Albany
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#258
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#247
Pace70.7#121
Improvement-2.7#304

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#218
First Shot-4.0#291
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#38
Layup/Dunks+0.6#152
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#162
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#328
Freethrows+0.3#157
Improvement-1.0#252

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#292
First Shot-4.2#308
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#179
Layups/Dunks-6.1#357
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#101
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#42
Freethrows-2.5#335
Improvement-1.7#277
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 5.9% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 40.1% 50.7% 21.3%
.500 or above in Conference 59.3% 70.7% 39.1%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.8% 3.1%
First Four2.4% 2.1% 2.8%
First Round4.3% 5.0% 3.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Home) - 63.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 413 - 915 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 302   @ Army L 59-67 49%     0 - 1 -13.3 -14.2 +0.6
  Nov 13, 2024 274   @ Dartmouth W 87-73 43%     1 - 1 +10.2 +11.9 -2.0
  Nov 16, 2024 273   Siena W 70-60 62%     2 - 1 +1.2 -1.7 +3.4
  Nov 23, 2024 224   UMKC W 67-65 42%     3 - 1 -1.5 +0.1 -1.4
  Nov 24, 2024 235   American L 77-81 45%     3 - 2 -8.2 +0.5 -8.6
  Nov 30, 2024 71   @ Georgetown L 68-100 7%     3 - 3 -21.3 -2.8 -15.6
  Dec 04, 2024 203   Columbia W 88-73 46%     4 - 3 +10.3 +5.4 +4.2
  Dec 07, 2024 283   @ Boston University L 74-80 OT 45%     4 - 4 -10.4 +1.1 -11.6
  Dec 10, 2024 102   @ Syracuse L 85-102 13%     4 - 5 -10.2 +12.5 -22.1
  Dec 14, 2024 187   Drexel L 70-77 43%     4 - 6 -10.8 +0.5 -11.6
  Dec 18, 2024 298   @ Sacred Heart W 74-66 48%     5 - 6 +2.9 -2.9 +5.7
  Dec 21, 2024 223   @ Fordham L 83-87 32%     5 - 7 -4.8 +3.0 -7.4
  Dec 29, 2024 320   Stony Brook W 77-70 73%     6 - 7 -4.8 +1.4 -5.8
  Jan 04, 2025 190   Umass Lowell L 69-73 43%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -7.9 -3.7 -4.4
  Jan 09, 2025 352   @ New Hampshire W 61-57 68%     7 - 8 1 - 1 -6.4 -10.1 +4.0
  Jan 11, 2025 201   @ Maine L 66-87 27%     7 - 9 1 - 2 -20.4 -4.9 -15.1
  Jan 16, 2025 159   Bryant L 79-89 37%     7 - 10 1 - 3 -12.2 +2.6 -14.5
  Jan 18, 2025 323   @ Binghamton W 70-65 55%     8 - 10 2 - 3 -1.8 +0.3 -1.5
  Jan 23, 2025 271   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 85-82 64%    
  Jan 25, 2025 356   NJIT W 74-63 85%    
  Feb 01, 2025 323   Binghamton W 76-70 74%    
  Feb 06, 2025 159   @ Bryant L 77-86 20%    
  Feb 08, 2025 213   Vermont L 66-67 51%    
  Feb 13, 2025 190   @ Umass Lowell L 75-82 25%    
  Feb 20, 2025 201   Maine L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 22, 2025 352   New Hampshire W 78-68 83%    
  Feb 27, 2025 271   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 82-84 41%    
  Mar 01, 2025 356   @ NJIT W 71-66 68%    
  Mar 04, 2025 213   @ Vermont L 64-69 30%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 2.0 0.7 0.0 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.3 2.0 0.1 11.0 3rd
4th 1.0 5.7 9.7 4.2 0.3 20.8 4th
5th 0.2 3.3 11.9 15.0 6.0 0.4 36.8 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 6.7 6.6 1.8 0.0 17.3 6th
7th 0.6 3.2 2.5 0.3 6.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 0.8 0.1 1.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.7 6.2 12.6 19.8 23.0 19.0 11.2 4.6 1.3 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 90.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-4 40.6% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.2
11-5 8.0% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 1.3% 12.8% 12.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2
11-5 4.6% 13.7% 13.7% 15.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 4.0
10-6 11.2% 9.8% 9.8% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 10.1
9-7 19.0% 5.4% 5.4% 15.7 0.3 0.7 17.9
8-8 23.0% 4.8% 4.8% 15.9 0.2 1.0 21.9
7-9 19.8% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7 19.2
6-10 12.6% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.5 12.1
5-11 6.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 6.1
4-12 1.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-13 0.4% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.9 94.6 0.0%