Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#145
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#118
Pace67.4#227
Improvement-0.8#233

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#184
First Shot-0.7#195
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#161
Layup/Dunks-2.7#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#72
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#148
Freethrows-1.1#248
Improvement-0.4#222

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#130
First Shot-0.4#186
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#66
Layups/Dunks-1.0#201
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#93
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#217
Freethrows+0.2#182
Improvement-0.4#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Average Seed 10.6 10.5 10.7
.500 or above 22.2% 38.7% 17.6%
.500 or above in Conference 7.3% 15.4% 5.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 32.6% 17.1% 37.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Away) - 22.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 6
Quad 23 - 84 - 13
Quad 34 - 38 - 17
Quad 46 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 325   The Citadel W 69-60 88%     1 - 0 -3.1 -6.3 +3.5
  Nov 08, 2024 55   Virginia Commonwealth L 55-80 20%     1 - 1 -15.4 -12.6 -2.2
  Nov 15, 2024 118   Temple W 72-69 54%     2 - 1 +2.8 +4.2 -1.2
  Nov 19, 2024 335   Loyola Maryland W 82-61 90%     3 - 1 +7.9 +10.0 -0.6
  Nov 24, 2024 317   Old Dominion W 82-52 82%     4 - 1 +21.2 +9.5 +13.3
  Nov 25, 2024 165   Missouri St. W 76-74 OT 56%     5 - 1 +1.4 +2.7 -1.3
  Nov 26, 2024 53   Boise St. W 63-61 20%     6 - 1 +11.7 -5.0 +16.7
  Nov 29, 2024 319   Dartmouth L 83-88 88%     6 - 2 -16.9 +0.8 -17.4
  Dec 03, 2024 69   South Carolina L 51-73 33%     6 - 3 -16.6 -14.9 -3.1
  Dec 07, 2024 89   @ Wake Forest L 64-72 22%    
  Dec 15, 2024 336   Stonehill W 75-61 91%    
  Dec 21, 2024 62   SMU L 73-78 31%    
  Dec 28, 2024 341   Fairleigh Dickinson W 85-70 92%    
  Jan 01, 2025 87   Miami (FL) L 74-76 41%    
  Jan 04, 2025 111   @ Georgia Tech L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 11, 2025 96   Syracuse L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 13, 2025 80   @ Notre Dame L 64-73 20%    
  Jan 18, 2025 2   Duke L 61-78 6%    
  Jan 21, 2025 90   @ Virginia L 57-65 23%    
  Jan 25, 2025 17   @ North Carolina L 70-87 6%    
  Feb 01, 2025 61   Florida St. L 70-75 31%    
  Feb 05, 2025 43   Louisville L 69-76 26%    
  Feb 08, 2025 96   @ Syracuse L 71-79 24%    
  Feb 12, 2025 80   Notre Dame L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 72   @ North Carolina St. L 65-75 18%    
  Feb 18, 2025 129   Virginia Tech W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 22, 2025 111   Georgia Tech W 74-73 51%    
  Feb 26, 2025 93   @ Stanford L 67-75 24%    
  Mar 01, 2025 109   @ California L 72-78 30%    
  Mar 05, 2025 28   Clemson L 64-73 21%    
  Mar 08, 2025 36   @ Pittsburgh L 65-79 10%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 6 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.2 8th
9th 0.2 1.4 1.1 0.1 2.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 2.1 0.5 0.0 3.6 10th
11th 0.4 2.4 1.5 0.1 4.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.9 3.1 0.5 0.0 5.7 12th
13th 0.0 1.1 3.9 1.7 0.1 6.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 3.7 3.8 0.4 0.0 8.5 14th
15th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.2 1.5 0.0 10.4 15th
16th 0.0 0.5 3.2 6.0 3.2 0.2 0.0 13.2 16th
17th 0.1 1.0 4.0 6.8 4.4 0.7 0.0 17.0 17th
18th 0.8 3.0 6.0 6.9 3.9 0.9 0.1 21.6 18th
Total 0.8 3.2 7.0 11.4 14.5 15.1 14.0 11.8 8.8 6.1 3.7 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 0.0%
16-4 0.0%
15-5 11.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 28.6% 4.8% 23.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 25.0%
14-6 0.2% 15.6% 5.6% 10.0% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.6%
13-7 0.4% 4.2% 4.2% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 4.2%
12-8 0.9% 2.4% 0.9% 1.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.5%
11-9 2.0% 1.4% 1.2% 0.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 1.9 0.2%
10-10 3.7% 0.3% 0.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7 0.3%
9-11 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 6.1
8-12 8.8% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 8.8
7-13 11.8% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 11.8
6-14 14.0% 14.0
5-15 15.1% 15.1
4-16 14.5% 14.5
3-17 11.4% 11.4
2-18 7.0% 7.0
1-19 3.2% 3.2
0-20 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.1%