America East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
160 Bryant 37.1%   15   13 - 10 9 - 1 17 - 12 13 - 3 +0.5      +0.8 149 -0.3 180 80.5 6 -1.7 196 +4.9 1
190 Maine 23.6%   14 - 9 8 - 2 18 - 11 12 - 4 -1.7      -3.6 273 +2.0 119 65.4 252 -1.4 191 +2.0 2
215 Umass Lowell 14.9%   12 - 9 4 - 5 16 - 12 8 - 8 -3.0      +0.4 163 -3.3 271 73.1 61 -2.5 210 -8.1 5
237 Vermont 11.3%   11 - 11 6 - 3 15 - 14 10 - 6 -4.3      -5.7 325 +1.4 136 60.4 352 -3.5 224 -1.7 3
276 Albany 4.8%   10 - 13 4 - 6 13 - 16 7 - 9 -6.2      -3.0 254 -3.3 268 69.3 149 -6.1 266 -8.9 6
281 Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.6%   8 - 14 3 - 7 11 - 17 6 - 10 -6.7      -0.4 187 -6.2 340 75.9 26 -8.9 306 -10.7 8
302 Binghamton 3.0%   9 - 13 4 - 6 12 - 16 7 - 9 -8.1      -4.1 283 -4.0 292 64.1 291 -6.4 273 -7.0 4
343 NJIT 0.2%   4 - 20 2 - 8 6 - 24 4 - 12 -12.1      -8.2 355 -3.9 287 63.9 298 -14.8 349 -13.8 9
353 New Hampshire 0.5%   4 - 19 4 - 6 5 - 24 5 - 11 -13.2      -8.0 351 -5.2 322 68.6 171 -14.3 347 -9.2 7






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Bryant 1.2 84.2 14.9 0.9 0.0
Maine 1.8 32.3 55.9 10.6 1.1 0.1 0.0
Umass Lowell 4.1 0.1 3.6 24.3 45.4 15.1 7.5 2.9 1.0 0.1
Vermont 2.9 5.0 21.1 58.3 12.6 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
Albany 5.3 0.3 5.7 20.3 30.1 25.8 13.0 4.1 0.7
Maryland Baltimore Co. 6.2 1.4 9.4 20.6 23.5 30.5 11.4 3.2
Binghamton 5.2 0.2 4.8 22.9 34.6 23.1 9.7 3.8 1.0
NJIT 8.4 0.2 1.9 4.3 9.8 20.3 63.5
New Hampshire 7.3 0.0 0.3 2.0 6.0 13.2 27.3 44.4 6.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Bryant 13 - 3 0.0 0.4 4.4 18.2 34.1 31.8 11.1
Maine 12 - 4 0.3 3.0 10.0 22.7 31.2 24.4 8.4
Umass Lowell 8 - 8 0.2 1.8 7.3 18.2 29.0 26.3 14.1 3.2
Vermont 10 - 6 0.3 2.6 10.2 22.4 29.1 22.3 11.0 2.3
Albany 7 - 9 1.5 11.1 26.6 30.9 21.0 7.7 1.2
Maryland Baltimore Co. 6 - 10 1.5 9.0 23.4 32.8 24.3 8.2 1.0
Binghamton 7 - 9 1.3 8.7 23.8 32.6 23.1 9.0 1.5
NJIT 4 - 12 13.8 31.4 31.2 17.3 5.5 0.9 0.1
New Hampshire 5 - 11 33.1 38.4 20.8 6.4 1.2 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bryant 84.2% 64.6 18.0 1.6
Maine 32.3% 14.3 16.4 1.6
Umass Lowell 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
Vermont 5.0% 1.1 2.4 1.5
Albany
Maryland Baltimore Co.
Binghamton
NJIT
New Hampshire


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bryant 37.1% 37.1% 0.0% 15   0.4 3.1 11.5 17.8 4.5 62.9 0.0%
Maine 23.6% 23.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.8 3.8 12.1 6.9 76.4 0.0%
Umass Lowell 14.9% 14.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 4.0 10.3 85.1 0.0%
Vermont 11.3% 11.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.9 9.1 88.7 0.0%
Albany 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 0.4 4.4 95.2 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 0.1 4.5 95.4 0.0%
Binghamton 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.1 2.9 97.0 0.0%
NJIT 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5 99.5 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Bryant 37.1% 0.5% 37.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 23.6% 1.8% 22.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 14.9% 4.7% 12.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vermont 11.3% 5.7% 8.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 4.8% 3.3% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.6% 4.2% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 3.0% 2.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 88.7% 0.9 11.3 88.7
2nd Round 2.4% 0.0 97.6 2.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0