Le Moyne
Northeast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.8#356
Expected Predictive Rating-13.8#343
Pace70.6#115
Improvement-4.7#338

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#298
First Shot-2.6#249
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#300
Layup/Dunks+2.0#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#262
Freethrows-0.3#195
Improvement+1.8#89

Defense
Total Defense-9.1#360
First Shot-5.3#327
After Offensive Rebounds-3.9#361
Layups/Dunks-3.8#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#164
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#166
Freethrows-2.6#339
Improvement-6.6#364
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.6% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 75.9% 62.3% 93.4%
First Four1.1% 1.6% 0.4%
First Round0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wagner (Home) - 56.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 47 - 148 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 111   @ Syracuse L 82-86 4%     0 - 1 +2.1 +4.2 -1.8
  Nov 06, 2024 129   Cal St. Northridge L 75-97 11%     0 - 2 -22.5 -4.8 -15.6
  Nov 13, 2024 26   @ Connecticut L 49-90 1%     0 - 3 -23.7 -12.6 -16.0
  Nov 16, 2024 110   @ St. Bonaventure L 52-71 4%     0 - 4 -12.9 -12.3 -2.3
  Nov 22, 2024 309   Tennessee Martin W 65-53 31%     1 - 4 +3.4 -13.7 +16.8
  Nov 23, 2024 209   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 61-82 10%     1 - 5 -21.0 -10.1 -11.3
  Nov 25, 2024 266   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 77-97 17%     1 - 6 -23.5 -3.8 -18.3
  Nov 29, 2024 274   @ Manhattan W 81-77 17%     2 - 6 +0.2 -1.0 +1.0
  Dec 03, 2024 291   Army L 100-103 3OT 34%     2 - 7 -12.7 -6.3 -5.6
  Dec 07, 2024 302   Binghamton L 62-72 38%     2 - 8 -20.6 -9.8 -11.7
  Dec 18, 2024 239   @ Dartmouth W 80-76 14%     3 - 8 +1.8 +4.2 -2.5
  Dec 22, 2024 89   @ Notre Dame L 62-91 3%     3 - 9 -20.1 -7.6 -12.3
  Dec 29, 2024 307   @ Niagara L 69-88 23%     3 - 10 -24.9 -8.8 -15.7
  Jan 03, 2025 319   @ LIU Brooklyn L 62-78 26%     3 - 11 0 - 1 -23.0 -3.4 -21.3
  Jan 10, 2025 325   Fairleigh Dickinson L 86-91 2OT 45%     3 - 12 0 - 2 -17.5 -9.4 -7.1
  Jan 12, 2025 354   Mercyhurst W 79-63 57%     4 - 12 1 - 2 +0.3 +6.8 -4.8
  Jan 18, 2025 358   @ Chicago St. L 72-88 43%     4 - 13 1 - 3 -28.0 -6.0 -21.5
  Jan 20, 2025 321   Stonehill W 73-72 44%     5 - 13 2 - 3 -11.2 -2.1 -9.1
  Jan 24, 2025 196   Central Connecticut St. L 70-93 19%     5 - 14 2 - 4 -27.4 +1.5 -29.9
  Jan 30, 2025 325   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 74-78 28%     5 - 15 2 - 5 -11.6 +2.7 -14.5
  Feb 01, 2025 348   @ Wagner L 61-73 36%     5 - 16 2 - 6 -22.2 -5.5 -18.4
  Feb 06, 2025 334   @ St. Francis (PA) L 78-86 29%     5 - 17 2 - 7 -16.2 -1.2 -14.7
  Feb 08, 2025 354   @ Mercyhurst L 78-82 38%     5 - 18 2 - 8 -14.7 +4.1 -19.0
  Feb 13, 2025 348   Wagner W 66-65 56%    
  Feb 15, 2025 358   Chicago St. W 76-73 63%    
  Feb 20, 2025 334   St. Francis (PA) L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 22, 2025 319   LIU Brooklyn L 68-70 45%    
  Feb 27, 2025 196   @ Central Connecticut St. L 64-78 8%    
  Mar 01, 2025 321   @ Stonehill L 70-77 26%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 4 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.3 0.2 0.5 4th
5th 0.4 2.2 0.2 2.7 5th
6th 0.1 5.4 1.2 0.0 6.7 6th
7th 5.5 7.2 0.1 12.8 7th
8th 5.9 17.3 1.9 25.1 8th
9th 4.1 16.5 25.2 6.4 0.1 52.1 9th
Total 4.1 16.5 31.1 29.3 14.9 3.8 0.4 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
7-9 3.8% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.2 3.6
6-10 14.9% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.5 14.4
5-11 29.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.3 29.0
4-12 31.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 31.1
3-13 16.5% 16.5
2-14 4.1% 4.1
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 16.0 1.1 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.1%