Le Moyne
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#315
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#266
Pace70.9#147
Improvement-1.5#284

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#213
First Shot-1.0#202
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#204
Layup/Dunks-2.6#272
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#108
Freethrows+1.5#95
Improvement-0.5#227

Defense
Total Defense-7.6#355
First Shot-3.9#307
After Offensive Rebounds-3.6#351
Layups/Dunks+1.2#136
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#42
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#359
Freethrows-0.5#218
Improvement-1.0#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 35.2% 62.1% 33.1%
.500 or above in Conference 48.7% 59.6% 47.8%
Conference Champion 1.6% 3.4% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 9.5% 6.4% 9.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Bonaventure (Away) - 6.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 411 - 812 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 101 @Xavier L 69-74 7%     0 - 1 +2.9 +1.9 +0.8
  Sun, Nov 9 125 @Bowling Green L 60-83 9%     0 - 2 -17.5 -8.7 -8.7
  Thu, Nov 13 154 @Massachusetts L 80-94 12%     0 - 3 -10.6 +3.3 -12.7
  Mon, Nov 17 353 Niagara W 74-68 75%     1 - 3 -10.1 -2.3 -7.6
  Sat, Nov 22 301 Fairfield L 83-97 55%     1 - 4 -24.4 +4.3 -28.6
  Fri, Nov 28 320 @Lafayette W 76-63 40%     2 - 4 +6.5 +2.4 +4.3
  Sat, Nov 29 237 Monmouth W 83-79 32%     3 - 4 -0.3 +9.5 -9.7
  Sun, Nov 30 307 Ball St. L 85-96 47%     3 - 5 -19.3 +12.9 -32.6
  Sat, Dec 6 360 @Binghamton W 78-63 61%     4 - 5 +3.1 +3.2 +0.8
  Tue, Dec 16 40 @Texas L 53-95 2%     4 - 6 -26.6 -17.0 -7.4
  Sat, Dec 20 111 @St. Bonaventure L 67-83 7%    
  Sun, Dec 28 150 @Boston College L 67-80 11%    
  Fri, Jan 2 363 @St. Francis (PA) W 79-75 63%    
  Sun, Jan 4 328 @Mercyhurst L 71-73 42%    
  Thu, Jan 8 336 New Haven W 74-69 67%    
  Sat, Jan 10 240 Central Connecticut St. L 73-74 45%    
  Sat, Jan 17 341 @Chicago St. L 78-79 46%    
  Fri, Jan 23 292 Wagner W 77-76 54%    
  Sun, Jan 25 359 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-78 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 339 Stonehill W 75-70 68%    
  Thu, Feb 5 292 @Wagner L 74-79 33%    
  Sat, Feb 14 341 Chicago St. W 81-76 67%    
  Thu, Feb 19 240 @Central Connecticut St. L 70-77 25%    
  Sat, Feb 21 339 @Stonehill L 72-73 46%    
  Thu, Feb 26 359 Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-75 78%    
  Sat, Feb 28 336 @New Haven L 71-72 45%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 4.2 2.6 0.4 0.0 8.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 5.5 3.7 0.6 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 6.7 5.5 0.7 0.0 14.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 6.4 6.7 1.1 0.0 15.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 5.8 6.7 1.3 0.1 15.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.4 5.4 1.7 0.1 13.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.5 3.8 1.3 0.1 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.6 1.5 0.5 0.0 4.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.9 6.4 10.0 13.9 16.8 16.5 13.5 9.7 5.7 2.3 0.8 0.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 93.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 66.5% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1
12-4 30.8% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 5.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.1% 0.1
13-3 0.8% 0.8
12-4 2.3% 2.3
11-5 5.7% 5.7
10-6 9.7% 9.7
9-7 13.5% 13.5
8-8 16.5% 16.5
7-9 16.8% 16.8
6-10 13.9% 13.9
5-11 10.0% 10.0
4-12 6.4% 6.4
3-13 2.9% 2.9
2-14 1.1% 1.1
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%