Preseason Rankings
N.C. A&T
Colonial Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.7#352
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.5#47
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#350
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#337
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 16.0 15.6
.500 or above 3.2% 18.1% 3.0%
.500 or above in Conference 7.4% 23.1% 7.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 41.2% 18.3% 41.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pittsburgh (Away) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 71 - 12
Quad 46 - 117 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 69   @ Pittsburgh L 62-85 1%    
  Nov 10, 2023 119   @ UNC Greensboro L 60-79 4%    
  Nov 14, 2023 34   @ Virginia L 51-78 1%    
  Nov 22, 2023 330   Merrimack L 65-68 40%    
  Nov 24, 2023 353   Alabama St. W 71-70 51%    
  Nov 25, 2023 165   @ Samford L 67-83 8%    
  Dec 08, 2023 278   @ High Point L 75-84 21%    
  Dec 12, 2023 306   NC Central L 71-73 43%    
  Dec 16, 2023 222   Texas Southern L 69-79 20%    
  Dec 17, 2023 245   Jackson St. L 69-77 24%    
  Dec 21, 2023 270   @ Coastal Carolina L 70-80 21%    
  Dec 30, 2023 139   @ George Mason L 62-80 7%    
  Jan 04, 2024 294   Campbell L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 06, 2024 309   @ Elon L 67-75 26%    
  Jan 11, 2024 125   Drexel L 61-73 16%    
  Jan 15, 2024 312   @ Hampton L 72-79 27%    
  Jan 18, 2024 228   Northeastern L 68-74 31%    
  Jan 20, 2024 302   William & Mary L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 25, 2024 194   @ Delaware L 66-80 11%    
  Jan 27, 2024 125   @ Drexel L 58-76 7%    
  Feb 01, 2024 312   Hampton L 75-76 46%    
  Feb 03, 2024 309   Elon L 70-72 45%    
  Feb 08, 2024 80   @ College of Charleston L 67-89 3%    
  Feb 10, 2024 112   Hofstra L 67-80 13%    
  Feb 15, 2024 140   @ UNC Wilmington L 61-79 8%    
  Feb 17, 2024 194   Delaware L 69-77 24%    
  Feb 22, 2024 255   @ Stony Brook L 63-73 19%    
  Feb 24, 2024 311   @ Monmouth L 69-76 27%    
  Feb 29, 2024 158   Towson L 65-75 20%    
  Mar 02, 2024 294   @ Campbell L 65-74 24%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.0 0.7 0.0 4.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 3.2 1.3 0.1 6.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 4.0 2.1 0.2 0.0 7.9 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 4.7 3.3 0.6 0.0 10.2 11th
12th 0.2 2.1 5.9 4.9 1.0 0.1 14.2 12th
13th 0.6 4.0 7.8 5.7 1.5 0.1 19.6 13th
14th 4.1 9.1 9.5 5.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 29.4 14th
Total 4.1 9.7 13.6 15.3 14.5 12.8 9.9 7.6 5.0 3.4 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 56.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 20.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.5% 0.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.3% 1.8% 1.8% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 0.5% 2.5% 2.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 1.1
10-8 2.0% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 2.0
9-9 3.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.4
8-10 5.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.0
7-11 7.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.6
6-12 9.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.9
5-13 12.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.8
4-14 14.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.5
3-15 15.3% 15.3
2-16 13.6% 13.6
1-17 9.7% 9.7
0-18 4.1% 4.1
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.3%