8	15th

Total	0.3	1.2	2.5	4.3	6.1	8.0	9.5	10.3	10.5	10.2	9.1	7.9	6.7	4.8	3.7	2.4	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0		Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	93.0%	0.3		0.2	0.1
17-3	65.9%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0
16-4	33.8%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0
15-5	13.2%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
14-6	2.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.3%	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.7%	1.7		0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	39.3%	60.7%	1.7		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	25.2%	74.8%	1.7		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
18-2	0.3%		100.0%	19.8%	80.2%	2.7		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
17-3	0.8%		100.0%	18.5%	81.5%	3.6		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0										100.0%
16-4	1.2%		99.3%	13.4%	86.0%	4.9		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.2%
15-5	2.4%		95.4%	8.7%	86.7%	6.3			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.1		95.0%
14-6	3.7%		90.0%	7.5%	82.5%	7.7			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.5	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0					0.4		89.2%
13-7	4.8%		72.0%	6.7%	65.3%	8.8					0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.8	0.9	0.5	0.0	0.0				1.3		70.0%
12-8	6.7%		51.3%	5.4%	45.9%	9.6						0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.0	0.9	0.1	0.0				3.2		48.6%
11-9	7.9%		28.4%	3.8%	24.6%	10.2							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0			5.7		25.6%
10-10	9.1%		14.2%	3.3%	10.9%	10.8							0.0		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		7.8		11.3%
9-11	10.2%		4.1%	2.5%	1.6%	11.9										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	9.7		1.6%
8-12	10.5%		1.9%	1.7%	0.2%	13.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	10.3		0.2%
7-13	10.3%		1.9%	1.9%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	10.1
6-14	9.5%		1.1%	1.1%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	9.4
5-15	8.0%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																0.0	0.0	8.0
4-16	6.1%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	6.1
3-17	4.3%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	4.3
2-18	2.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.5
1-19	1.2%																							1.2
0-20	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		19.5%	3.0%	16.5%	8.4		0.2	0.3	0.7	0.9	1.2	1.5	1.8	2.1	2.8	3.6	3.2	0.6	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	80.5		17.0%