Howard
Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -1.8 193
Results Rating -4.9 245
Consistency 0.15 155
Pace 71.5 96
Improvement +6.8 14

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 276 D+ B F+ B B-
Defense C+ 119 C+ D+ B C- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 10 F+ 48% 358 +0.4 164
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 103 C 37% 199 -0.7 218
Three Pointers 34% 321 C+ 35% 139 -3.3 289
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 83 D -4.2 319
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 294
Second Chance B 34.4% 67 B- 1.09 97 B 0.37 60
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 148
Other Turnovers F 11.0% 365
Turnovers F+ 20.2% 349
Freethrows B 0.34 69 C+ 74% 143 B 0.25 69
Total Offense D+ -3.9 276

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 58% 34 F+ 15.5% 352
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 53 C+ 4.6% 156
Three Pointers C+ 86% 143 C 0.9% 188
Total B 62% 53 F 8.4% 363


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 42 C 59% 199 +3.5 297
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 334 A 31% 7 -3.0 6
Three Pointers 40% 186 B 31% 55 -1.9 103
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.0 345 B- -2.4 83
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.99 126
Second Chance D+ 32.4% 275 D+ 1.09 275 D+ 0.35 292
Turnovers from Steals B 11.1% 62
Other Turnovers B- 7.8% 99
Turnovers B 18.9% 61
Freethrows C- 0.32 245 B- 71% 80 C- 0.23 219
Total Defense C+ +2.1 119

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 64 C- 9.8% 221
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 240 B+ 8.3% 34
Three Pointers C- 86% 244 C- 0.8% 180
Total C+ 53% 141 C 5.9% 151

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 140 16.4 30
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 142 0.19 277
Consistency 0.14 281 0.10 14
Improvement +4.3 20 +2.4 79

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Auto Bid
Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 194 193 192
Results Rating Rank 245 245 245
Conference Record 11 - 3 11 - 3 11 - 3
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed 16 16 15
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Four 1st Round 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four71% n/a n/a
First Round65% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 31 - 02 - 4
Quad 417 - 619 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 47 Missouri L 67 - 88 17% -14  0% 0 - 1 D- -12 D- -8 D+ D C D+ -4 D F A
