America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
220 Vermont 37.9%   16   15 - 10 9 - 3 -3.3      -0.8 184 -2.5 254 63.3 323 -3.6 220 -5.4 3
241 Maryland Baltimore Co. 29.8%   14 - 8 9 - 2 -4.4      -2.1 227 -2.3 247 66.4 243 -4.8 245 -2.3 2
308 NJIT 11.8%   14 - 12 10 - 2 -8.7      -6.5 337 -2.1 237 69.9 140 -4.3 235 -0.3 1
314 Umass Lowell 8.1%   8 - 15 6 - 5 -9.4      -4.4 287 -5.0 314 72.5 74 -9.9 320 -9.1 4
326 Albany 5.1%   6 - 17 5 - 6 -10.5      -4.8 299 -5.7 325 66.0 252 -11.8 336 -12.1 5
338 New Hampshire 3.5%   6 - 16 4 - 7 -11.8      -7.8 347 -3.9 294 68.7 176 -11.9 338 -12.4 6
344 Maine 2.3%   5 - 21 4 - 8 -12.6      -10.8 360 -1.8 229 63.8 311 -15.2 352 -14.0 8
351 Bryant 1.5%   6 - 18 4 - 8 -13.5      -7.6 345 -6.0 330 63.5 319 -12.7 342 -13.6 7
360 Binghamton 0.1%   2 - 22 1 - 11 -16.6      -9.1 354 -7.6 355 64.7 285 -21.8 364 -22.4 9


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 19 241 Maryland Baltimore Co. 72 220 Vermont 70 57%   
Thu, Feb 19 308 NJIT 74 326 Albany 69 68%   
Thu, Feb 19 338 New Hampshire 72 314 Umass Lowell 77 70%   
Thu, Feb 19 360 Binghamton 65 351 Bryant 71 72%   
Sat, Feb 21 308 NJIT 69 220 Vermont 72 59%   
Sat, Feb 21 344 Maine 64 338 New Hampshire 67 64%   
Sat, Feb 21 326 Albany 68 241 Maryland Baltimore Co. 77 81%   
Sat, Feb 21 360 Binghamton 68 314 Umass Lowell 79 83%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 2.0 30.9 35.1 32.7 1.4 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 1.6 58.8 26.4 14.4 0.4
NJIT 1.7 46.1 33.6 20.2 0.1
Umass Lowell 4.1 0.1 1.3 7.2 78.7 10.6 1.9 0.3 0.0
Albany 5.3 0.0 0.6 18.9 46.5 23.1 8.2 2.7
New Hampshire 5.7 0.0 14.8 31.1 29.2 14.4 10.4 0.1
Maine 6.5 4.5 16.0 24.7 31.0 23.7 0.2
Bryant 6.7 1.5 11.0 26.0 35.7 25.5 0.4
Binghamton 8.9 0.1 1.5 4.6 93.7

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 12 - 4 18 - 11 1.2 9.1 31.0 40.2 18.5
Maryland Baltimore Co. 12 - 4 17 - 10 0.4 3.8 16.1 32.2 33.3 14.2
NJIT 12 - 4 16 - 14 5.1 22.5 36.7 27.7 8.0
Umass Lowell 9 - 7 11 - 17 1.5 11.6 30.7 35.3 18.0 3.0
Albany 7 - 9 8 - 20 6.1 25.2 37.2 24.2 6.7 0.6
New Hampshire 7 - 9 9 - 18 3.1 15.0 30.4 31.6 16.7 3.3
Maine 6 - 10 7 - 23 11.6 31.6 34.7 18.2 3.9
Bryant 6 - 10 8 - 20 10.7 36.9 36.7 14.1 1.6
Binghamton 2 - 14 3 - 25 19.8 38.8 29.9 10.2 1.3

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 30.9% 12.0 13.4 5.4 0.1
Maryland Baltimore Co. 58.8% 34.5 18.9 5.4 0.1
NJIT 46.1% 23.2 17.4 5.4 0.1
Umass Lowell 0.1% 0.0 0.1
Albany
New Hampshire
Maine
Bryant
Binghamton


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 37.9% 37.9% 0.0% 16   0.1 1.9 11.6 24.4 62.2 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 29.8% 29.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 5.2 23.9 70.3 0.0%
NJIT 11.8% 11.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 11.5 88.2 0.0%
Umass Lowell 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 8.1 91.9 0.0%
Albany 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 5.1 94.9 0.0%
New Hampshire 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 3.5 96.5 0.0%
Maine 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 2.3 97.7 0.0%
Bryant 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 1.5 98.5 0.0%
Binghamton 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 70.2% 0.7 29.8 70.2
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 37.9% 11.0% 32.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 29.8% 15.2% 22.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 11.8% 9.4% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 8.1% 7.9% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 5.1% 5.1% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 3.5% 3.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 2.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 1.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%