Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#234
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#297
Pace66.0#276
Improvement-1.0#252

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#315
First Shot-4.2#294
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#260
Layup/Dunks-4.4#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.8#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#287
Freethrows-3.4#338
Improvement-0.4#216

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#128
First Shot+3.4#66
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#306
Layups/Dunks+1.0#139
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#122
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#78
Freethrows-1.3#263
Improvement-0.6#238
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 48.2% 51.4% 43.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 76.6% 84.9% 64.2%
.500 or above in Conference 97.9% 98.6% 96.9%
Conference Champion 65.3% 68.8% 59.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Four33.8% 32.4% 36.0%
First Round32.4% 36.4% 26.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grambling St. (Neutral) - 60.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 415 - 616 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 121 William & Mary L 78-81 35%     0 - 1 -3.0 -1.6 -1.1
  Tue, Nov 11 216 @Old Dominion L 57-60 36%     0 - 2 -3.4 -6.4 +2.6
  Fri, Nov 14 139 @Towson L 41-51 21%     0 - 3 -5.5 -22.4 +15.0
  Fri, Nov 21 230 Hampton W 62-60 61%     1 - 3 -4.9 -5.0 +0.3
  Sun, Nov 23 97 @Wyoming L 67-75 13%     1 - 4 +0.1 +1.2 -1.5
  Sat, Nov 29 3 @Arizona L 61-98 1%     1 - 5 -11.5 -3.9 -4.9
  Sat, Dec 6 183 @James Madison L 67-68 30%     1 - 6 +0.4 -2.3 +2.7
  Wed, Dec 10 32 @Baylor L 67-97 4%     1 - 7 -13.7 -6.4 -4.9
  Thu, Dec 18 284 Grambling St. W 66-63 60%    
  Fri, Dec 19 316 Jackson St. W 69-64 68%    
  Sun, Dec 21 218 @UTEP L 62-66 37%    
  Sun, Dec 28 325 @Louisiana W 64-61 60%    
  Sat, Jan 3 349 @NC Central W 68-63 69%    
  Sat, Jan 10 348 @Delaware St. W 68-63 68%    
  Mon, Jan 12 343 Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-57 84%    
  Sat, Jan 17 360 @South Carolina St. W 72-64 76%    
  Sat, Jan 24 364 Coppin St. W 76-59 94%    
  Mon, Jan 26 359 Morgan St. W 78-64 89%    
  Sat, Jan 31 299 @Howard W 69-68 52%    
  Sat, Feb 7 349 NC Central W 71-60 85%    
  Sat, Feb 14 348 Delaware St. W 71-60 84%    
  Mon, Feb 16 343 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 65-60 65%    
  Sat, Feb 21 360 South Carolina St. W 75-61 89%    
  Sat, Feb 28 364 @Coppin St. W 73-62 84%    
  Mon, Mar 2 359 @Morgan St. W 75-67 75%    
  Thu, Mar 5 299 Howard W 72-65 72%    
Projected Record 14 - 12 11 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.5 7.4 16.3 19.7 14.4 5.9 65.3 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 6.2 7.6 4.3 0.9 20.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.5 3.1 0.8 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 1.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.1 6.5 11.0 15.8 20.7 20.6 14.4 5.9 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 5.9    5.9
13-1 100.0% 14.4    14.2 0.2
12-2 95.7% 19.7    17.3 2.5 0.0
11-3 78.9% 16.3    10.8 5.2 0.3
10-4 47.2% 7.4    2.9 3.6 1.0 0.0
9-5 13.2% 1.5    0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 65.3% 65.3 51.2 12.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 5.9% 74.5% 74.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.5
13-1 14.4% 65.1% 65.1% 15.7 0.0 0.3 2.1 6.9 5.0
12-2 20.6% 57.8% 57.8% 15.9 0.0 0.7 11.2 8.7
11-3 20.7% 50.4% 50.4% 16.0 0.1 10.3 10.2
10-4 15.8% 39.7% 39.7% 16.0 0.0 6.2 9.5
9-5 11.0% 30.2% 30.2% 16.0 3.3 7.7
8-6 6.5% 25.1% 25.1% 16.0 1.6 4.9
7-7 3.1% 18.8% 18.8% 16.0 0.6 2.5
6-8 1.4% 15.6% 15.6% 16.0 0.2 1.2
5-9 0.5% 16.0% 16.0% 16.0 0.1 0.4
4-10 0.1% 9.8% 9.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
3-11 0.1% 0.0 0.0
2-12 0.0% 0.0 0.0
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 48.2% 48.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 4.4 42.0 51.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.0% 100.0% 13.3 0.7 13.0 48.2 33.9 4.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%