 Sun, Nov 9 307 Grambling St. L 70 - 73 83% -1  29% 0 - 2 F+ -15 C- -1 A A+ F F -14 F F A+
 Thu, Nov 13 351 Alcorn St. W 72 - 64 92% +5  82% 1 - 2 D -9 D- -7 C- A+ F C- -2 D- A+ D
 Wed, Nov 19 309 @Stetson L 60 - 64 66% -10  0% 1 - 3 D -10 F -19 F F C A- +9 A- B- A
 Sat, Nov 22 333 Niagara W 80 - 70 83% -4  21% 2 - 3 C- -2 D- -7 F+ C+ F B +4 B- F A+
 Sun, Nov 23 1 @Duke L 56 - 93 1% -29  0% 2 - 4 D+ -8 D -5 F+ C+ B C- -2 F+ B C
 Sat, Nov 29 274 @Mount St. Mary's L 75 - 79 56% -5  0% 2 - 5 D+ -7 C +1 F A- A+ D- -8 F D D+
 Tue, Dec 9 287 N.C. A&T W 73 - 69 70% +8  99% 3 - 5 C- -3 D -5 B F F B- +2 A+ F B+
 Sat, Dec 13 268 Hampton W 61 - 57 66% +3  77% 4 - 5 C- -2 F -14 F F D- A+ +12 A+ B C
 Tue, Dec 16 214 @Drexel W 74 - 66 43% +7  95% 5 - 5 B- +8 B- +5 B- A F B- +3 C- B- B-
 Sat, Dec 20 113 @UNC Wilmington W 67 - 66 22% +4  65% 6 - 5 B- +7 C- -2 D+ A- F A +9 A+ F A
 Tue, Dec 30 57 @Northwestern L 60 - 80 9% -5  11% 6 - 6 D+ -7 D+ -4 C- B- D- D -5 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 356 @South Carolina St. L 57 - 58 84% -7  1% 6 - 7 0 - 1 D- -14 F -23 F C+ D+ A +9 C F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 352 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 57 - 69 82% +2  62% 6 - 8 0 - 2 F -24 F -24 F D+ F C+ +1 D C+ C+
 Mon, Jan 12 360 Delaware St. W 84 - 58 95% +14  86% 7 - 8 1 - 2 B- +5 A +12 B- A A- D+ -4 C- D- B+
 Sat, Jan 17 348 @NC Central W 83 - 69 81% +5  71% 8 - 8 2 - 2 C+ +3 C+ +3 F+ A+ C- C+ +1 F B B+
 Sat, Jan 24 350 Morgan St. L 77 - 78 92% +3  76% 8 - 9 2 - 3 F -18 F -18 F A+ F C -0 A F A-
 Sat, Jan 31 320 Norfolk St. W 88 - 60 86% +15  98% 9 - 9 3 - 3 B+ +15 B +6 B- A+ F A +9 A- A B-
 Mon, Feb 2 362 @Coppin St. W 72 - 53 90% +8  90% 10 - 9 4 - 3 C+ +3 C +1 D- A F B +5 A- D- D+
 Sat, Feb 7 356 South Carolina St. W 85 - 57 93% +15  98% 11 - 9 5 - 3 B +9 D+ -4 C+ C F A+ +11 A- A- B-
 Mon, Feb 9 85 Yale L 81 - 87 OT 29% -2  28% 11 - 10 C- -2 C+ +2 C+ A- C D+ -4 A- F A+
 Sat, Feb 14 352 Maryland Eastern Shore W 79 - 53 92% +13  94% 12 - 10 6 - 3 B +8 B- +5 D B- A- B+ +6 D+ A+ A+
 Mon, Feb 16 360 @Delaware St. W 91 - 59 89% +22  98% 13 - 10 7 - 3 A- +17 A- +11 A C- D B +5 D+ B+ B
 Sat, Feb 21 348 NC Central W 100 - 67 91% +17  99% 14 - 10 8 - 3 A- +16 A +13 A+ A- C B- +2 A F B
 Sat, Feb 28 350 @Morgan St. W 84 - 59 82% +10  89% 15 - 10 9 - 3 B+ +14 C -0 D- A- F+ A+ +13 A+ F+ F
 Mon, Mar 2 362 Coppin St. W 90 - 70 96% +16  99% 16 - 10 10 - 3 C -2 B +6 B+ B- F D- -8 F C- B-
