Howard
Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#299
Expected Predictive Rating-7.4#274
Pace72.1#112
Improvement+1.4#83

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#325
First Shot-3.6#280
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#308
Layup/Dunks-0.9#216
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#324
Freethrows+2.3#63
Improvement-1.0#265

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#235
First Shot+1.2#127
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#346
Layups/Dunks-4.3#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#3
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#76
Freethrows-0.4#207
Improvement+2.5#30
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.5% 27.4% 21.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 63.8% 78.7% 56.7%
.500 or above in Conference 89.1% 91.8% 87.7%
Conference Champion 29.3% 34.2% 27.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 1.0% 1.7%
First Four20.6% 22.8% 19.5%
First Round12.5% 15.6% 11.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Away) - 32.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 11 - 5
Quad 414 - 815 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 50 Missouri L 67-88 8%     0 - 1 -13.2 -6.6 -6.1
  Sun, Nov 9 284 Grambling St. L 70-73 58%     0 - 2 -12.7 +0.3 -13.2
  Thu, Nov 13 331 Alcorn St. W 72-64 71%     1 - 2 -5.4 -3.4 -1.7
  Wed, Nov 19 346 @Stetson L 60-64 55%     1 - 3 -12.9 -15.6 +2.6
  Sat, Nov 22 353 Niagara W 80-70 70%     2 - 3 -3.1 -3.8 -0.1
  Sun, Nov 23 2 @Duke L 56-93 1%     2 - 4 -11.4 -4.2 -6.8
  Sat, Nov 29 296 @Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 38%     2 - 5 -8.4 -0.1 -8.2
  Tue, Dec 9 311 N.C. A&T W 73-69 54%     3 - 5 -4.7 -1.3 -3.3
  Sat, Dec 13 230 Hampton W 61-57 36%     4 - 5 +0.1 -10.5 +10.7
  Tue, Dec 16 271 @Drexel L 67-72 32%    
  Sat, Dec 20 109 @UNC Wilmington L 64-78 9%    
  Tue, Dec 30 58 @Northwestern L 64-84 3%    
  Sat, Jan 3 360 @South Carolina St. W 75-71 65%    
  Sat, Jan 10 343 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 67-66 54%    
  Mon, Jan 12 348 Delaware St. W 73-66 76%    
  Sat, Jan 17 349 @NC Central W 71-69 57%    
  Sat, Jan 24 359 Morgan St. W 81-71 82%    
  Mon, Jan 26 364 @Coppin St. W 76-69 75%    
  Sat, Jan 31 234 Norfolk St. L 68-69 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 360 South Carolina St. W 78-68 82%    
  Mon, Feb 9 79 Yale L 71-83 14%    
  Sat, Feb 14 343 Maryland Eastern Shore W 70-63 74%    
  Mon, Feb 16 348 @Delaware St. W 70-69 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 349 NC Central W 74-66 76%    
  Sat, Feb 28 359 @Morgan St. W 78-74 64%    
  Mon, Mar 2 364 Coppin St. W 79-66 89%    
  Thu, Mar 5 234 @Norfolk St. L 65-72 28%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.1 5.1 9.2 8.6 4.3 1.0 29.3 1st
2nd 0.2 3.2 10.1 11.3 5.7 1.2 31.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.4 7.7 5.7 1.4 0.1 17.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 5.1 3.1 0.4 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.0 2.0 0.2 5.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.3 0.1 3.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 1.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.1 6.0 9.8 14.2 17.3 17.7 15.0 9.8 4.3 1.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 1.0    1.0
13-1 100.0% 4.3    4.1 0.2
12-2 87.9% 8.6    6.6 2.0 0.0
11-3 61.6% 9.2    5.2 3.8 0.3
10-4 28.8% 5.1    1.6 2.7 0.8 0.0
9-5 6.2% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 29.3% 29.3 18.6 9.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.0% 51.7% 51.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5
13-1 4.3% 49.1% 49.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.9 2.2
12-2 9.8% 42.1% 42.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.0 5.7
11-3 15.0% 33.5% 33.5% 16.0 0.1 5.0 10.0
10-4 17.7% 26.7% 26.7% 16.0 0.0 4.7 13.0
9-5 17.3% 18.6% 18.6% 16.0 0.0 3.2 14.1
8-6 14.2% 13.6% 13.6% 16.0 0.0 1.9 12.3
7-7 9.8% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 1.0 8.9
6-8 6.0% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.5 5.4
5-9 3.1% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.3 2.8
4-10 1.3% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.1 1.2
3-11 0.5% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 23.5% 23.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 22.9 76.5 0.0%