Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#129
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#244
Pace66.9#241
Improvement-1.5#270

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#177
First Shot-2.7#258
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#59
Layup/Dunks-2.6#260
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#211
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#170
Freethrows+0.4#154
Improvement+0.0#187

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#116
First Shot-0.3#184
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#48
Layups/Dunks+1.0#140
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#311
Freethrows+0.0#193
Improvement-1.4#294
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 10.9 10.8 11.2
.500 or above 7.3% 14.7% 5.1%
.500 or above in Conference 9.3% 18.2% 6.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 29.8% 15.3% 34.3%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pittsburgh (Home) - 23.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 7
Quad 23 - 93 - 16
Quad 33 - 37 - 19
Quad 45 - 111 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 348   Delaware St. W 83-60 93%     1 - 0 +7.7 +2.7 +4.7
  Nov 08, 2024 343   South Carolina Upstate W 93-74 93%     2 - 0 +4.4 +8.9 -5.1
  Nov 11, 2024 179   Winthrop W 58-52 71%     3 - 0 +2.0 -9.8 +12.4
  Nov 15, 2024 31   Penn St. L 64-86 15%     3 - 1 -9.1 -5.6 -2.5
  Nov 20, 2024 212   Jacksonville L 64-74 75%     3 - 2 -15.4 -9.7 -5.9
  Nov 25, 2024 16   Michigan L 63-75 11%     3 - 3 +3.1 -1.2 +4.2
  Nov 27, 2024 69   South Carolina L 60-70 26%     3 - 4 -1.6 -1.2 -1.4
  Dec 04, 2024 67   Vanderbilt L 64-80 34%     3 - 5 -10.1 -4.7 -6.1
  Dec 07, 2024 36   Pittsburgh L 67-75 24%    
  Dec 12, 2024 311   N.C. A&T W 83-70 88%    
  Dec 15, 2024 305   Navy W 77-65 87%    
  Dec 21, 2024 101   Saint Joseph's L 69-72 38%    
  Dec 31, 2024 2   @ Duke L 58-80 2%    
  Jan 04, 2025 87   Miami (FL) L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 08, 2025 93   @ Stanford L 68-75 26%    
  Jan 11, 2025 109   @ California L 72-77 32%    
  Jan 15, 2025 72   North Carolina St. L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 18, 2025 89   Wake Forest L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 22, 2025 111   @ Georgia Tech L 71-76 33%    
  Jan 25, 2025 28   Clemson L 64-72 22%    
  Jan 29, 2025 61   @ Florida St. L 66-77 17%    
  Feb 01, 2025 90   @ Virginia L 57-64 26%    
  Feb 05, 2025 62   SMU L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 08, 2025 80   @ Notre Dame L 64-72 23%    
  Feb 15, 2025 90   Virginia L 60-61 46%    
  Feb 18, 2025 145   @ Boston College L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 22, 2025 87   @ Miami (FL) L 70-78 25%    
  Feb 25, 2025 43   Louisville L 69-75 29%    
  Mar 01, 2025 96   Syracuse L 74-75 47%    
  Mar 04, 2025 17   North Carolina L 73-83 18%    
  Mar 08, 2025 28   @ Clemson L 61-75 10%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 6 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.5 0.0 2.5 8th
9th 0.2 1.5 1.3 0.1 3.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 2.4 0.6 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.4 2.8 1.6 0.1 5.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 2.0 3.2 0.5 0.0 5.9 12th
13th 0.0 1.0 3.8 1.7 0.1 6.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.7 3.6 3.7 0.6 0.0 8.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.5 1.6 0.1 10.8 15th
16th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.7 3.2 0.3 0.0 12.7 16th
17th 0.1 1.0 3.8 6.6 4.0 0.7 0.0 16.3 17th
18th 0.7 3.1 5.5 5.7 3.4 0.8 0.0 19.2 18th
Total 0.7 3.2 6.5 10.0 13.5 14.3 14.3 11.9 9.6 6.7 4.2 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 40.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 8.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 18.0% 18.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 18.0%
14-6 0.3% 4.8% 2.4% 2.4% 11.0 0.0 0.2 2.5%
13-7 0.7% 3.8% 1.8% 2.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.1%
12-8 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 11.4 0.0 0.0 1.4
11-9 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 2.6
10-10 4.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 4.2 0.0%
9-11 6.7% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 6.7
8-12 9.6% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 9.6
7-13 11.9% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 11.9
6-14 14.3% 14.3
5-15 14.3% 14.3
4-16 13.5% 13.5
3-17 10.0% 10.0
2-18 6.5% 6.5
1-19 3.2% 3.2
0-20 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%