 Thu, Mar 5 320 @Norfolk St. W 84 - 76 70% +1  46% 17 - 10 11 - 3 C +1 B +6 B- A- D D -5 D+ B F
 Fri, Mar 13 356 South Carolina St. W 78 - 61 90% +6  86% 18 - 10 C +1 D- -7 F B F A- +8 C B- A+
 Sat, Mar 14 348 NC Central W 70 - 63 87% +5  64% 19 - 10 D+ -7 D -5 F C B C -1 C+ B- B+
Totals 19 - 10 11 - 3 -2 D+ -4 A- D B- C+ +2 C+ C+ B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ F+ C C+ D 47% 44% 34% B- D+ B B- B F+ B C+ B C+ C A B B- 44% 16% 40% D- C+ D+ D+ D+ B C- B- C-
1.03 48% 37% 35% -4 +1 0.95 34% 1.1 .37 20% .34 74% .25 1.05 59% 31% 31% -2 +1 0.99 32% 1.1 .35 19% .32 71% .24
Nov
3		 Missouri D- F F A D 34% 15% 51% B+ D+ D F+ D C C- D- D+ D+ B A+ F C- 57% 6% 37% F D F D F A C A+ A+
0.93 33% 25% 41% -5 0 0.92 24% 0.7 .17 18% .27 69% .19 1.23 57% 0% 50% +6 +3 1.20 47% 1.3 .59 22% .38 48% .18
Nov
9		 Grambling St. C- F+ A+ A+ A 50% 18% 33% C+ A A A A+ F C+ A+ B+ F C A+ F F 48% 10% 43% F F F F F A+ F B D-
1.08 50% 57% 54% +9 +1 1.23 43% 1.2 .52 29% .35 81% .28 1.13 55% 0% 44% +2 +2 1.10 37% 1.4 .52 26% .40 68% .27
Nov
13		 Alcorn St. D- A C- F C 46% 27% 27% D- C- B A+ A+ F B+ D- B- C- D- B B- D 45% 19% 36% F+ D- B A+ A+ D B F C
1.08 74% 36% 27% +4 0 1.10 42% 1.6 .67 25% .38 68% .26 0.96 63% 30% 32% -1 +1 1.02 21% 0.3 .07 16% .21 83% .18
Nov
19		 Stetson F F F F F 40% 20% 40% C- F C- F F C C- C+ C A- A A B- A 37% 17% 46% D A- A+ F B- A F D- F
0.88 40% 30% 25% -14 0 0.74 30% 0.8 .24 15% .27 75% .21 0.93 47% 29% 32% -7 0 0.88 16% 1.4 .23 23% .53 75% .40
Nov
22		 Niagara D- F A+ C- F 45% 12% 43% A- F+ C- B C+ F A+ F A+ B A- F A+ B 60% 15% 26% F+ B- F F F A+ F B F
1.06 42% 60% 33% -5 +2 0.95 32% 1.2 .38 20% .71 70% .50 0.93 46% 71% 25% -5 +2 0.96 31% 1.3 .41 29% .54 69% .37
Nov
23		 Duke D F D D+ F 39% 20% 41% B+ F+ C- A C+ B A+ C+ A+ C- F F B+ F+ 52% 2% 46% F+ F+ A D B C C- A+ B-
0.79 26% 30% 30% -16 0 0.69 19% 1.0 .19 17% .36 71% .26 1.32 85% 100% 30% +13 +3 1.34 33% 1.3 .44 16% .37 64% .23
Nov
29		 Mount St. Mary's C F+ C- F F 33% 28% 40% D F C- A+ A- A+ C- D C- D- D- A+ F F 51% 14% 35% D+ F C+ F D D+ C+ F D
1.06 47% 38% 22% -11 -1 0.78 28% 1.5 .43 8% .32 71% .23 1.12 64% 14% 47% +6 +2 1.18 29% 1.3 .36 21% .29 81% .23
Dec
9		 N.C. A&T D F+ A+ A+ C+ 64% 9% 27% A+ B B+ F F F A+ C- A+ B- B- A- A+ A+ 40% 32% 28% C A+ F F+ F B+ A- C+ A-
1.07 50% 75% 50% +5 +3 1.18 34% 0.2 .06 21% .52 68% .35 1.01 55% 31% 14% -12 -1 0.76 45% 1.2 .55 22% .28 73% .21
Dec
13		 Hampton F D+ F F F 66% 7% 27% A+ F D- F F D- A+ D- A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ 43% 17% 40% F A+ C- A B C F B- F
