Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
231 Norfolk St. 46.5%   16   1 - 5 0 - 0 14 - 12 11 - 3 -4.3      -5.3 317 +1.0 133 65.9 275 -7.7 279 0.0 1
311 Howard 20.2%   2 - 5 0 - 0 12 - 15 9 - 5 -8.3      -5.0 310 -3.3 283 73.0 98 -11.7 324 0.0 1
340 Maryland Eastern Shore 9.6%   2 - 7 0 - 0 10 - 19 7 - 7 -11.1      -8.5 358 -2.6 251 59.2 364 -9.5 302 0.0 1
349 South Carolina St. 6.9%   0 - 8 0 - 0 6 - 19 6 - 6 -11.9      -7.4 352 -4.5 325 73.6 83 -15.5 351 0.0 1
350 NC Central 8.1%   0 - 6 0 - 0 8 - 17 7 - 7 -12.0      -6.3 335 -5.7 342 67.2 248 -11.8 326 0.0 1
356 Delaware St. 4.7%   0 - 6 0 - 0 6 - 17 5 - 7 -13.6      -9.3 363 -4.3 321 68.0 228 -17.4 357 0.0 1
359 Morgan St. 4.0%   0 - 6 0 - 0 7 - 19 6 - 8 -14.2      -6.6 342 -7.6 357 74.1 72 -21.5 363 0.0 1
364 Coppin St. 0.0%   1 - 8 0 - 0 6 - 24 4 - 10 -16.8      -10.4 364 -6.4 351 70.2 166 -12.9 340 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Nov 29 311 Howard 75 301 Mount St. Mary's 79   
Sat, Nov 29 8 Arizona 98 231 Norfolk St. 61   
Sat, Nov 29 356 Delaware St. 57 285 Maryland Baltimore Co. 71   
Sat, Nov 29 349 South Carolina St. 79 107 Winthrop 101   
Sun, Nov 30 364 Coppin St. 84 309 Loyola Maryland 95   
Tue, Dec 2 249 East Carolina 68 340 Maryland Eastern Shore 56   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Dec 3 159 James Madison 81 350 NC Central 66 91%   
Wed, Dec 3 356 Delaware St. 65 192 Navy 73 79%   
Wed, Dec 3 364 Coppin St. 52 68 West Virginia 80 99%   
Fri, Dec 5 228 Bethune-Cookman 80 349 South Carolina St. 69 85%   
Sat, Dec 6 159 James Madison 74 231 Norfolk St. 67 75%   
Sat, Dec 6 321 N.C. A&T 72 350 NC Central 73 50%   
Sat, Dec 6 248 American 70 340 Maryland Eastern Shore 61 81%   
Sat, Dec 6 282 Delaware 71 356 Delaware St. 67 64%   
Sat, Dec 6 287 Longwood 80 359 Morgan St. 76 66%   
Sat, Dec 6 364 Coppin St. 59 96 Liberty 84 98%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Norfolk St. 1.6 64.9 20.2 7.9 3.6 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.2
Howard 2.7 26.0 30.2 17.8 11.0 6.8 4.4 2.7 1.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 3.8 10.6 19.1 20.6 17.1 12.9 9.4 6.6 3.6
South Carolina St. 4.9 2.9 8.4 13.7 16.8 18.2 17.0 14.1 8.8
NC Central 4.1 8.7 15.8 18.3 16.6 14.2 11.3 9.2 5.9
Delaware St. 5.4 1.9 5.7 9.7 13.5 16.7 18.3 18.7 15.5
Morgan St. 5.0 3.8 9.4 12.7 15.1 15.9 15.5 14.6 13.1
Coppin St. 6.1 1.0 3.3 6.6 9.9 13.2 16.1 21.2 28.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Norfolk St. 11 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 4.2 7.7 12.1 16.8 19.3 18.3 12.9 5.3
Howard 9 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.0 8.4 12.4 15.3 16.6 15.7 11.7 7.2 2.9 0.7
Maryland Eastern Shore 7 - 7 0.1 0.3 1.4 3.4 6.9 11.0 15.0 16.7 15.8 12.8 8.8 5.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
South Carolina St. 6 - 8 0.3 1.6 4.3 8.8 13.8 17.9 18.0 15.3 11.0 5.8 2.6 0.7 0.1
NC Central 7 - 7 0.1 0.7 2.5 5.4 9.2 12.8 15.5 15.7 14.2 10.7 7.1 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
Delaware St. 5 - 9 0.7 3.0 7.5 12.6 17.1 17.8 16.1 12.0 7.5 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
Morgan St. 6 - 8 0.6 2.3 5.8 10.0 13.7 16.4 15.9 13.3 10.1 6.5 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Coppin St. 4 - 10 1.9 6.6 12.6 17.2 18.0 15.9 12.2 7.9 4.7 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 64.9% 51.7 11.1 1.8 0.2 0.0
Howard 26.0% 16.5 7.8 1.5 0.2 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 10.6% 5.8 3.6 1.1 0.2 0.0
South Carolina St. 2.9% 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
NC Central 8.7% 4.8 3.0 0.8 0.1 0.0
Delaware St. 1.9% 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Morgan St. 3.8% 1.8 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
Coppin St. 1.0% 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 46.5% 46.5% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.2 1.1 4.2 41.0 53.5 0.0%
Howard 20.2% 20.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 19.9 79.8 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 9.6% 9.6% 0.0% 0.0 9.6 90.4 0.0%
South Carolina St. 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0 6.9 93.1 0.0%
NC Central 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0 8.1 91.9 0.0%
Delaware St. 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 4.7 95.3 0.0%
Morgan St. 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 4.0 96.0 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 46.5% 33.2% 30.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 20.2% 18.7% 10.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 9.6% 9.4% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 6.9% 6.8% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 8.1% 7.9% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 4.7% 4.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 4.0% 4.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 53.4% 0.5 46.6 53.4
2nd Round 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0