Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
276 Howard 34.4%   16   8 - 9 2 - 3 -6.5      -6.9 336 +0.4 153 72.3 87 -6.9 277 -15.0 6
298 Norfolk St. 25.2%   6 - 13 3 - 3 -7.7      -5.6 319 -2.1 242 69.2 169 -10.8 329 -14.1 5
332 Maryland Eastern Shore 17.5%   6 - 13 4 - 0 -10.6      -7.8 346 -2.8 264 61.7 347 -8.4 302 +5.2 1
343 NC Central 10.3%   3 - 12 3 - 1 -11.8      -5.8 324 -5.9 336 67.2 228 -12.6 340 -6.0 3
356 Morgan St. 5.2%   5 - 13 4 - 2 -14.1      -6.9 337 -7.2 351 74.7 44 -11.8 334 -5.5 2
357 Delaware St. 3.8%   2 - 14 0 - 5 -14.2      -12.2 364 -2.0 240 68.7 185 -19.2 359 -31.8 8
359 South Carolina St. 3.6%   3 - 16 3 - 2 -15.0      -8.5 353 -6.5 346 71.5 108 -15.5 354 -10.8 4
364 Coppin St. 0.0%   2 - 19 1 - 4 -19.9      -10.6 362 -9.3 363 71.6 104 -18.0 356 -19.7 7


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Jan 26 356 Morgan St. 79 298 Norfolk St. 78   
Mon, Jan 26 357 Delaware St. 64 359 South Carolina St. 70   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Jan 31 276 Howard 73 298 Norfolk St. 69 66%   
Sat, Jan 31 357 Delaware St. 62 332 Maryland Eastern Shore 63 52%   
Sat, Jan 31 343 NC Central 75 359 South Carolina St. 74 51%   
Sat, Jan 31 364 Coppin St. 77 356 Morgan St. 80 61%   
Mon, Feb 2 343 NC Central 68 332 Maryland Eastern Shore 66 57%   
Mon, Feb 2 364 Coppin St. 68 276 Howard 78 84%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Howard 2.6 27.3 28.5 18.5 13.3 8.6 3.3 0.4 0.1
Norfolk St. 2.9 20.0 24.7 20.9 16.8 11.9 5.1 0.5 0.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.9 56.1 18.6 10.8 7.4 4.6 2.3 0.2 0.0
NC Central 3.6 14.0 16.4 18.5 18.5 17.4 13.2 1.8 0.2
Morgan St. 3.3 15.4 19.5 20.4 19.1 16.4 8.1 1.1 0.1
Delaware St. 7.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.9 11.9 49.8 32.6
South Carolina St. 4.7 3.9 6.7 11.5 16.9 21.7 32.9 5.7 0.7
Coppin St. 7.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.4 8.1 41.2 47.1

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Howard 9 - 5 15 - 12 0.0 0.3 1.6 5.4 14.0 23.1 28.0 20.2 7.5
Norfolk St. 8 - 6 11 - 16 0.1 0.4 2.4 8.3 17.7 26.6 26.2 14.3 4.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 10 - 4 12 - 17 0.1 0.6 3.1 7.6 14.7 20.5 21.9 18.0 9.6 3.4 0.6
NC Central 8 - 5 8 - 16 0.2 1.8 6.5 15.3 22.7 23.5 17.7 9.1 2.9 0.3
Morgan St. 8 - 6 9 - 17 0.6 4.3 12.6 22.1 25.1 20.5 10.4 3.8 0.6
Delaware St. 3 - 10 5 - 19 1.6 7.5 18.7 24.9 23.3 15.1 6.7 1.8 0.2
South Carolina St. 6 - 8 6 - 22 1.3 7.2 17.8 25.3 24.0 15.5 6.4 2.1 0.4 0.1
Coppin St. 3 - 11 4 - 26 11.0 25.5 29.3 19.8 10.0 3.3 0.9 0.1 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Howard 27.3% 12.6 9.7 3.9 1.0 0.1 0.0
Norfolk St. 20.0% 8.2 7.1 3.6 0.9 0.1 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 56.1% 37.6 13.1 4.4 1.0 0.1 0.0
NC Central 14.0% 6.0 4.6 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0
Morgan St. 15.4% 6.4 5.2 2.8 0.8 0.1 0.0
Delaware St. 0.0% 0.0
South Carolina St. 3.9% 1.3 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Howard 34.4% 34.4% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.2 1.9 32.3 65.6 0.0%
Norfolk St. 25.2% 25.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 24.9 74.8 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 17.5% 17.5% 0.0% 0.2 17.3 82.5 0.0%
NC Central 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 0.0 10.2 89.7 0.0%
Morgan St. 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 5.2 94.8 0.0%
Delaware St. 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 3.8 96.2 0.0%
South Carolina St. 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 3.6 96.4 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 50.1% 0.5 49.9 50.1
2nd Round 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Howard 34.4% 25.2% 21.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Norfolk St. 25.2% 23.0% 13.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 17.5% 16.9% 7.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 10.3% 10.1% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 5.2% 5.1% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 3.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 3.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%