Navy
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#286
Expected Predictive Rating-9.9#319
Pace67.1#206
Improvement+2.1#83

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#281
First Shot-3.7#287
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#214
Layup/Dunks-2.8#285
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#198
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#251
Freethrows+1.9#74
Improvement-2.4#300

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#254
First Shot-2.3#249
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#245
Layups/Dunks+1.4#118
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#179
Freethrows-2.1#314
Improvement+4.5#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.7% 9.2% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 54.4% 71.8% 27.6%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 0.7% 5.5%
First Four7.6% 9.1% 5.4%
First Round4.1% 5.0% 2.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Army (Home) - 60.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 30 - 50 - 7
Quad 411 - 1411 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 84   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-70 7%     0 - 1 +2.4 -4.9 +7.5
  Nov 08, 2024 264   Harvard W 85-80 55%     1 - 1 -3.2 +5.7 -9.1
  Nov 12, 2024 307   Rider L 79-90 65%     1 - 2 -21.9 +1.7 -23.8
  Nov 17, 2024 176   Campbell L 66-86 36%     1 - 3 -23.2 -6.9 -16.1
  Nov 19, 2024 194   Quinnipiac L 63-74 40%     1 - 4 -15.3 -7.2 -8.5
  Nov 29, 2024 277   @ Penn W 86-78 38%     2 - 4 +4.1 +9.6 -5.5
  Nov 30, 2024 186   Elon L 63-69 30%     2 - 5 -7.4 -9.3 +1.7
  Dec 01, 2024 191   Maine L 66-71 31%     2 - 6 -6.8 -1.5 -5.5
  Dec 07, 2024 344   @ NJIT L 64-69 60%     2 - 7 -14.7 -8.2 -6.7
  Dec 15, 2024 117   @ Virginia Tech L 72-80 13%     2 - 8 -2.6 +11.8 -15.7
  Dec 21, 2024 362   @ Coppin St. L 60-68 79%     2 - 9 -23.6 -16.7 -6.7
  Dec 29, 2024 223   @ William & Mary L 76-82 28%     2 - 10 -6.9 -1.4 -5.3
  Jan 02, 2025 248   American W 81-58 52%     3 - 10 1 - 0 +15.6 +11.4 +6.3
  Jan 05, 2025 290   Lafayette W 71-70 60%     4 - 10 2 - 0 -8.6 -0.1 -8.4
  Jan 08, 2025 317   @ Holy Cross L 59-70 49%     4 - 11 2 - 1 -17.7 -15.8 -2.4
  Jan 11, 2025 319   @ Loyola Maryland L 74-75 50%     4 - 12 2 - 2 -8.1 +6.9 -15.2
  Jan 15, 2025 232   Colgate L 66-73 47%     4 - 13 2 - 3 -13.3 -9.7 -3.8
  Jan 18, 2025 239   @ Bucknell L 69-73 32%     4 - 14 2 - 4 -6.1 +1.2 -7.6
  Jan 22, 2025 294   Boston University W 62-47 62%     5 - 14 3 - 4 +4.8 -4.4 +11.7
  Jan 26, 2025 288   @ Army W 66-53 41%     6 - 14 4 - 4 +8.4 -2.4 +12.2
  Jan 29, 2025 273   @ Lehigh W 79-54 38%     7 - 14 5 - 4 +21.2 +10.2 +12.5
  Feb 01, 2025 239   Bucknell L 75-85 50%     7 - 15 5 - 5 -17.0 -1.3 -15.6
  Feb 05, 2025 294   @ Boston University L 65-87 43%     7 - 16 5 - 6 -27.3 +0.7 -31.2
  Feb 08, 2025 290   @ Lafayette L 51-61 41%     7 - 17 5 - 7 -14.6 -19.6 +4.6
  Feb 12, 2025 273   Lehigh W 63-60 57%     8 - 17 6 - 7 -5.7 -9.7 +4.1
  Feb 15, 2025 288   Army W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 19, 2025 232   @ Colgate L 69-75 28%    
  Feb 23, 2025 317   Holy Cross W 73-68 69%    
  Feb 26, 2025 248   @ American L 65-69 32%    
  Mar 01, 2025 319   Loyola Maryland W 72-67 71%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.0 1.5 5.7 3rd
4th 0.1 5.5 8.1 0.4 14.0 4th
5th 0.2 10.4 22.2 5.1 38.0 5th
6th 3.3 15.9 5.0 0.1 24.2 6th
7th 0.2 7.0 3.2 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.9 2.9 0.1 3.9 8th
9th 1.0 0.3 1.3 9th
10th 0.3 0.0 0.3 10th
Total 2.4 13.6 29.7 33.0 17.6 3.7 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 6.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 3.7% 16.4% 16.4% 16.0 0.6 3.1
10-8 17.6% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 2.1 15.5
9-9 33.0% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 2.9 30.1
8-10 29.7% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 1.5 28.2
7-11 13.6% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.4 13.2
6-12 2.4% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.1 2.3
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 16.0 7.7 92.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.1%
Lose Out 1.2%