0.90 59% 0% 17% -9 +4 0.91 23% 0.1 .03 19% .60 64% .38 0.84 50% 14% 6% -24 +1 0.55 33% 0.7 .24 18% .77 70% .54
Dec
16		 Drexel B- F+ F A+ C 60% 17% 24% A+ B- B+ A A F A+ A+ A+ B- F A C D+ 18% 16% 66% B C- A+ F B- B- F B+ D-
1.11 48% 29% 50% -2 +2 1.02 38% 1.2 .46 24% .49 92% .45 0.99 75% 29% 34% +2 -1 1.05 21% 1.1 .24 21% .36 63% .23
Dec
20		 UNC Wilmington C- D F A+ C- 33% 39% 27% F+ D+ A C+ A- F D+ A C- A C B+ A+ A+ 36% 28% 36% C+ A+ D- F F A C- C- C-
1.00 53% 25% 43% -3 -3 0.90 35% 1.1 .38 21% .23 83% .19 0.98 56% 29% 17% -13 -1 0.74 39% 1.3 .49 19% .37 70% .26
Dec
30		 Northwestern D+ F C+ B- C 30% 28% 43% D C- C+ B- B- D- C- F D- D F A+ F F 41% 25% 34% C F D- A+ A+ F F A+ F
0.94 43% 38% 35% -4 -2 0.91 34% 1.0 .34 22% .26 62% .16 1.26 83% 27% 40% +11 0 1.23 36% 0.5 .19 8% .58 65% .38
Jan
3		 South Carolina St. F F F+ F F 50% 7% 43% B F F A+ C+ D+ A+ F A A C- D+ A C- 30% 41% 30% B+ C D F F A+ F D+ F
0.82 41% 33% 16% -21 +3 0.66 26% 1.8 .45 19% .58 64% .37 0.83 55% 40% 27% -3 -3 0.89 33% 1.3 .44 30% .41 70% .29
Jan
10		 Maryland Eastern Shore F F F C- F 54% 16% 30% B F D B- D+ F F F F C+ B- A+ F+ C- 46% 13% 41% F D A+ F C+ C+ F F F
0.77 44% 0% 33% -14 +2 0.78 28% 1.2 .33 30% .21 64% .14 0.93 52% 17% 37% -4 +2 0.98 16% 1.6 .25 24% .39 82% .32
Jan
12		 Delaware St. A A+ F F C+ 60% 18% 22% B B- A+ D+ A A- A+ A- A+ D+ A+ B+ D- C- 27% 32% 41% C+ C- D D- D- B+ F F F
1.31 81% 13% 20% +5 +2 1.16 48% 1.1 .52 14% .49 78% .38 0.91 36% 31% 35% -7 -2 0.83 29% 0.9 .26 23% .43 76% .33
Jan
17		 NC Central C+ C+ A F F 48% 12% 40% B+ F+ A- A+ A+ C- D+ C+ D+ C+ B F C- F+ 41% 12% 47% F F C- A+ B B+ B- A+ A-
1.21 64% 50% 24% -2 +2 1.02 46% 1.2 .57 19% .27 73% .20 1.01 50% 67% 35% +1 +1 1.06 30% 0.7 .22 20% .27 60% .16
Jan
24		 Morgan St. F F F F F 51% 24% 25% D F A+ B- A+ F A+ A+ A+ C A+ B C- A+ 48% 22% 30% F A F F F A- F D- F
0.95 32% 31% 14% -22 +1 0.58 53% 1.2 .66 21% .63 80% .50 0.96 28% 31% 33% -17 +1 0.70 40% 1.4 .58 21% .45 79% .36
Jan
31		 Norfolk St. B C- F A+ B- 50% 9% 41% B B- A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ D A+ 51% 16% 33% F A- A- A A B- F+ D- F
1.26 59% 25% 44% +6 +2 1.18 59% 1.3 .77 27% .57 86% .49 0.86 40% 13% 38% -12 +1 0.82 24% 0.8 .18 20% .39 73% .29
Feb
2		 Coppin St. C D C+ D+ F+ 38% 12% 50% C+ D- A+ C- A F A C+ A B C+ C+ A+ A 41% 26% 33% D+ A- F A D- D+ D- A C-
1.17 56% 40% 33% -1 +1 1.02 47% 1.1 .53 23% .44 76% .33 0.86 53% 33% 13% -14 0 0.74 44% 0.8 .33 21% .37 61% .23
Feb
