Colorado
Big 12
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#85
Expected Predictive Rating+12.7#43
Pace68.9#185
Improvement-2.4#318

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#105
First Shot+1.4#138
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#110
Layup/Dunks+0.2#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#108
Freethrows+1.5#94
Improvement+0.1#178

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#82
First Shot+1.8#121
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#56
Layups/Dunks+2.1#107
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#278
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#223
Freethrows+2.0#69
Improvement-2.5#345
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.4% 1.8% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.0% 17.0% 8.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.8% 16.7% 8.3%
Average Seed 9.1 9.0 9.4
.500 or above 39.3% 46.8% 25.3%
.500 or above in Conference 13.3% 15.4% 9.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 25.7% 22.9% 30.8%
First Four3.7% 4.2% 2.8%
First Round11.8% 14.6% 6.8%
Second Round4.9% 6.0% 2.7%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.5% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado St. (Home) - 64.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 12
Quad 23 - 47 - 16
Quad 33 - 19 - 17
Quad 46 - 015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 239   Eastern Washington W 76-56 89%     1 - 0 +12.8 -4.5 +17.2
  Nov 08, 2024 180   Northern Colorado W 90-88 2OT 83%     2 - 0 -2.0 -4.9 +2.5
  Nov 13, 2024 307   Cal St. Fullerton W 83-53 93%     3 - 0 +19.5 +11.0 +9.9
  Nov 17, 2024 241   Harvard W 88-66 89%     4 - 0 +14.7 +14.1 +0.9
  Nov 25, 2024 27   Michigan St. L 56-72 25%     4 - 1 -2.7 -9.0 +6.0
  Nov 26, 2024 11   Connecticut W 73-72 19%     5 - 1 +16.5 +14.2 +2.4
  Nov 27, 2024 8   Iowa St. L 71-99 13%     5 - 2 -9.8 +3.1 -11.6
  Dec 02, 2024 277   Pacific W 75-66 92%     6 - 2 -0.3 -1.8 +1.4
  Dec 07, 2024 99   Colorado St. W 71-67 65%    
  Dec 13, 2024 120   South Dakota St. W 77-70 73%    
  Dec 21, 2024 333   Bellarmine W 81-62 96%    
  Dec 30, 2024 8   Iowa St. L 69-78 21%    
  Jan 04, 2025 51   @ Arizona St. L 69-76 27%    
  Jan 08, 2025 83   @ Central Florida L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 12, 2025 45   West Virginia L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 15, 2025 25   Cincinnati L 67-72 33%    
  Jan 18, 2025 81   @ Oklahoma St. L 73-76 39%    
  Jan 21, 2025 49   BYU L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 23   @ Arizona L 72-83 17%    
  Jan 28, 2025 51   Arizona St. L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 02, 2025 78   @ TCU L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 05, 2025 60   @ Utah L 71-77 30%    
  Feb 08, 2025 6   Houston L 62-71 21%    
  Feb 11, 2025 7   @ Kansas L 66-81 9%    
  Feb 15, 2025 83   Central Florida W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 18, 2025 8   @ Iowa St. L 66-81 9%    
  Feb 22, 2025 13   Baylor L 70-76 29%    
  Feb 24, 2025 7   Kansas L 69-78 21%    
  Mar 02, 2025 59   @ Kansas St. L 68-74 30%    
  Mar 05, 2025 24   @ Texas Tech L 66-77 17%    
  Mar 08, 2025 78   TCU W 72-70 58%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 2.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.1 0.2 3.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.1 0.4 0.0 4.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 3.1 1.1 0.1 5.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 3.5 2.3 0.2 0.0 7.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.6 0.7 0.0 8.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.7 1.8 0.1 9.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.2 3.1 0.3 0.0 10.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.4 4.4 0.8 0.0 12.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.7 2.8 5.6 4.6 1.4 0.1 15.1 15th
16th 0.5 1.8 4.4 5.0 3.5 1.1 0.1 16.3 16th
Total 0.5 1.9 5.0 8.0 11.4 13.5 14.2 12.9 10.9 8.4 5.9 3.5 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 66.7% 0.0    0.0
16-4 65.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 25.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 7.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 13.0% 87.0% 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.2% 100.0% 10.3% 89.7% 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.4% 100.0% 3.6% 96.4% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 1.1% 98.8% 1.6% 97.1% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.7%
12-8 2.1% 94.7% 1.8% 93.0% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 94.7%
11-9 3.5% 85.4% 0.9% 84.5% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.5 85.3%
10-10 5.9% 64.4% 0.6% 63.8% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.1 0.0 2.1 64.2%
9-11 8.4% 30.8% 0.3% 30.5% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 0.3 5.8 30.6%
8-12 10.9% 6.4% 0.2% 6.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 10.2 6.2%
7-13 12.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.8% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.8 0.8%
6-14 14.2% 14.2
5-15 13.5% 13.5
4-16 11.4% 11.4
3-17 8.0% 8.0
2-18 5.0% 5.0
1-19 1.9% 1.9
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 14.0% 0.2% 13.7% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.0 2.6 2.8 3.4 0.5 86.0 13.8%