Maine
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#191
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#192
Pace65.4#252
Improvement+2.3#78

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#275
First Shot+1.0#140
After Offensive Rebound-4.6#360
Layup/Dunks+4.2#43
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#96
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#309
Freethrows-0.4#202
Improvement+1.4#113

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#120
First Shot+2.4#95
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#231
Layups/Dunks-1.9#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#52
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#62
Freethrows-0.2#200
Improvement+0.9#139
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.9% 24.2% 20.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 99.7% 100.0% 99.1%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 31.6% 38.5% 16.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.4% 1.9% 3.6%
First Round21.9% 23.5% 18.3%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Home) - 69.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 34 - 44 - 5
Quad 416 - 719 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 2   @ Duke L 62-96 1%     0 - 1 -8.6 -1.6 -5.4
  Nov 10, 2024 217   @ Brown W 69-67 45%     1 - 1 +1.4 -2.7 +4.2
  Nov 15, 2024 194   @ Quinnipiac L 55-58 41%     1 - 2 -2.3 -13.2 +10.7
  Nov 20, 2024 225   @ Richmond L 66-70 47%     1 - 3 -4.9 -5.5 +0.4
  Nov 24, 2024 317   Holy Cross W 80-55 82%     2 - 3 +13.3 +2.2 +11.8
  Nov 29, 2024 186   Elon W 69-56 49%     3 - 3 +11.6 +0.8 +11.9
  Nov 30, 2024 277   @ Penn L 64-77 58%     3 - 4 -16.9 -6.9 -11.0
  Dec 01, 2024 286   Navy W 71-66 69%     4 - 4 -2.0 -1.1 -0.6
  Dec 08, 2024 200   @ Fordham L 72-87 41%     4 - 5 -14.5 -8.5 -4.6
  Dec 11, 2024 138   @ Duquesne W 61-56 30%     5 - 5 +8.7 +0.3 +9.1
  Dec 14, 2024 355   @ Canisius W 84-79 81%     6 - 5 -6.1 +10.8 -16.5
  Dec 21, 2024 311   @ Stony Brook L 72-74 67%     6 - 6 -8.2 -0.1 -8.3
  Dec 29, 2024 294   Boston University L 56-59 79%     6 - 7 -13.2 -12.7 -0.9
  Jan 04, 2025 159   @ Bryant L 55-81 33%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -23.1 -18.5 -3.9
  Jan 09, 2025 302   Binghamton W 82-71 80%     7 - 8 1 - 1 +0.4 +9.9 -8.7
  Jan 11, 2025 276   Albany W 87-66 75%     8 - 8 2 - 1 +12.2 +8.1 +3.7
  Jan 16, 2025 344   @ NJIT W 57-44 77%     9 - 8 3 - 1 +3.3 -11.4 +16.4
  Jan 18, 2025 281   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 87-62 60%     10 - 8 4 - 1 +20.7 +6.4 +13.5
  Jan 23, 2025 218   @ Umass Lowell W 86-85 OT 46%     11 - 8 5 - 1 +0.4 +5.3 -5.0
  Jan 30, 2025 354   New Hampshire W 71-46 90%     12 - 8 6 - 1 +9.2 +0.2 +12.0
  Feb 01, 2025 237   @ Vermont L 49-55 51%     12 - 9 6 - 2 -7.9 -12.2 +3.3
  Feb 06, 2025 344   NJIT W 78-74 88%     13 - 9 7 - 2 -10.6 +11.5 -21.5
  Feb 08, 2025 281   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 73-50 76%     14 - 9 8 - 2 +13.8 -6.1 +20.3
  Feb 15, 2025 237   Vermont W 63-58 69%    
  Feb 20, 2025 276   @ Albany W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 22, 2025 302   @ Binghamton W 68-64 62%    
  Feb 27, 2025 354   @ New Hampshire W 71-62 79%    
  Mar 01, 2025 159   Bryant W 75-74 53%    
  Mar 04, 2025 218   Umass Lowell W 74-70 65%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 12 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.5 7.0 16.3 7.8 31.6 1st
2nd 0.3 5.4 19.2 23.8 7.7 56.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 5.1 3.5 0.3 10.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 0.2 1.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.4 2.9 10.6 23.3 31.1 24.0 7.8 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 7.8    6.1 1.7
13-3 67.9% 16.3    7.2 9.1 0.1
12-4 22.6% 7.0    1.2 4.8 1.0
11-5 2.2% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 31.6% 31.6 14.5 15.8 1.4



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 7.8% 35.2% 35.2% 14.0 0.0 0.5 1.7 0.5 5.0
13-3 24.0% 26.8% 26.8% 14.8 0.1 1.5 4.2 0.6 17.6
12-4 31.1% 23.1% 23.1% 15.3 0.4 4.2 2.6 23.9
11-5 23.3% 20.0% 20.0% 15.6 0.0 1.6 3.1 18.6
10-6 10.6% 14.8% 14.8% 15.8 0.3 1.3 9.0
9-7 2.9% 9.7% 9.7% 15.8 0.1 0.2 2.6
8-8 0.4% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.1 0.3
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 22.9% 22.9% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.6 3.7 10.8 7.9 77.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.7% 100.0% 14.0 1.1 19.8 60.8 18.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.9%