7		 South Carolina St. D+ F+ A+ A+ C- 66% 7% 27% A C+ D+ B+ C F A+ B+ A+ A+ B A+ A A+ 37% 21% 42% F A- B- A+ A- B- C A+ B+
1.13 52% 100% 42% +3 +4 1.16 34% 1.3 .45 21% .61 78% .47 0.76 47% 18% 27% -12 0 0.77 27% 0.7 .20 23% .33 53% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
9		 Yale C+ F A+ A+ C 47% 16% 37% B+ C+ C- A+ A- C B+ D B D+ C A- A A 49% 13% 38% F+ A- F D F A+ F B F
1.12 29% 75% 47% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.5 .42 15% .31 68% .21 1.21 59% 33% 29% -3 +2 1.00 49% 1.2 .60 21% .60 74% .44
Feb
14		 Maryland Eastern Shore B- D- A- D+ D 41% 22% 37% D+ D A+ F B- A- B A A- B+ C A+ C- C 58% 21% 21% F D+ B- A+ A+ A+ C- C- C-
1.23 52% 45% 32% -2 0 0.98 45% 0.9 .42 12% .39 82% .32 0.82 56% 22% 33% -5 +1 0.95 28% 0.5 .14 30% .24 73% .18
Feb
16		 Delaware St. A- A A+ F+ A+ 54% 15% 30% B- A A- F C- D A+ A A+ B A- D+ C D 32% 30% 38% D+ D+ A B B+ B D A C-
1.27 76% 71% 29% +12 +2 1.30 40% 0.9 .36 19% .52 80% .41 0.82 44% 40% 32% -5 -2 0.88 18% 0.7 .12 22% .32 61% .20
Feb
21		 NC Central A A+ F A+ A+ 48% 12% 40% B A+ B A A- C B B- B+ B- C+ B A+ A+ 55% 20% 25% F A F+ F F B D+ A+ B
1.40 79% 17% 55% +20 +2 1.46 43% 1.2 .50 18% .34 75% .26 0.94 54% 30% 8% -14 +1 0.76 34% 1.9 .66 20% .33 58% .19
Feb
28		 Morgan St. C F A B- F 65% 8% 27% A D- A C- A- F+ A F+ B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 20% 43% D- A+ D- F+ F+ F F B F
1.17 47% 50% 36% -6 +4 0.98 47% 1.2 .53 18% .49 66% .32 0.82 35% 18% 9% -29 0 0.44 33% 1.0 .33 12% .44 71% .32
Mar
2		 Coppin St. B B A+ A+ B+ 44% 13% 44% B- B+ A+ F B- F B+ C- B D- D- D C- F 54% 29% 17% D- F C- C- C- B- B- A+ B+
1.27 67% 50% 43% +11 +1 1.27 50% 0.9 .46 21% .41 74% .30 0.99 61% 40% 33% +2 0 1.06 29% 1.0 .29 24% .30 56% .17
Mar
5		 Norfolk St. B F A A+ B- 45% 9% 45% B- B- F A+ A- D A B+ A+ D F B A+ C 56% 21% 23% F D+ C A B F B+ F C
1.21 45% 50% 50% +6 +2 1.18 23% 2.0 .46 19% .46 77% .36 1.10 72% 33% 8% -2 +1 1.00 29% 0.8 .24 12% .28 82% .23
Mar
13		 South Carolina St. D- F C+ F F 49% 16% 36% C- F C A- B F A+ C A+ A- C- A+ F+ C+ 36% 28% 36% D- C D+ A B- A+ A+ B A+
1.06 50% 43% 25% -8 +1 0.89 38% 1.3 .50 22% .66 74% .49 0.83 56% 14% 39% -5 -1 0.90 32% 0.8 .24 29% .21 64% .13
Mar
14		 NC Central D F F F F 41% 17% 41% C F B+ F+ C B A+ B+ A+ C A F B+ B- 41% 15% 44% D- C+ F A+ B- B+ F F F
1.12 47% 29% 29% -9 +1 0.85 46% 0.8 .37 16% .67 77% .52 1.01 44% 50% 29% -7 +1 0.90 35% 0.7 .24 21% .47 83% .39



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.9 0.6 9.8 89.5
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.9