Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
276 Howard 32.9%   16   8 - 9 2 - 3 -6.5      -6.9 334 +0.4 154 72.3 86 -6.9 274 -14.9 6
295 Norfolk St. 26.3%   6 - 13 3 - 3 -7.6      -5.6 316 -2.0 239 69.2 167 -10.8 329 -14.0 5
331 Maryland Eastern Shore 18.1%   6 - 13 4 - 0 -10.6      -7.8 344 -2.8 265 61.7 347 -8.3 301 +5.3 1
342 NC Central 10.4%   3 - 12 3 - 1 -11.7      -5.8 321 -5.9 337 67.2 228 -12.6 338 -6.0 3
356 Morgan St. 5.1%   5 - 13 4 - 2 -14.1      -6.9 335 -7.2 351 74.6 45 -11.8 335 -5.4 2
357 Delaware St. 3.8%   2 - 14 0 - 5 -14.2      -12.2 364 -2.0 241 68.6 185 -19.3 359 -31.8 8
359 South Carolina St. 3.4%   3 - 16 3 - 2 -14.9      -8.4 353 -6.5 345 71.5 109 -15.4 354 -10.7 4
364 Coppin St. 0.0%   2 - 19 1 - 4 -19.9      -10.6 362 -9.3 362 71.6 105 -18.0 357 -19.6 7


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Jan 24 276 Howard 77 356 Morgan St. 78   
Sat, Jan 24 357 Delaware St. 0 342 NC Central 0   
Sat, Jan 24 364 Coppin St. 76 295 Norfolk St. 103   
Mon, Jan 26 356 Morgan St. 79 295 Norfolk St. 78   
Mon, Jan 26 357 Delaware St. 64 359 South Carolina St. 70   
Mon, Jan 26 364 Coppin St. 0 276 Howard 0   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Jan 31 276 Howard 73 295 Norfolk St. 69 66%   
Sat, Jan 31 357 Delaware St. 62 331 Maryland Eastern Shore 63 53%   
Sat, Jan 31 342 NC Central 75 359 South Carolina St. 74 51%   
Sat, Jan 31 364 Coppin St. 77 356 Morgan St. 80 61%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Howard 3.2 13.1 23.7 21.6 18.3 14.8 7.4 1.0 0.1
Norfolk St. 2.8 22.9 27.7 19.6 14.2 10.7 4.4 0.4 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.8 61.3 17.0 9.6 6.1 3.7 2.1 0.2 0.0
NC Central 3.4 16.2 17.9 19.0 17.7 15.6 12.1 1.5 0.1
Morgan St. 3.2 17.4 22.0 20.5 17.7 14.3 7.2 1.0 0.1
Delaware St. 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 3.8 11.7 50.9 31.4
South Carolina St. 4.6 4.6 8.6 12.1 16.1 21.9 30.9 5.1 0.6
Coppin St. 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 7.2 41.8 48.3

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Howard 8 - 5 14 - 12 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.3 12.2 22.2 29.2 22.5 8.4
Norfolk St. 8 - 6 11 - 16 0.0 0.3 2.2 7.8 18.0 26.7 26.4 14.9 3.7
Maryland Eastern Shore 10 - 4 12 - 17 0.1 0.6 3.0 7.4 14.3 20.4 22.3 17.4 10.5 3.4 0.6
NC Central 8 - 5 8 - 16 0.2 1.7 6.6 15.0 22.7 24.4 17.3 9.0 2.8 0.4
Morgan St. 8 - 6 9 - 17 0.6 3.8 12.6 22.2 25.7 20.6 10.6 3.4 0.5
Delaware St. 3 - 10 5 - 19 1.8 8.4 19.0 25.1 23.3 14.8 5.8 1.6 0.1
South Carolina St. 7 - 7 7 - 21 1.3 7.1 17.6 25.0 24.2 15.6 6.8 2.0 0.3 0.0
Coppin St. 3 - 10 4 - 25 12.9 27.9 29.3 18.7 8.4 2.4 0.5 0.0 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Howard 13.1% 4.2 5.1 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0
Norfolk St. 22.9% 10.0 8.3 3.6 0.8 0.2 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 61.3% 43.1 13.1 4.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
NC Central 16.2% 7.0 5.5 2.8 0.7 0.2 0.0
Morgan St. 17.4% 7.3 6.0 3.0 0.8 0.2 0.0
Delaware St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
South Carolina St. 4.6% 1.5 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Howard 32.9% 32.9% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.3 1.7 30.8 67.1 0.0%
Norfolk St. 26.3% 26.3% 0.0% 0.5 25.9 73.7 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 18.1% 18.1% 0.0% 0.1 18.0 81.9 0.0%
NC Central 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 0.0 10.3 89.6 0.0%
Morgan St. 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 5.1 94.9 0.0%
Delaware St. 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 3.8 96.2 0.0%
South Carolina St. 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 3.4 96.6 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 50.2% 0.5 49.8 50.2
2nd Round 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Howard 32.9% 23.9% 20.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Norfolk St. 26.3% 24.1% 13.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 18.1% 17.4% 7.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 10.4% 10.2% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 5.1% 5.1% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 3.8% 3.8% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 3.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%