Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
234 Norfolk St. 48.2%   16   1 - 7 0 - 0 14 - 12 11 - 3 -4.1      -5.4 315 +1.4 128 66.0 276 -8.6 297 0.0 1
299 Howard 23.5%   4 - 5 0 - 0 14 - 13 9 - 5 -7.6      -5.7 325 -1.9 235 72.1 112 -7.4 274 0.0 1
343 Maryland Eastern Shore 8.3%   2 - 10 0 - 0 9 - 20 7 - 7 -11.6      -7.4 344 -4.1 314 60.3 362 -12.0 326 0.0 1
348 Delaware St. 7.4%   2 - 7 0 - 0 9 - 16 7 - 7 -12.1      -9.1 358 -2.9 270 69.1 199 -11.1 318 0.0 1
349 NC Central 6.6%   0 - 9 0 - 0 7 - 18 7 - 7 -12.4      -8.4 356 -4.1 312 67.2 245 -15.8 351 0.0 1
359 Morgan St. 3.1%   1 - 8 0 - 0 7 - 19 6 - 8 -14.6      -6.4 335 -8.2 360 73.5 72 -19.9 360 0.0 1
360 South Carolina St. 3.0%   0 - 11 0 - 0 6 - 22 6 - 8 -14.6      -8.8 357 -5.9 345 71.9 119 -16.9 357 0.0 1
364 Coppin St. 0.0%   1 - 11 0 - 0 5 - 25 4 - 10 -18.0      -10.7 364 -7.3 355 70.9 147 -14.7 346 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 10 32 Baylor 97 234 Norfolk St. 67   
Fri, Dec 12 311 N.C. A&T 82 343 Maryland Eastern Shore 79   
Fri, Dec 12 191 Queens 102 360 South Carolina St. 78   
Sat, Dec 13 230 Hampton 57 299 Howard 61   
Sat, Dec 13 348 Delaware St. 81 310 Longwood 76   
Sat, Dec 13 359 Morgan St. 81 353 Niagara 73   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 14 343 Maryland Eastern Shore 57 64 Virginia Tech 80 97%   
Sun, Dec 14 364 Coppin St. 69 267 Radford 85 92%   
Tue, Dec 16 271 Drexel 71 299 Howard 67 68%   
Tue, Dec 16 360 South Carolina St. 70 261 South Carolina Upstate 76 72%   
Wed, Dec 17 343 Maryland Eastern Shore 62 301 Wagner 69 74%   
Thu, Dec 18 284 Grambling St. 63 234 Norfolk St. 66 60%   
Thu, Dec 18 348 Delaware St. 62 171 Saint Joseph's 76 90%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Norfolk St. 1.6 65.3 20.4 8.1 3.6 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
Howard 2.5 29.3 31.7 17.3 10.1 5.9 3.3 1.6 0.7
Maryland Eastern Shore 4.0 7.7 16.3 20.4 18.8 14.7 11.2 7.5 3.4
Delaware St. 4.2 7.2 14.3 18.3 17.6 15.4 12.7 9.2 5.2
NC Central 4.4 6.1 12.8 17.6 17.4 16.5 13.6 10.0 6.0
Morgan St. 5.3 2.3 6.7 11.2 14.3 17.0 17.9 17.6 13.1
South Carolina St. 5.3 2.2 6.5 10.7 14.4 16.9 18.8 18.0 12.6
Coppin St. 6.5 0.4 1.6 3.9 6.6 10.9 15.8 23.6 37.3




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Norfolk St. 11 - 3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.1 6.5 11.0 15.8 20.7 20.6 14.4 5.9
Howard 9 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.1 6.0 9.8 14.2 17.3 17.7 15.0 9.8 4.3 1.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 7 - 7 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.2 6.6 11.2 15.1 17.5 16.7 13.0 8.7 4.4 1.6 0.5 0.0
Delaware St. 7 - 7 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.4 8.4 12.6 15.4 16.6 15.0 11.6 7.8 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
NC Central 7 - 7 0.1 0.6 2.1 5.2 9.0 13.1 16.5 16.6 14.5 10.8 6.4 3.1 1.4 0.3 0.0
Morgan St. 6 - 8 0.4 2.1 5.3 10.4 14.3 17.1 17.1 13.6 9.7 5.8 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
South Carolina St. 6 - 8 0.3 1.8 5.4 10.1 14.7 18.1 16.8 13.9 9.4 5.4 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 4 - 10 2.3 8.0 14.9 19.6 18.7 15.2 10.5 6.1 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 65.3% 51.2 12.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Howard 29.3% 18.6 9.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 7.7% 3.9 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0
Delaware St. 7.2% 3.6 2.7 0.8 0.1 0.0
NC Central 6.1% 2.9 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Morgan St. 2.3% 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Carolina St. 2.2% 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 0.4% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 48.2% 48.2% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 4.4 42.0 51.8 0.0%
Howard 23.5% 23.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 22.9 76.5 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 0.0 8.3 91.7 0.0%
Delaware St. 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 7.4 92.6 0.0%
NC Central 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 0.0 6.6 93.4 0.0%
Morgan St. 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 3.1 96.9 0.0%
South Carolina St. 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 3.0 97.1 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 48.2% 33.8% 32.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 23.5% 20.6% 12.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 8.3% 8.2% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 7.4% 7.2% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 6.6% 6.5% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 3.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 3.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 55.3% 0.6 44.7 55.3
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0