IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
IUPUI
Horizon
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.3	#347
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.5	#187
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.7	#347

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.6	#332

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.3%	0.6%	0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.5	15.7

.500 or above	6.8%	14.8%	4.1%
.500 or above in Conference	9.0%	15.1%	6.9%
Conference Champion	0.3%	0.5%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	41.7%	31.5%	45.1%

First Four	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
First Round	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Valparaiso (Away) - 25.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 7	1 - 9
Quad 4	7 - 11	7 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2023	310	@ Valparaiso	L	66-73	25%
Nov 14, 2023	122	@ Indiana St.	L	65-83	5%
Nov 17, 2023	309	Elon	L	66-70	35%
Nov 18, 2023	189	@ Winthrop	L	65-79	9%
Nov 19, 2023	327	Holy Cross	L	70-73	40%
Nov 29, 2023	131	@ Wright St.	L	67-85	6%
Dec 02, 2023	183	Northern Kentucky	L	59-68	22%
Dec 07, 2023	332	@ Eastern Illinois	L	67-72	33%
Dec 12, 2023	113	@ Minnesota	L	58-77	5%
Dec 16, 2023	356	Lindenwood	W	73-69	65%
Dec 29, 2023	265	Detroit Mercy	L	71-75	38%
Dec 31, 2023	187	Cleveland St.	L	65-73	23%
Jan 04, 2024	285	@ Robert Morris	L	63-72	24%
Jan 07, 2024	212	@ Youngstown St.	L	67-80	14%
Jan 10, 2024	340	Green Bay	W	69-67	56%
Jan 13, 2024	256	Oakland	L	70-74	37%
Jan 17, 2024	305	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	68-75	27%
Jan 20, 2024	285	Robert Morris	L	66-69	42%
Jan 25, 2024	212	Youngstown St.	L	70-77	28%
Jan 28, 2024	131	Wright St.	L	70-82	16%
Feb 01, 2024	340	@ Green Bay	L	66-70	36%
Feb 04, 2024	217	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	70-83	15%
Feb 10, 2024	305	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	71-72	45%
Feb 14, 2024	265	@ Detroit Mercy	L	68-78	22%
Feb 17, 2024	256	@ Oakland	L	67-77	20%
Feb 25, 2024	183	@ Northern Kentucky	L	56-71	11%
Feb 28, 2024	217	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	73-80	29%
Mar 02, 2024	187	@ Cleveland St.	L	62-76	12%
Projected Record						7 - 21	5 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.3	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0							1.1	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0							2.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.0	0.5	1.3	0.9	0.2	0.0									3.1	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	0.9	2.0	1.4	0.4	0.0	0.0									4.9	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	1.5	2.9	2.0	0.5	0.0											7.2	7th
8th					0.0	0.6	2.6	4.1	2.6	0.6	0.0												10.6	8th
9th			0.0	0.3	1.8	4.6	5.5	3.3	0.6	0.0													16.0	9th
10th		0.1	1.4	4.6	7.0	6.4	2.7	0.5	0.0														22.7	10th
11th	2.6	6.2	8.7	7.6	4.6	1.4	0.2	0.0															31.4	11th

Total	2.6	6.4	10.0	12.5	13.5	13.0	11.3	9.5	7.2	5.2	3.8	2.3	1.3	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
17-3	92.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0
16-4	73.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
15-5	29.1%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	10.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.6%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.3%	0.0				0.0		0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																				0.0			0.0
18-2	0.0%		34.8%	34.8%		14.0															0.0			0.0
17-3	0.1%		16.7%	16.7%		13.7														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
16-4	0.1%		10.5%	10.5%		14.8															0.0	0.0		0.1
15-5	0.2%		15.5%	15.5%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
14-6	0.4%		1.7%	1.7%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4
13-7	0.8%		5.4%	5.4%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.8
12-8	1.3%		3.0%	3.0%		15.8																0.0	0.0	1.3
11-9	2.3%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
10-10	3.8%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																0.0	0.0	3.7
9-11	5.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	5.1
8-12	7.2%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	7.1
7-13	9.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.5
6-14	11.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
5-15	13.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.0
4-16	13.5%																							13.5
3-17	12.5%																							12.5
2-18	10.0%																							10.0
1-19	6.4%																							6.4
0-20	2.6%																							2.6

Total	100%		0.3%	0.3%	0.0%	15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	99.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.9%