Howard
Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.5 #276
Expected Predictive Rating -6.9 #274
Pace 72.3 #86
Improvement +0.0 #180

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #334 D- C+ D C B-
Defense #154 C D B- C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #13 0.95 #359 -0.1 #181
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #174 0.63 #336 -1.3 #245
Three Pointers 33% #334 0.95 #266 -5.4 #333
1st FG Attempt 0.88 #348 -6.8 #348
Freethrows 0.31 #143 72% #201 0.23 #153
Second Chance 31.9% #144 1.11 #91 0.36 #103
Turnovers 19.1% #330
Total Offense -6.9 #334

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #78 1.16 #182 -2.4 #257
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #309 0.66 #51 +2.4 #25
Three Pointers 41% #171 1.02 #184 -0.2 #186
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #187 -0.2 #186
Freethrows 0.33 #278 72% #165 0.24 #270
Second Chance 32.9% #281 1.18 #327 0.39 #326
Turnovers 18.0% #79
Total Defense +0.4 #154

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.2% #103 1.7% #329
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -14.4% #356 -1.2% #164
Possession Length 17.6 #204 16.3 #30
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #202 0.21 #315
Improvement -2.0 #288 +2.0 #66

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.9% 35.7% 27.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 79.8% 88.1% 64.0%
.500 or above in Conference 82.3% 91.2% 65.3%
Conference Champion 13.1% 18.4% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 1.1%
First Four23.9% 24.5% 22.7%
First Round20.5% 23.0% 15.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Home) - 65.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 31 - 02 - 4
Quad 413 - 915 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 54 Missouri L 67 - 88 11% -14  0 - 1 -14 -6 C- D- C -8 D+ F A-
 Sun, Nov 9 285 Grambling St. L 70 - 73 65% -1  0 - 2 -13 -0 B+ A F -13 D- F A
 Thu, Nov 13 350 Alcorn St. W 72 - 64 80% +5  1 - 2 -7 -4 D A+ F -3 D A+ D-
 Wed, Nov 19 330 @Stetson L 60 - 64 54% -10  1 - 3 -11 -15 F F C+ +4 B C+ A
 Sat, Nov 22 349 Niagara W 80 - 70 71% -4  2 - 3 -2 -4 F+ C F +1 C- F A+
 Sun, Nov 23 3 @Duke L 56 - 93 1% -29  2 - 4 -11 -4 F C A- -6 D- B- C-
 Sat, Nov 29 286 @Mount St. Mary's L 75 - 79 42% -5  2 - 5 -8 +2 F A- A+ -10 F D- C
 Tue, Dec 9 292 N.C. A&T W 73 - 69 54% +8  3 - 5 -3 -2 B+ F F -1 A F B
 Sat, Dec 13 234 Hampton W 61 - 57 41% +3  4 - 5 -0 -10 D F D+ +10 A+ B+ D+
 Tue, Dec 16 201 @Drexel W 74 - 66 26% +7  5 - 5 +8 +7 B- A- F +2 C C+ B-
 Sat, Dec 20 122 @UNC Wilmington W 67 - 66 13% +4  6 - 5 +7 -0 D+ B+ F +7 A+ F A-
 Tue, Dec 30 61 @Northwestern L 60 - 80 5% -5  6 - 6 -8 -2 C C+ F -8 F+ A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 3 359 @South Carolina St. L 57 - 58 70% -7  6 - 7 0 - 1 -13 -20 F C- F+ +7 C- F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 331 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 57 - 69 54% +2  6 - 8 0 - 2 -20 -20 F D+ F +1 C- C+ B
 Mon, Jan 12 357 Delaware St. W 84 - 58 84% +14  7 - 8 1 - 2 +9 +16 C A+ A+ -4 C- F B+
 Sat, Jan 17 342 @NC Central W 83 - 69 59% +5  8 - 8 2 - 2 +5 +7 D A+ D -2 F B B-
 Sat, Jan 24 356 Morgan St. L 77 - 78 84% +3  8 - 9 2 - 3 -18 -15 F A+ F -3 A F B
 Sat, Jan 31 295 Norfolk St. W 73 - 69 66%
 Sat, Feb 7 359 South Carolina St. W 78 - 67 86%
 Mon, Feb 9 70 Yale L 69 - 80 14%
 Sat, Feb 14 331 Maryland Eastern Shore W 69 - 62 75%
 Mon, Feb 16 357 @Delaware St. W 69 - 64 67%
 Sat, Feb 21 342 NC Central W 75 - 67 78%
 Sat, Feb 28 356 @Morgan St. W 78 - 73 66%
 Mon, Mar 2 364 Coppin St. W 81 - 65 94%
 Thu, Mar 5 295 @Norfolk St. L 70 - 72 43%
Totals 14 - 12 8 - 5 -6 -7 D- C+ D +0 C D B-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 6.6 6.0 13.1 1st
2nd 0.3 7.8 13.2 2.4 23.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.9 15.0 2.6 0.0 21.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 11.0 5.6 0.1 18.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 6.8 6.6 0.3 14.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.6 0.5 7.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.3 12.2 22.2 29.2 22.5 8.4 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 71.0% 6.0    3.4 2.3 0.3 0.0
9-5 29.3% 6.6    0.8 2.8 2.4 0.6 0.0
8-6 1.8% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
Total 13.1% 13.1 4.2 5.1 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 8.4% 50.1% 50.1% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 3.1 4.2
9-5 22.5% 41.7% 41.7% 15.9 0.0 0.6 8.8 13.1
8-6 29.2% 32.6% 32.6% 16.0 0.3 9.3 19.7
7-7 22.2% 26.4% 26.4% 16.0 0.0 5.8 16.4
6-8 12.2% 23.6% 23.6% 16.0 0.0 2.9 9.3
5-9 4.3% 19.1% 19.1% 16.0 0.8 3.5
4-10 1.0% 14.4% 14.4% 16.0 0.1 0.8
3-11 0.1% 18.5% 18.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1
2-12 0.0% 0.0 0.0
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 32.9% 32.9% 0.0% 15.9 67.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 14.7 4.3 35.0 52.1 8.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%