Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.6 #331
Expected Predictive Rating -8.3 #301
Pace 61.7 #347
Improvement +1.4 #117

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #344 D+ D+ F D- D+
Defense #265 C+ D C C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #237 1.14 #186 -1.5 #235
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #74 0.82 #95 +3.0 #53
Three Pointers 37% #258 0.83 #357 -5.5 #335
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #296 -4.0 #294
Freethrows 0.23 #346 71% #216 0.17 #346
Second Chance 29.4% #221 0.91 #332 0.27 #284
Turnovers 22.0% #364
Total Offense -7.8 #344

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #161 1.14 #149 -0.2 #183
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #303 0.65 #31 +2.5 #22
Three Pointers 44% #86 0.96 #111 -0.5 #195
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #127 +1.8 #127
Freethrows 0.32 #229 75% #316 0.24 #266
Second Chance 32.5% #265 1.16 #312 0.38 #308
Turnovers 16.2% #200
Total Defense -2.8 #265

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.7% #298 1.2% #286
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.1% #287 -4.7% #90
Possession Length 20.0 #360 16.0 #20
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.08 #360 0.18 #213
Improvement +2.2 #73 -0.8 #232

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.1% 20.4% 15.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 7.1% 11.7% 1.9%
.500 or above in Conference 96.4% 99.1% 93.3%
Conference Champion 61.3% 73.3% 47.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four17.4% 19.2% 15.4%
First Round7.6% 8.8% 6.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Away) - 53.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 10 - 8
Quad 412 - 1012 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 113 @Georgia Tech L 52 - 56 OT 7% -0  0 - 1 +2 -15 D- D+ F +18 A+ D+ C+
 Wed, Nov 5 28 @Georgia L 29 - 94 1% -27  0 - 2 -47 -37 F D F -6 A+ F C-
 Tue, Nov 11 13 @Nebraska L 50 - 69 1% -15  0 - 3 +3 -9 D- D F+ +11 A+ C- D
 Fri, Nov 14 53 @Creighton L 45 - 84 2% -18  0 - 4 -26 -20 D- F F -9 D+ F C
 Tue, Nov 18 261 @Longwood W 83 - 82 2OT 22% +3  1 - 4 -1 -2 B D+ F +0 A F B
 Fri, Nov 21 341 @Canisius L 57 - 60 43% -3  1 - 5 -12 -6 F+ C F -7 F F C
 Sat, Nov 22 362 Binghamton W 63 - 52 71% +9  2 - 5 -5 -6 D- C+ F +3 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 234 Hampton L 68 - 74 37% -10  2 - 6 -13 +3 D- B- A+ -17 D- C- F
 Tue, Dec 2 253 @East Carolina L 56 - 68 21% -5  2 - 7 -14 -5 C F+ D -12 F C C-
 Sat, Dec 6 220 @American L 60 - 78 17% -10  2 - 8 -19 -5 A+ F F -16 F C D
 Tue, Dec 9 22 @Virginia L 60 - 84 1% -12  2 - 9 -4 -2 B C F -3 C- A+ F+
 Fri, Dec 12 292 @N.C. A&T L 79 - 82 28% +2  2 - 10 -7 +4 D- A B -11 C- F C
 Sun, Dec 14 60 @Virginia Tech L 53 - 82 3% -10  2 - 11 -17 -9 D D- D- -10 F B+ D+
 Wed, Dec 17 324 @Wagner L 64 - 78 36% -6  2 - 12 -21 -9 B+ F F -13 C+ F F
 Mon, Dec 22 32 @Texas L 71 - 94 1% -11  2 - 13 -6 +3 B- B- F -8 F+ A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 356 Morgan St. W 66 - 49 74% +6  3 - 13 1 - 0 -0 -12 F D- D- +13 B+ A+ A-
 Sat, Jan 10 276 Howard W 69 - 57 46% -2  4 - 13 2 - 0 +3 -8 C- F F +10 B+ C+ A+
 Mon, Jan 12 295 @Norfolk St. W 74 - 70 28% +0  5 - 13 3 - 0 -1 +8 C- D+ B -8 A F F+
 Sat, Jan 17 364 Coppin St. W 70 - 67 87% -0  6 - 13 4 - 0 -20 -3 F A+ F -16 D D A+
 Sat, Jan 31 357 @Delaware St. W 63 - 62 53%
 Mon, Feb 2 342 @NC Central L 66 - 68 44%
 Wed, Feb 4 359 @South Carolina St. W 69 - 68 55%
 Sat, Feb 7 356 @Morgan St. W 71 - 70 52%
 Sat, Feb 14 276 @Howard L 62 - 69 25%
 Mon, Feb 16 295 Norfolk St. W 67 - 66 50%
 Sat, Feb 21 364 @Coppin St. W 71 - 65 72%
 Sat, Feb 28 359 South Carolina St. W 72 - 65 75%
 Mon, Mar 2 342 NC Central W 69 - 65 65%
 Thu, Mar 5 357 Delaware St. W 66 - 59 73%
Totals 12 - 17 10 - 4 -11 -8 D+ D+ F -3 C+ D C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.5 9.0 20.0 17.3 10.5 3.4 0.6 61.3 1st
2nd 0.1 4.7 9.8 2.3 0.1 17.0 2nd
3rd 1.2 6.8 1.5 0.0 9.6 3rd
4th 0.2 3.6 2.2 0.0 6.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 2.2 0.1 3.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.3 2.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 0.1 0.6 3.0 7.4 14.3 20.4 22.3 17.4 10.5 3.4 0.6 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
13-1 100.0% 3.4    3.4
12-2 100.0% 10.5    10.4 0.0
11-3 99.3% 17.3    16.1 1.2 0.0
10-4 89.7% 20.0    11.3 7.7 1.0 0.0
9-5 44.4% 9.0    1.2 4.1 3.1 0.7 0.0
8-6 3.4% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 61.3% 61.3 43.1 13.1 4.2 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.6% 43.9% 43.9% 15.6 0.1 0.2 0.3
13-1 3.4% 33.0% 33.0% 16.0 0.0 1.1 2.3
12-2 10.5% 29.3% 29.3% 16.0 0.0 3.1 7.4
11-3 17.4% 24.6% 24.6% 16.0 4.3 13.2
10-4 22.3% 20.2% 20.2% 16.0 4.5 17.8
9-5 20.4% 14.6% 14.6% 16.0 3.0 17.4
8-6 14.3% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 1.3 13.0
7-7 7.4% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.5 7.0
6-8 3.0% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.1 2.8
5-9 0.6% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6
4-10 0.1% 0.1
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 18.1% 18.1% 0.0% 16.0 81.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 15.6 40.0 60.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%