IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Pacific
West Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.4	#219
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.4	#223
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.0	#198

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.4	#256

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.2%	0.5%	0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	11.6	10.9	11.9

.500 or above	21.0%	42.2%	17.3%
.500 or above in Conference	16.4%	27.3%	14.5%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	21.8%	13.1%	23.3%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.2%	0.5%	0.2%
Second Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Nevada (Away) - 14.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 8
Quad 3	3 - 6	4 - 14
Quad 4	7 - 3	10 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2025	104	@ Nevada	L	61-72	15%
Nov 12, 2025	264	Long Beach St.	W	70-65	68%
Nov 15, 2025	336	@ Cal St. Fullerton	W	71-67	65%
Nov 24, 2025	298	Stony Brook	W	70-66	65%
Nov 29, 2025	279	Sacramento St.	W	71-65	70%
Dec 03, 2025	277	@ Air Force	W	67-66	51%
Dec 06, 2025	91	@ California	L	66-78	14%
Dec 16, 2025	9	@ BYU	L	61-86	1%
Dec 21, 2025	241	Nicholls St.	W	72-68	64%
Dec 28, 2025	180	@ San Diego	L	73-78	33%
Dec 30, 2025	135	@ Loyola Marymount	L	66-74	25%
Jan 02, 2026	117	Oregon St.	L	67-70	39%
Jan 04, 2026	244	Pepperdine	W	75-71	63%
Jan 08, 2026	265	@ Portland	L	73-74	47%
Jan 10, 2026	180	San Diego	W	76-75	53%
Jan 14, 2026	106	@ Santa Clara	L	68-79	19%
Jan 17, 2026	117	@ Oregon St.	L	64-73	21%
Jan 24, 2026	121	Seattle	L	66-69	41%
Jan 28, 2026	265	Portland	W	76-71	66%
Jan 31, 2026	77	@ San Francisco	L	64-78	12%
Feb 04, 2026	106	Santa Clara	L	71-76	35%
Feb 11, 2026	135	Loyola Marymount	L	69-71	43%
Feb 14, 2026	49	St. Mary's	L	57-69	17%
Feb 18, 2026	128	@ Washington St.	L	71-79	24%
Feb 21, 2026	18	@ Gonzaga	L	64-87	3%
Feb 28, 2026	77	San Francisco	L	67-75	26%
Projected Record						10 - 16	6 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1	1st
2nd												0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0					1.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	1.5	1.3	0.5	0.1							3.8	4th
5th								0.0	0.5	2.1	2.0	0.6	0.1								5.2	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	2.9	3.0	0.8	0.0									7.3	6th
7th						0.0	0.5	3.5	4.0	1.1	0.1										9.2	7th
8th					0.0	0.8	3.9	4.8	1.7	0.1											11.4	8th
9th				0.0	1.1	4.7	6.0	2.1	0.2												14.0	9th
10th			0.1	1.4	5.4	6.4	2.2	0.1													15.6	10th
11th		0.4	2.7	6.3	5.7	1.8	0.1														17.0	11th
12th	1.3	3.4	5.0	3.0	1.0	0.1															13.7	12th

Total	1.3	3.8	7.8	10.9	13.1	13.7	12.7	11.1	9.3	6.8	4.5	2.5	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0					Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	73.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-3	46.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
14-4	10.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	3.8%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.5%	0.0						0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.0%		75.4%	49.1%	26.3%	10.0											0.0							0.0		51.7%
15-3	0.1%		26.3%	26.3%		11.0											0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1
14-4	0.3%		13.1%	13.1%		10.4										0.0	0.0	0.0						0.2
13-5	0.7%		7.9%	6.9%	1.0%	11.5												0.0	0.0	0.0				0.7		1.0%
12-6	1.5%		1.9%	1.9%		11.5												0.0		0.0				1.4
11-7	2.5%		1.1%	1.1%		12.0												0.0	0.0	0.0				2.5
10-8	4.5%																							4.5
9-9	6.8%		0.5%	0.5%		12.6													0.0	0.0	0.0			6.7
8-10	9.3%																							9.3
7-11	11.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.1
6-12	12.7%		0.1%	0.1%		15.0																0.0		12.7
5-13	13.7%																							13.7
4-14	13.1%																							13.1
3-15	10.9%																							10.9
2-16	7.8%																							7.8
1-17	3.8%																							3.8
0-18	1.3%																							1.3

Total	100%		0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	11.6										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	99.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%