Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#287
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#278
Pace66.5#235
Improvement+4.4#23

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#286
First Shot-8.3#355
After Offensive Rebound+4.0#14
Layup/Dunks-3.9#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#47
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#323
Freethrows-2.2#309
Improvement+1.2#109

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#263
First Shot-3.1#273
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#167
Layups/Dunks-3.7#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#181
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#123
Freethrows-1.2#274
Improvement+3.2#34
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 1.8% 4.4% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 34.7% 55.5% 25.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Home) - 31.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 31 - 82 - 11
Quad 49 - 911 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 332   Buffalo L 82-83 74%     0 - 1 -15.0 -0.2 -14.7
  Nov 09, 2024 14   @ Arizona L 44-102 1%     0 - 2 -38.4 -22.4 -12.9
  Nov 12, 2024 205   @ Radford L 75-87 23%     0 - 3 -11.6 +1.4 -13.0
  Nov 15, 2024 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-71 85%     1 - 3 -16.0 -9.3 -6.8
  Nov 24, 2024 200   Boston College L 52-82 31%     1 - 4 -31.9 -19.6 -14.0
  Nov 25, 2024 106   High Point L 67-73 16%     1 - 5 -2.4 -0.5 -2.7
  Nov 26, 2024 128   Duquesne L 54-67 19%     1 - 6 -11.0 -17.4 +6.5
  Dec 02, 2024 193   William & Mary W 88-83 38%     2 - 6 +0.8 +4.4 -3.9
  Dec 07, 2024 118   George Washington L 70-78 24%     2 - 7 -7.9 +1.2 -9.5
  Dec 15, 2024 198   Northeastern L 71-75 40%     2 - 8 -8.5 -4.6 -3.9
  Dec 21, 2024 346   @ Louisiana Monroe W 80-75 OT 59%     3 - 8 1 - 0 -4.4 +1.3 -5.9
  Jan 02, 2025 97   Arkansas St. L 59-78 19%     3 - 9 1 - 1 -16.8 -10.2 -7.5
  Jan 04, 2025 253   Southern Miss W 74-71 53%     4 - 9 2 - 1 -5.1 -0.1 -4.9
  Jan 09, 2025 306   @ Louisiana W 71-60 43%     5 - 9 3 - 1 +5.5 +2.2 +4.3
  Jan 11, 2025 122   @ South Alabama W 71-63 OT 13%     6 - 9 4 - 1 +13.0 +3.3 +9.8
  Jan 16, 2025 121   Appalachian St. L 43-62 25%     6 - 10 4 - 2 -19.0 -16.6 -6.9
  Jan 18, 2025 272   Georgia Southern L 63-67 56%     6 - 11 4 - 3 -12.8 -5.0 -8.4
  Jan 22, 2025 149   James Madison L 67-73 31%    
  Jan 25, 2025 293   Coastal Carolina W 69-66 63%    
  Jan 29, 2025 121   @ Appalachian St. L 58-70 11%    
  Feb 01, 2025 149   @ James Madison L 64-75 15%    
  Feb 05, 2025 167   Texas St. L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 304   @ Eastern Michigan L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 13, 2025 281   @ Georgia St. L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 272   @ Georgia Southern L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 20, 2025 181   Marshall L 69-73 39%    
  Feb 22, 2025 281   Georgia St. W 73-71 60%    
  Feb 25, 2025 181   @ Marshall L 67-76 20%    
  Feb 28, 2025 293   @ Coastal Carolina L 66-68 40%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 1.3 3rd
4th 0.3 1.3 0.6 0.1 2.3 4th
5th 0.3 2.4 2.1 0.2 0.0 5.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 4.3 0.9 0.0 7.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 7.0 3.0 0.1 12.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 9.5 6.2 0.6 18.0 8th
9th 0.8 7.2 8.5 1.2 0.0 17.7 9th
10th 0.1 4.2 8.7 2.1 0.0 15.1 10th
11th 0.0 1.4 6.2 3.0 0.1 10.7 11th
12th 0.4 3.2 3.1 0.4 7.1 12th
13th 0.8 1.4 0.2 2.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 1.2 6.1 14.5 21.1 22.4 17.1 10.6 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0
13-5 7.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.4% 0.4
12-6 1.7% 4.0% 4.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.7
11-7 4.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.9
10-8 10.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.5
9-9 17.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 17.1
8-10 22.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 22.3
7-11 21.1% 21.1
6-12 14.5% 14.5
5-13 6.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.1
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%